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> Tropical Storm Lee, Forecasts - ARCHIVED - See also OBS
weathrlover
post Sep 2 2011, 11:45 PM
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QUOTE(Hertz @ Sep 3 2011, 12:25 AM) *
I don't want to check myself as I feel superstitious with this storm, but has the new 00Z operational model suite backed off any on the northward speed of the system (or trended it eastward)?

The fact that the NHC is trending it northward is disconcerting to me, but that update was issued before the 00Z GFS and still a bit slower than the 18Z GFS. But ensembles would seem to support it curving east more, and the NHC isn't taking any of that into account.


The 0z GFS shows it taking the same amount of time to move northward as the 18z. The main difference is the 18z heads north and the 0z heads northeast.

18z NAM and 0z NAM are pretty close with regards to how long it sits near LA. They both seem to get pulled more northeast. 18z is faster than 0z as far as speed is concerned going towards the northeast once it gets pulled in, but it's past 66 hours and it's outside it's zone anyway.

This post has been edited by weathrlover: Sep 2 2011, 11:47 PM
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Hertz
post Sep 2 2011, 11:50 PM
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QUOTE(KYweather2007 @ Sep 3 2011, 12:40 AM) *
Hello all!

Long time browser, first time poster on these boards.

Majority of the 00z model suite centered the remnants anywhere from Southeast KY to Southern Ill with a large emphasis near the I-75 corridor in Central Kentucky. Models drift it north and then cut it off from the main jet and hover it around the Ohio Valley with an upper level low


Has GFS model at least moderated some with how far north/west it goes and backed off the 15C+ return of air at 850mb for my area?

It would help if I know what time (i.e. day and Z) you are referring to that it is supposed to be in your predicted area (SE Kentucky to Souther Illinois).

Is the cutoff still mostly out of the picture by the 10th-11th or so?

Finally what models are you referring to in the suite so far? Must just be GFS/UKMET/NAM, because ECMWF, GEM, and all ensemble means have yet to come out. But were there any others already out as of when you made your post?

Anyways got to go to bed soon. If I don't see a reply here first I'll surely see tomorrow morning what the 06Z models do.

This post has been edited by Hertz: Sep 2 2011, 11:53 PM


--------------------
Let's hope this winter actually happens!

Severe Wx 2013 Cuyahoga Cty


Severe thunderstorm watches: 6/12-6/13 (night), 6/25, 7/10, 7/23, 10/31-11/1 (night)
Tornado watches: 11/17
Tornado warnings: 6/12, 7/10
Slight Risk days: 4/10, 5/21, 5/22, 5/28, 6/1, 6/12, 6/24, 6/25, 6/26, 7/10, 7/19, 7/23, 8/7, 8/27, 9/11, 9/20, 10/6, 10/31
Moderate Risk days: 11/17
High Risk days:
Strongest thunderstorm to date (at CLE airport): 57 mph on 6/25 & 11/17 (thunderless convection on 11/17)
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alfoman
post Sep 2 2011, 11:58 PM
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Lee finally looks like a tropical storm. Over the last 6 hours, it looks like he stayed stationary right off the coast of LA. Big burst of cold cloud tops and convection on the NE past of the storm which is right over southern LA. A small burst of convection is appearing on the rainbow imagery near the center, which means the center will soon be covered by convection- which represents strengthening. Lee could get his act together faster than forecasters may think. The worst of the wind and rain will be experienced Sunday in the southern portion of LA. Consistent 40-50 mph winds with gusts near 70 mph possible. Widespread heavy rainfall is likely, up to 25 inches is possible with storm surge of 3 to 5 feet. Flash flooding, river flooding, and minimal coastal flooding is possible over the course of the next two to four days. Stay tight guys, because I think Lee has got some tricks up his sleeves. 10- 20 knot Shear and dry air to the west of the system will prohibit the storm from intensifying rapidly, however I personally think Lee has a good chance of making it too hurricane status- we will just have to wait and see (waiting is hard when it barely even moves!!!)

