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> First snowfall, Tell us when you think your city will have its first snow, over 0.10&#
First Snowfall
New York City, NY
Early November (11/1-11/15) [ 4 ] ** [10.81%]
Late November (11/15-11/30) [ 11 ] ** [29.73%]
Early December (12/1-12/15) [ 11 ] ** [29.73%]
Late December (12/15-12/31) [ 4 ] ** [10.81%]
Early January (1/1-1/15) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
After January 15 [ 2 ] ** [5.41%]
Do Not Know [ 4 ] ** [10.81%]
Boston, MA
Early, or before, November (11/1-11/15) [ 7 ] ** [18.92%]
Late November (11/15-11/30) [ 14 ] ** [37.84%]
Early December (12/1-12/15) [ 6 ] ** [16.22%]
Late December (12/15-12/31) [ 2 ] ** [5.41%]
Early January (1/1-1/15) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
After January 15 [ 2 ] ** [5.41%]
Do Not Know [ 5 ] ** [13.51%]
Philadelphia, PA
Early, or before, November (11/1-11/15) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
Late November (11/15-11/30) [ 9 ] ** [24.32%]
Early December (12/1-12/15) [ 13 ] ** [35.14%]
Late December (12/15-12/31) [ 6 ] ** [16.22%]
Early January (1/1-1/15) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
After January 15 [ 3 ] ** [8.11%]
Do Not Know [ 4 ] ** [10.81%]
Chicago, IL
Early, or before, November (11/1-11/15) [ 14 ] ** [37.84%]
Late November (11/15-11/30) [ 14 ] ** [37.84%]
Early December (12/1-12/15) [ 6 ] ** [16.22%]
Late December (12/15-12/31) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
Early January (1/1-1/15) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
After January 15 [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
Do Not Know [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
St. Louis, MO
Early, or before, November (11/1-11/15) [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
Late November (11/15-11/30) [ 11 ] ** [29.73%]
Early December (12/1-12/15) [ 15 ] ** [40.54%]
Late December (12/15-12/31) [ 5 ] ** [13.51%]
Early January (1/1-1/15) [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
After January 15 [ 1 ] ** [2.70%]
Do Not Know [ 4 ] ** [10.81%]
Total Votes: 38
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 19 2011, 02:38 PM
Post #1







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If I did not include the city that is closest to you, please post where you are, and when you think that your city will get its first snowfall.
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Torontoweather
post Aug 19 2011, 03:10 PM
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First snowfall over 0.10&#?... What does that mean?... If you could include Toronto, that would be great.


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TheMaineMan
post Aug 19 2011, 04:38 PM
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South-central Maine...I think I'll see first flakes in the sky in early November, and first trace (0.10+) around Thanksgiving. This assumes that my forecast of a warm and dry November is correct... if everyone else is correct about a colder fall, then more like mid-October for flakes and early November for the trace of snow.

First snows in the past few years:
2008: Early December
2009: Mid-October
2010: Late November
2011: ????


--------------------
Average snowfall: 81 inches
2007-2008 snowfall: 102 inches
2008-2009 snowfall: 71 inches
2009-2010 snowfall: 47 inches
2010-2011 snowfall: 99.5 inches
2011-2012 snowfall: 58.5 inches
2012-2013 snowfall: 78 inches
2013-2014 snowfall so far: 40 inches

Coldest temp of 2013-2014 winter so far: -15 F


Total snowfall 2013-2014 season:
October: None
November: 1 inch
December: 31 inches
January: 8 inches
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mikeyj1220
post Aug 19 2011, 04:45 PM
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Pittsburgh, PA or Southwestern PA (I live 30miles from Pittsburgh near Latrobe, Pa) which is considered Laurel Highlands


--------------------
Not snow starved this winter of 09/10: Approx.. 85-90 inches

Feb 2010 beat our snow record in one month with approx. 45-50 inches
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 19 2011, 07:30 PM
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QUOTE(Torontoweather @ Aug 19 2011, 04:10 PM) *
First snowfall over 0.10&#?... What does that mean?... If you could include Toronto, that would be great.



First snowfall over 0.10"
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Torontoweather
post Aug 19 2011, 09:41 PM
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I'll take a guess and say that the first 0.10"+ snowfall for Toronto, Ontario, Canada will be within the first 2 weeks of November.


--------------------
New blog for southern Ontario!
Discussions on other parts of North America as well(particularly for winter storms)!
http://weatherintoronto.blogspot.com/

"Get Up-To-Date Forecasts on Upcoming weather events across South-Eastern North America!"
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Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Aug 19 2011, 09:51 PM
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QUOTE(Torontoweather @ Aug 19 2011, 10:41 PM) *
I'll take a guess and say that the first 0.10"+ snowfall for Toronto, Ontario, Canada will be within the first 2 weeks of November.


