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> Aug 18-21 Mid-Atl/NE Storm
phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 10:42 AM
Post #1




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Looks like a chance of thunderstorms the next couple of days with heavy rain possible. Woke up to heavy rain this morning at 6am. The majority of the heavy rain missed me to the south though. Philly got 1.24" this morning already. While I got a whopping 0.15 in.

QUOTE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
349 AM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-
190800-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
349 AM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL HAIL
IS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. THESE
STORMS COULD BE SLOW-MOVING IN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA AND CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS, WHICH MAY LEAD TO AT
LEAST LOCALIZED FLOODING...AND PERHAPS A RENEWAL OF MORE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.


This post has been edited by phillyfan: Aug 18 2011, 02:59 PM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 02:31 PM
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Member No.: 12,448





Flash Flood Watch late tonight thru Friday Evening.

QUOTE
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
312 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

NJZ001-007>010-012-PAZ054-055-060>062-191000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.A.0007.110819T0800Z-110820T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.
O/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EA
TON
312 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES OF CARBON,
MONROE, NORTHAMPTON, LEHIGH AND BERKS, AND FOR THE NEW JERSEY
COUNTIES OF SUSSEX, WARREN, MORRIS, HUNTERDON, SOMERSET AND
MIDDLESEX.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS IN OUR REGION ARE NEARLY SATURATED DUE TO THE RECENT
RAINFALL. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 04:33 PM
Post #3




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Flash Flood Warning in Baltimore.

QUOTE
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MDC005-025-510-190030-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FF.W.0109.110818T2126Z-110819T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.
O/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
526 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
SOUTH CENTRAL HARFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
NORTHEASTERN BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 522 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY THE HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE BEL AIR...BOWLEYS QUARTERS...CARNEY...DUNDALK...ESSEX...
KINGSVILLE...MIDDLE RIVER...PARKVILLE...PERRY HALL...PLEASANT
HILLS...ROSEDALE...ROSSVILLE...WHITE MARSH...ARMISTEAD GARDENS...
EASTPOINT...HOMELAND...JOSEPHINE LEE...MORGAN STATE UNIVERSITY AND
WOODRING.


This post has been edited by phillyfan: Aug 18 2011, 04:39 PM
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--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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WEATHERFAN100
post Aug 18 2011, 04:49 PM
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From: LANCASTER PA
Member No.: 13,459





Thunder and pouring rain.

With the sun out...

Pretty cool.


--------------------
-James

Winter 2013-2014:
December: 12.15"
January:
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phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 04:55 PM
Post #5




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QUOTE(WEATHERFAN100 @ Aug 18 2011, 05:49 PM) *
Thunder and pouring rain.

With the sun out...

Pretty cool.


Nothing but sunny up here, hoping for something to come later, Philly might be in line for what Baltimore area is getting.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 05:18 PM
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From: Schenectady, NY
Member No.: 18,424





Here is was another day of watching storms pass to the south of me. As usual. Nothing in the forecast for the rest of the evening, and the radar looks clear.

Hoping it doesn't storm tomorrow evening, as my buddy wants to get his dirt modified racecar out on the track, and if it storms it ain't good racing weather.

It probably won't anyways though, we never really get thunderstorms here anymore. At least not this year with this weather pattern.

As for Saturday and Sunday, well, let it storm.
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 05:19 PM
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QUOTE(WEATHERFAN100 @ Aug 18 2011, 05:49 PM) *
Thunder and pouring rain.

With the sun out...

Pretty cool.


Had that one time back in June, along with pea sized hail. Was pretty cool because in the end, we got a double rainbow out of it.
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phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 06:28 PM
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Storms developing west of me in Lebanon county hearing thunder already.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 06:31 PM
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Member No.: 18,424





Hmmm wondering if that little line of storms developing just south of Syracuse will stay together into my area. It's about 120 miles or so. If so, they are headed pretty much eastward, on a direct course into the area. Some of the storms that formed south of me earlier made it well into Mass. Hoping to see a little nighttime lightning, but knowing this area I am not all that hopeful *LOL*
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phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 06:41 PM
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storm to my west may take awhile to get here, near annville moving east at 10mph. Also thunder starting down in Philly can hear it on the broadcast of the Phils game.