Rainbow image: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

ADT: its been gaining some slight latitude, but it hovering around the same longitude.

2011SEP03 011500 3.0 989.6 45.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 13.94 -14.07 SHEAR N/A N/A 27.68 91.58 FCST GOES13 37.1
2011SEP03 014500 3.0 989.6 45.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 16.34 -13.46 SHEAR N/A N/A 27.70 91.60 FCST GOES13 37.1
2011SEP03 021500 3.0 989.4 45.0 3.0 2.5 2.3 0.5T/hour OFF OFF 7.74 -26.73 CRVBND N/A N/A 28.16 91.58 FCST GOES13 37.6
2011SEP03 024500 3.0 989.4 45.0 2.9 2.5 2.3 0.5T/hour ON OFF -2.36 -25.95 CRVBND N/A N/A 28.19 91.59 FCST GOES13 37.6
2011SEP03 031500 3.0 989.4 45.0 2.8 2.5 2.3 0.5T/hour ON OFF 4.54 -25.54 CRVBND N/A N/A 28.21 91.60 FCST GOES13 37.6
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KYweather2007
post Sep 3 2011, 12:02 AM
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QUOTE(Hertz @ Sep 3 2011, 12:50 AM) *
Has GFS model at least moderated some with how far north/west it goes and backed off the 15C+ return of air at 850mb for my area?

It would help if I know what time (i.e. day and Z) you are referring to that it is supposed to be in your predicted area (SE Kentucky to Souther Illinois).

Is the cutoff still mostly out of the picture by the 10th-11th or so?

Finally what models are you referring to in the suite so far? Must just be GFS/UKMET/NAM, because ECMWF, GEM, and all ensemble means have yet to come out. But were there any others already out as of when you made your post?

Anyways got to go to bed soon. If I don't see a reply here first I'll surely see tomorrow morning what the 06Z models do.


It is a little more s/e this run. Main core of the system is between the 7th-9th. Don't really like the run myself. Think it is really struggling handling the closed low aspect.

As far as the models I use the ones seen on the links below(Some are your more standard GFDL, NOGAPS,HWRF,etc). Links are below

Hurricane models
Hurricane models 2

Followed the "insert link" option. Hope they work
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Illinois blizzar...
post Sep 3 2011, 02:32 AM
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QUOTE
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 826
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
FAR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 145 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF HOUMA
LOUISIANA TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 824...WW 825...

DISCUSSION...THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE OVER THE CNTRL GULF CST THROUGH LATER TODAY AS T.S. LEE
MOVES SLOWLY NWD. ENVELOPE OF RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH LEE APPEARS TO HAVE EDGED NW INTO EXTREME SERN LA...AND SHOULD
SPREAD FARTHER NNW ACROSS SE LA AND EXTREME SRN MS LATER THIS
MORNING. WITH NEIGHBORING UPR LOW MAINTAINING SOMEWHAT COOLER THAN
NORMAL MID LVL TEMPS INVOF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...DEEP
INSTABILITY HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN SCTD TSTMS CLOSE JUST
OFF THE SE LA CST...WITH OTHER STORMS PRESENT OVER THE GULF WATERS S
OF VPS. GIVEN EXPECTED STRENGTHENING OF LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL/SPEED
SHEAR...AND INCREASING LOW LVL MOISTURE...SETUP MAY POSE AN
INCREASING RISK FOR LOW LVL MESOCYCLONES/TORNADOES WITH THE
CONVECTION THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15035.


