 The LRC Thread 2011/2012, A New Year...A New Pattern |
AccuWeather.com Forums > Weather Forums > Current Weather - United States > Long-Range U.S. Forecasts  |
 Sep 18 2011, 07:47 PM
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Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521  |
In preparation for the new LRC for 2011/2012, I have created this thread with a quote from the LRC Blog...
QUOTE Goodbye to 2010-2011 LRC Sunday, 21 August 2011 11:07 As August comes to a close the old weather pattern is going through a gradual transformation. The old LRC 2010-2011 will still have some identity as the jet stream strengthens and fall approaches, but something rather significant happens between now and October. The old pattern completely goes away and morphs into a brand new weather pattern. This will be happening during the next 30 to 45 days. Start taking notes on the pattern that sets up... LRCWeather Twitter LRCWeather Facebook NWS Milwaukee presented LRC. LRC AMS presentation Not to mention the multiple TV stations that utilize it... Gary Lezak of course, Doug Heady in Joplin (KOAM-7), Mark Baden and Jeremy Nelson in MKE (WISN-12) -------------------- |
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| Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_* |
Sep 18 2011, 08:01 PM
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Guests |
When should we have an idea for what happens with the new cycle, or is there no way to know what happens?
Sorry, I do not know very much about this. |
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Sep 18 2011, 09:44 PM
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(NYsnowlover @ Sep 18 2011, 08:01 PM)  When should we have an idea for what happens with the new cycle, or is there no way to know what happens? Sorry, I do not know very much about this. Take a good read on their blog page along with looking thru the forecasting that was done in this thread from last year. -------------------- |
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| Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_* |
Sep 18 2011, 09:46 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Sep 18 2011, 10:44 PM) Take a good read on their blog page along with looking thru the forecasting that was done in this thread from last year. I did both of those things and I still am kind of confused with it, and I remember when I first head of it in the late 80's I was also confused, but I understand it more now. |
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Sep 18 2011, 10:13 PM
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#5
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Sep 18 2011, 08:47 PM) In preparation for the new LRC for 2011/2012, I have created this thread with a quote from the LRC Blog... Start taking notes on the pattern that sets up... LRCWeather Twitter LRCWeather Facebook I can't wait to see this year's new pattern. 
-------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
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Sep 18 2011, 10:20 PM
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#6
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(Niyologist @ Sep 18 2011, 10:13 PM) I can't wait to see this year's new pattern. Be ready for a new catch phrase! 
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Sep 18 2011, 10:45 PM
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#7
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,810 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Sep 18 2011, 07:47 PM) In preparation for the new LRC for 2011/2012, I have created this thread with a quote Great! I look forward to contributing when the time comes! |
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Sep 20 2011, 01:41 PM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
Start paying attention to our cut off lows ladies and gentlemen!
12Z 20SEP11 GFS  Just as an example... 26SEP10 
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Sep 20 2011, 03:08 PM
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#9
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,087 Joined: 21-December 09 From: Clifton Park, NY Member No.: 20,500 |
Where is it located on the 2010 picture? It shows up as a red x on my computer.
-------------------- First Day above 60: April 8
First Day above 65: April 18 First Day above 70: April 19 First Day above 75: May 1 First Day above 80: May 2 First Day above 85: First Day above 90: First Day above 95: |
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Sep 20 2011, 04:48 PM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(goblue96 @ Sep 20 2011, 03:08 PM) Where is it located on the 2010 picture? It shows up as a red x on my computer. On top of Jacksonville, IL. If you click on the date, it's hotlinked and you can see it there. -------------------- |
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Sep 21 2011, 06:09 PM
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#11
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,461 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
I'm hoping this system of lows in the OV isn't the new LRC- we've been high and dry for way too long.
-------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013 Severe Weather Season Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 1 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4 Slight Risk Days: 3 Moderate Risk Days: 0 High Risk Days: 0 Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37.5'' QUOTE When looking at the models: Trends, trends, trends! |
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Sep 21 2011, 10:42 PM
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#12
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 997 Joined: 30-December 04 From: Omaha, NE Member No.: 592 |
Jdrenken why would you be posting an image from September 2010, that is still the old 2009 pattern and the new pattern sets up in OCTOBER.
--------------------  Snowday.us Testimonials "Craig.... I love your web site." John Belski | Chief Meteorologist WAVE 3 Louisville Kentucky "Craig, Love the site! I am a huge winter weather junkie" Brian Goode Radio/Broadband Meteorologist The Weather Channel Inc Winter 2009-2010 Current Snowfall Totals: 61.00" Snow-Day.org Winter Forecast will be issued September 16th! |
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Sep 21 2011, 10:53 PM
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#13
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(The Snowman @ Sep 21 2011, 07:09 PM) I'm hoping this system of lows in the OV isn't the new LRC- we've been high and dry for way too long. I don't think the new LRC will settle for just that. If you look at the Winter Forecast 2011-2012 Thread, you'll find that there'll be another player in the works. It's something that I have mentioned in that thread that you'll find quite interesting. -------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
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Sep 22 2011, 06:31 AM
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#14
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(Craig-OmahaWX @ Sep 21 2011, 10:42 PM) Jdrenken why would you be posting an image from September 2010, that is still the old 2009 pattern and the new pattern sets up in OCTOBER. Craig, The first comment on that said post was to start paying attention to our cut off lows because we will eventually see our signature storm form right before our eyes. EDIT: You can tell people are getting excited about the pattern because we are reading too deep into post already. 
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Sep 22 2011, 06:47 AM
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#15
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(The Snowman @ Sep 21 2011, 06:09 PM) I'm hoping this system of lows in the OV isn't the new LRC- we've been high and dry for way too long. The pattern starts to reveal itself in October thru November. Just look at the HPC Daily Maps from last year starting on 01OCT10 to watch how last years evolved. -------------------- |
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Sep 22 2011, 06:49 AM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(Niyologist @ Sep 21 2011, 10:53 PM) I don't think the new LRC will settle for just that. If you look at the Winter Forecast 2011-2012 Thread, you'll find that there'll be another player in the works. It's something that I have mentioned in that thread that you'll find quite interesting. That would be what? I must have skimmed past it so please provide a link. -------------------- |
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| Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_* |
Sep 22 2011, 05:50 PM
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#17
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Guests |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Sep 22 2011, 07:49 AM) That would be what? I must have skimmed past it so please provide a link. Yea, I want the ink too, I am very curious!!! 
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 Sep 22 2011, 06:47 PM
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#18
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(NYsnowlover @ Sep 22 2011, 06:50 PM) Yea, I want the ink too, I am very curious!!! This is what I was talking about: QUOTE Yeah, pretty much. The still stronger than average -AO and the Moderate to Strong -NAO (East Based) will favor a more Southern, yet stronger and almost Super Moist Clipper (compared to average). This is why North of the Mason-Dixon line is almost a done deal for at least Slightly Above Average snowfall. There could be a couple of clippers that'll go near the Gulf and pick some more Gulf moisture and phase with the STJ early (for the Great Lakes) and late (for inland or the coastal region).
-------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
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| Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_* |
Sep 22 2011, 06:49 PM
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#19
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Guests |
QUOTE(Niyologist @ Sep 22 2011, 07:47 PM) This is what I was talking about: So kind of like 1995-96 (clipper amount, and strength wise)? |
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Sep 22 2011, 07:14 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(NYsnowlover @ Sep 22 2011, 07:49 PM) So kind of like 1995-96 (clipper amount, and strength wise)? It's possible. That cut-off low will not only representing a SW Event, it's also representing a Strong Clipper event. Although it won't be as robust, it'll still be formidable. -------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
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