This post has been edited by phillyfan: Aug 18 2011, 06:41 PM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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beninbaltimore
post Aug 18 2011, 06:55 PM
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Member No.: 22,491





Don't know if anyone else caught the storm that just passed thru baltimore but it had some impressive structure. I will post some pics I took from my phone later.


--------------------
You can lead a horse to water but a pencil must be lead. - Stan Laurel
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justintime2989
post Aug 18 2011, 07:05 PM
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severe thunderstorm for western nj moving east. and that storm that hit nyc had some nice structure to.
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 08:16 PM
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Line of storms off to the west seem to be developing into more of a line structure, which if it holds together will almost certainly impact the area. The big question is, can it make it the last 70 miles or so? If so, we could finally see a storm. That is assuming this line actually contains lightning and thunder. With my luck it will turn out to be a typical heavy rain, although CAPE is pretty respectable and I believe that helps with lightning potential.
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phillyfan
post Aug 18 2011, 08:18 PM
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ugh, storm looked so good until it got close to my location then it went to nothing, only 0.06 in.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2014

Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/3, 7/8, 7/9, 7/13, 7/14, 7/15, 7/27-28
Severe T-Storm Warning: 4/22, 5/22, 5/22, 5/27, 7/2, 7/8, 7/13
Flood Watch: 4/29-5/1
Flash Flood Watch: 5/16-17, 6/12-13, 6/13-14, 7/3-4, 7/14-16
Flash Flood Warning: 6/13, 7/2
Flood Warning: 4/30-5/1

5/22 - Marble sized hail
5/27 - 54 mph wind gust
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Aug 18 2011, 09:18 PM) *
ugh, storm looked so good until it got close to my location then it went to nothing, only 0.06 in.


Man, last time I looked at the radar it looked like your area was gonna get slammed. Sorry to hear it didn't amount to anything.

I'm fearing the same for the line of storms I am watching. Although you never know, I didn't think there would be a line of storms for me to be watching, and one developed. Now, it just has to make it about 60 more miles.
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WeatherDudeNYC
post Aug 18 2011, 08:44 PM
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Had a bunch of severe storm pass to my south and got this storm in north western NJ and it won't move!

This post has been edited by WeatherDudeNYC: Aug 18 2011, 08:44 PM
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--------------------
There is no such thing as boring weather.
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justintime2989
post Aug 18 2011, 08:48 PM
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yea feels like it isnt. i might drive west so doesnt weaken by time gets to my house
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 09:11 PM
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Line to the west looks very pathetic now, and is turning a bit to the north at any rate. So, any surviving precip should pass well to the north of me anyways.

I knew it looked too good to be true. It's summer 2011, it's impossible to get a thunderstorm around here. Rain, no problem. But anything exciting, and it's sure to miss me.

Of course, I will be proven wrong tomorrow evening due to the desire to attend the dirt track race I mentioned earlier in the thread. We will probably get hit by training cells with heavy rain.
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 09:14 PM
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Looks like the folks to the south in dutchess county, ny had a severe thunderstorm that wasn't *LOL*

QUOTE
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
-- Changed Discussion --AS OF 930 PM...A BOUNDARY IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES HAS SEEN QUITE A BIT
OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ISSUED ONE WARNING FOR CENTRAL
DUTCHESS/EASTERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY...BASED ON 50-DBZ CORES OVER
30000 FEET...EASILY QUALIFYING AS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
HOWEVER...THE CORES WERE QUITE SKINNY AND GROUND REPORTS ONLY REPORT
PEA SIZE HAIL AT MOST WITH HEAVY RAINFALL. ISSUED ONE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING FOR CENTRAL DUTCHESS COUNTY. SO FAR...NO VERIFICATIONS ON
THAT YET.
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Dave12308
post Aug 18 2011, 09:17 PM
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And I look at the radar again, and one of the cells to the west seems to be intensifying again, and changing direction a bit. It's going to be hard to call this one until it is right overhead (or has actually died out). I might not get to find out, because it's almost bedtime. And unless it turns into a monster severe storm, I will likely sleep through it.

Weather channel says mostly clear through 4AM, but they seem to be wrong more often than not.
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