--------------------
2013:
Winter Weather Advisories: 1
Winter Storm Watches: 0
Winter Storm Warnings: 0

9.20" on 12/14/13 first winter storm

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Undertakerson
post Sep 3 2011, 04:35 AM
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Much as with Irene, Lee spawning several Tornado Warnings - SPC Mesoscale signature looks the same (fixed layer) as last weekend up here.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis...amp;underlay=1#

(OT- oddly, I believe the one up in upper IL is probably more an actual event)

This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Sep 3 2011, 04:37 AM


--------------------
There are but few poems or witty quotes about the month of August. Perhaps this is, in part, the denial we may harbor that the last full measure of summer is at hand - that the "ber" months with all their cool overtones draw nigh. So it tends to be less thought of, as if it were the late Sunday afternoon of a worker's weekend - enjoyable yet ever fading towards the inevitable Monday of Autumn
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DrewNola
post Sep 3 2011, 06:12 AM
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Multiple Tornado Warnings here in NOLA, I just went outside, many branches down, wires hanging low and winds starting to roar. Lots of flooding occurring.
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Undertakerson
post Sep 3 2011, 06:36 AM
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QUOTE(DrewNola @ Sep 3 2011, 07:12 AM) *
Multiple Tornado Warnings here in NOLA, I just went outside, many branches down, wires hanging low and winds starting to roar. Lots of flooding occurring.

SPC analysis shows the fixed layer parameters increasing - seemingly by the minute. I suspect your area will see at least one - five confirmed but not a major verified outbreak within the next 24 hours.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis...amp;underlay=1#

Stay safe.

This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Sep 3 2011, 06:37 AM


--------------------
There are but few poems or witty quotes about the month of August. Perhaps this is, in part, the denial we may harbor that the last full measure of summer is at hand - that the "ber" months with all their cool overtones draw nigh. So it tends to be less thought of, as if it were the late Sunday afternoon of a worker's weekend - enjoyable yet ever fading towards the inevitable Monday of Autumn
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concord13
post Sep 3 2011, 07:16 AM
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looks like the rain field heading north continues to shift east. Do folks anticipate a continued shift towards the east? Or is this system still moving to slow to get a good read on?
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jdrenken
post Sep 3 2011, 07:26 AM
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QUOTE(KYweather2007 @ Sep 2 2011, 11:40 PM) *
Hello all!

Long time browser, first time poster on these boards.

Majority of the 00z model suite centered the remnants anywhere from Southeast KY to Southern Ill with a large emphasis near the I-75 corridor in Central Kentucky. Models drift it north and then cut it off from the main jet and hover it around the Ohio Valley with an upper level low


Welcome to the boards! If you have any questions, just shoot me a message and I"ll help out in any way I can!


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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jdrenken
post Sep 3 2011, 07:30 AM
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QUOTE
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
700 AM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

...LEE STRENGTHENING...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE COAST...



SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 92.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM S OF NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST. LEE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR
7 MPH...11 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST
THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH
...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BEFORE THE CENTER
MOVES WELL INLAND OVER LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
MAINLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. RECENTLY AN OIL
RIG JUST SOUTH OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
58 MPH AND A GUST TO 67 MPH AT 200 FEET ELEVATION.


THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM
OIL RIGS IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS. A STORM
SURGE OF NEAR 4 FEET WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT SHELL BEACH
LOUISIANA...AND A SURGE HEIGHT OF 2.4 FEET WAS REPORTED AT GRAND
ISLE LOUISIANA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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jdrenken
post Sep 3 2011, 07:30 AM
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QUOTE
TROPICAL STORM LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 AM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

SURFACE AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT LEE HAS STRENGTHENED A
LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH THE MAXIMUM WINDS NOW
NEAR 45 KT AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE NEAR 995 MB. THE CYCLONE
CONTINUES TO HAVE AN ELONGATED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND A LARGE
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS...AND THIS...COMBINED WITH THE GENERAL
APPEARANCE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...SUGGESTS THAT LEE HAS AT LEAST
SOME CHARACTERISTICS OF A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE. ANALYSES FROM CIMSS
AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SUGGEST THE STORM IS EXPERIENCING
ABOUT 15 KT OF WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH VERY CLOSE TO THE SYSTEM...AND WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS MID/UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
QUADRANT OF THE STORM.

