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> Invest 91L, Tropical Fomation Development Level: Low - 20%
rainstorm
post Sep 24 2011, 12:33 PM
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i think its invest 91L now.
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hurricane chaser
post Sep 24 2011, 03:22 PM
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EASTERN LONG ISLAND


www.sciottoweather.com For local weather and blog. updated daily

chases over the last two years:: isaac, igor, irene, ophelia, sandy
total chases :: 14



SKYWARN spotter Upton, NY
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jdrenken
post Sep 24 2011, 03:26 PM
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QUOTE
AL, 91, 2011092312, , BEST, 0, 243N, 763W, 15, 1013, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011092318, , BEST, 0, 250N, 770W, 15, 1013, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011092400, , BEST, 0, 257N, 773W, 15, 1012, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011092406, , BEST, 0, 265N, 776W, 15, 1012, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011092412, , BEST, 0, 272N, 778W, 20, 1011, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 91, 2011092418, , BEST, 0, 279N, 779W, 20, 1011, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,


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rainstorm
post Sep 24 2011, 05:58 PM
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hopefully it stays well offshore so we dont get more rain.
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Sep 24 2011, 06:05 PM
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QUOTE(rainstorm @ Sep 24 2011, 06:58 PM) *
hopefully it stays well offshore so we dont get more rain.



Does not look all that likely at the current time.
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shane o mac
post Sep 24 2011, 07:19 PM
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QUOTE(NYsnowlover @ Sep 24 2011, 08:05 PM) *
Does not look all that likely at the current time.

Is that the same system that gets some strenght and moves threw the maritimes on the 160 hour ?
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Sep 24 2011, 07:24 PM
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QUOTE(shane o mac @ Sep 24 2011, 08:19 PM) *
Is that the same system that gets some strenght and moves threw the maritimes on the 160 hour ?



I have heard that this one could follow a similar path that Irene took back in August.
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shane o mac
post Sep 24 2011, 08:40 PM
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QUOTE(NYsnowlover @ Sep 24 2011, 09:24 PM) *
I have heard that this one could follow a similar path that Irene took back in August.

They deffinely dont want that there again ... but we dodged that bullet Irene although it wont be as strong it will still have tropical characteristics ..
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Sep 24 2011, 08:45 PM
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QUOTE(shane o mac @ Sep 24 2011, 09:40 PM) *
They deffinely dont want that there again ... but we dodged that bullet Irene although it wont be as strong it will still have tropical characteristics ..



I think that the only tropical characteristics that it will have would be the heavy rain, I do not think that there will be all that much wind that will be associated with this system.

This post has been edited by NYsnowlover: Sep 24 2011, 08:46 PM
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jdrenken
post Sep 24 2011, 09:03 PM
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QUOTE
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1145 AM EDT SAT 24 SEPTEMBER 2011
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2011
TCPOD NUMBER.....11-116

2. SUSPECT AREA (NEAR NORTHERN BAHAMAS)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72
A. 25/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01JJA INVEST
C. 25/1400Z
D. 28.0N 78.0W
E. 25/1730Z TO 25/2130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
B. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON SUSPECT AREA AT 26/1200Z
NEAR 30.0N 78.0W IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.


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For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

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If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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jdrenken
post Sep 24 2011, 09:04 PM
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Back to a lemon drop...



QUOTE
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 295 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...AND RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM PHILLIPE LOCATED
ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE BAHAMAS NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE AREA. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS NOT BECOME ANY
BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS DIMINISHED. INSTEAD...THERE IS A STRONG
LIKELIHOOD THAT IT WILL BECOME ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT
...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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rainstorm
post Sep 25 2011, 08:14 AM
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looks like its just part of the trough now.
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