Aug 27, 2011 - Eastern Ontario Thunderstorm Threat, possibly severe w/ hail Options

[EOsnowmom]

895
ACCN10 CWTO 251944
FORECAST OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:50 AM EDT THURSDAY 25 AUGUST 2011.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 4.30 PM TODAY.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
FORECAST OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

TONIGHT..ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
AS THE MAIN THREATS.

FRIDAY..SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN ONTARIO AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN
THREATS.

SATURDAY..ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN ONTARIO AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND SIZEABLE HAIL AS
THE MAIN THREATS.

This post has been edited by EOsnowmom: Aug 25 2011, 03:32 PM

[Cre47]

Well SPC is only putting western Nebraska and western South Dakota under 5% risk. Interestingly, they are only forecasting a mix of sun and clouds for Saturday.

[EOsnowmom]

Well SPC is only putting western Nebraska and western South Dakota under 5% risk. Interestingly, they are only forecasting a mix of sun and clouds for Saturday.

I noticed that too. weird.

[CrazyC83]

This is the trough that will steer Irene. It is VERY uncertain how this will play out.

[CrazyC83]

If there is heavy rain off this trough, could a Hazel scenario set up?