THE CENTER HAS TENDED TO REFORM FROM TIME TO TIME...WHICH MAKES THE
INITIAL MOTION OF 345/6 RATHER UNCERTAIN. MOST TRACK MODEL
GUIDANCE NOW AGREES THAT LEE SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 48 HR
AS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH SLOWLY WEAKENS...FIRST GENERALLY NORTHWARD
INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND THEN GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD. AFTER 48
HR...A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH SHOULD CAUSE A
FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...ALTHOUGH THERE REMAINS SOME
SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS ON THE EXACT SPEED.
THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK BASED ON THE CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION...THEN LIES
NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK FROM 36 HOURS ONWARD.

GIVEN THAT THE CURRENT ISSUES WITH SHEAR AND DRY AIR HAVE NOT YET
SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED DEVELOPMENT...LEE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
STRENGTHENING UNTIL LANDFALL.
WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL IS LIKELY
TO BE SLOWER THAN NORMAL TO THE THE MARSHY NATURE OF THE LOUISIANA
COAST AND THE AMOUNT OF THE CIRCULATION THAT SHOULD REMAIN OVER
WATER. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...LEE IS FORECAST TO MERGE
WITH AN ONCOMING COLD FRONT AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL...A SOMEWHAT
UNUSUAL OCCURRENCE IN THIS AREA AT THIS TIME OF YEAR.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE WINDS AND RAINS OF LEE EXTEND FAR FROM
THE CENTER...SO IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS TOO MUCH ON THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0900Z 28.8N 91.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 03/1800Z 29.3N 92.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 04/0600Z 30.0N 91.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
36H 04/1800Z 30.5N 91.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 05/0600Z 31.0N 90.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
72H 06/0600Z 32.5N 88.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
96H 07/0600Z 35.0N 86.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 08/0600Z 37.0N 82.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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hckyplayer8
post Sep 3 2011, 08:05 AM
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Naked.

Dry air and shear doing its dirty work.


--------------------
The views and opinions expressed in my posts are of my own and do not reflect the views of the USAF.
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Undertakerson
post Sep 3 2011, 08:07 AM
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QUOTE(hckyplayer8 @ Sep 3 2011, 09:05 AM) *
Naked.

Dry air and shear doing its dirty work.

It don't get any drier than the Tx landmass as it currently exists - not quite a SAL but bone dry nonetheless.


--------------------
There are but few poems or witty quotes about the month of August. Perhaps this is, in part, the denial we may harbor that the last full measure of summer is at hand - that the "ber" months with all their cool overtones draw nigh. So it tends to be less thought of, as if it were the late Sunday afternoon of a worker's weekend - enjoyable yet ever fading towards the inevitable Monday of Autumn
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Valhaz
post Sep 3 2011, 08:21 AM
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I actually thought Lee might become a weak Cat 1. It looks like it time has ran out though. Came pretty close at least.
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Undertakerson
post Sep 3 2011, 08:23 AM
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QUOTE(Valhaz @ Sep 3 2011, 09:21 AM) *
I actually thought Lee might become a weak Cat 1. It looks like it time has ran out though. Came pretty close at least.

to mix a metaphore - A rose, by any other name, can still wreak havoc


--------------------
There are but few poems or witty quotes about the month of August. Perhaps this is, in part, the denial we may harbor that the last full measure of summer is at hand - that the "ber" months with all their cool overtones draw nigh. So it tends to be less thought of, as if it were the late Sunday afternoon of a worker's weekend - enjoyable yet ever fading towards the inevitable Monday of Autumn
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Valhaz
post Sep 3 2011, 08:28 AM
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I don't doubt the power it still can have. Getting some pretty heavy rain with some slight gusts from it now. I love storms, just not working in them mad.gif
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jdrenken
post Sep 3 2011, 08:29 AM
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Please post in the OBS thread.


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