For Toronto I'd say last week of October or first week of November


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Torontoweather
post Aug 19 2011, 09:55 PM
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QUOTE(Snowstorms @ Aug 19 2011, 10:51 PM) *
For Toronto I'd say last week of October or first week of November


Hope you are correct! wink.gif


--------------------
New blog for southern Ontario!
Discussions on other parts of North America as well(particularly for winter storms)!
http://weatherintoronto.blogspot.com/

"Get Up-To-Date Forecasts on Upcoming weather events across South-Eastern North America!"
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Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Aug 19 2011, 09:58 PM
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QUOTE(Torontoweather @ Aug 19 2011, 10:55 PM) *
Hope you are correct! wink.gif


Last year and the year before I think we had a few threads about the first "snowstorm" I think and I predicted it accurately on that exact day. laugh.gif rolleyes.gif

La Nina's start earlier than Nino's.

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grace
post Aug 20 2011, 12:12 AM
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Paducah, Ky.

--Dec. 9-10
I'm predicting an early major winter storm to hit St. Louis through the OV to the Mid-Atlantic. Paducah will get in on a wintry mix ending as snow. And I have absolutely no meteorological basis for this prediction. laugh.gif

And if I'm right I'll make sure to remind everyone. cool.gif
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TheMaineMan
post Aug 20 2011, 08:29 PM
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QUOTE(Snowstorms @ Aug 19 2011, 10:58 PM) *
Last year and the year before I think we had a few threads about the first "snowstorm" I think and I predicted it accurately on that exact day. laugh.gif rolleyes.gif

La Nina's start earlier than Nino's.


Not here... La Ninas usually take forever to get going (last year was a case in point) but once they get going they keep going into spring. El Ninos here start with a bang before fizzing into a weak winter and early Spring (2009-2010 was a case in point).


--------------------
Average snowfall: 81 inches
2007-2008 snowfall: 102 inches
2008-2009 snowfall: 71 inches
2009-2010 snowfall: 47 inches
2010-2011 snowfall: 99.5 inches
2011-2012 snowfall: 58.5 inches
2012-2013 snowfall: 78 inches
2013-2014 snowfall so far: 40 inches

Coldest temp of 2013-2014 winter so far: -15 F


Total snowfall 2013-2014 season:
October: None
November: 1 inch
December: 31 inches
January: 8 inches
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Ryan45
post Sep 22 2011, 11:17 AM
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Toronto, ON - Im going with first 2 weeks of Nov.


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Note: Only available during severe weather

www.twitter.com/wxryan45
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Sep 22 2011, 05:33 PM
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QUOTE(TheMaineMan @ Aug 20 2011, 09:29 PM) *
Not here... La Ninas usually take forever to get going (last year was a case in point) but once they get going they keep going into spring. El Ninos here start with a bang before fizzing into a weak winter and early Spring (2009-2010 was a case in point).



In 2000-01, the Nina got off to a good start in December with my area getting 15" for that month, and a total of 43.8" for the entire season.
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an uncanny otter
post Sep 22 2011, 10:12 PM
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QUOTE(Ryan45 @ Sep 22 2011, 12:17 PM) *
Toronto, ON - Im going with first 2 weeks of Nov.
That's probably a good bet for my area as well. We usually receive our first snowflakes by November 15.
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Sep 22 2011, 10:53 PM
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Central New york, higher elevations mid-late oct, valleys last week of oct/1st week of november..

This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Sep 22 2011, 10:53 PM


--------------------

western monmouth county avg snowfall 27"-30"

Last 6 yr avg snowfall 46.5"

Freehold boro snowfall
2008 - 2009: 26.8"
2009 - 2010: 74.2"
2010 - 2011: 61.1"
2011 - 2012: 8.5"
2012 - 2013: 38.2"
2013 - 2014: 72.0"


Monthly rainfall

April: 5.96"
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SnowMan11
post Sep 23 2011, 08:15 AM
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NYC - Late November


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Winter =)
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Sep 23 2011, 03:40 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Sep 23 2011, 09:15 AM) *
NYC - Late November



Yea, I was thinking the same thing, we could have a white Thanksgiving!!

But just a snow shower, but it is still november snow!!!
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sw03181
post Sep 23 2011, 03:53 PM
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Hartford:

First Flakes: 11/3 (see sig. for other predictions)
First Snowfall (.5" or greater): 11/15, +/- one day



--------------------
Rob
2012-2013 Total Snowfall: 85.5"
2013-2014 Total Snowfall: 60.95"


2014-2015 Winter Wx predictions (Nov. 1 -- Mar. 31) :
Total snowfall: 40 /- 6"
# of SECS: 3
# of MECS: 1
# of HECS: 0
# of Ice storms: 0
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Sep 23 2011, 05:51 PM
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QUOTE(sw03181 @ Sep 23 2011, 04:53 PM) *
Hartford:

First Flakes: 11/3 (see sig. for other predictions)
First Snowfall (.5" or greater): 11/15, +/- one day



That seems to be a little bit early to me.
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Juniorrr
post Sep 23 2011, 07:42 PM
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Dayton Ohio... Thanksgiving
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