SUBTROPICAL STORM INVEST (AL93), Tropical Fomation Development Level: Low - 10% Options

[Removed_Member_Doorman_*]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al932011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201110091821
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 93, 2011, DB, O, 2011100918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL932011
AL, 93, 2011100818, , BEST, 0, 240N, 770W, 35, 1011, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100900, , BEST, 0, 250N, 773W, 35, 1010, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100906, , BEST, 0, 260N, 778W, 35, 1009, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100912, , BEST, 0, 268N, 785W, 35, 1008, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100918, , BEST, 0, 274N, 794W, 35, 1007, SS

[attachment=141951:2011AL93...10092045.GIF]

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/.../2011/al932011/

[attachment=141950:aal93_20...ck_early.png]

This post has been edited by Doorman: Oct 9 2011, 04:35 PM

[east coast storm]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al932011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201110091821
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 93, 2011, DB, O, 2011100918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL932011
AL, 93, 2011100818, , BEST, 0, 240N, 770W, 35, 1011, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100900, , BEST, 0, 250N, 773W, 35, 1010, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100906, , BEST, 0, 260N, 778W, 35, 1009, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100912, , BEST, 0, 268N, 785W, 35, 1008, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100918, , BEST, 0, 274N, 794W, 35, 1007, SS

[attachment=141951:2011AL93...10092045.GIF]

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/.../2011/al932011/

[attachment=141950:aal93_20...ck_early.png]

During the past few hours it has been very windy along the Central Fla. coast
according to NWS observatons winds have been gusting past 60 mph along
the beach areas from the NE. It will be interesting to see what AL93 does.

[jdrenken]

Down to a yellow for obvious reasons.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED INLAND OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA ABOUT
15 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GAINESVILLE FLORIDA CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE GALE-FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST AND
OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OFFSHORE OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF THE
LOW IS GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS DEFINED...AND THE CHANCE OF THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS
DECREASING SINCE THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER LAND TODAY.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST...THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA...INCLUDING WATCHES OR WARNINGS...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

[KSpring1]

During the past few hours it has been very windy along the Central Fla. coast
according to NWS observatons winds have been gusting past 60 mph along
the beach areas from the NE. It will be interesting to see what AL93 does.

Simple, quick question: which acronym on the graph stands for the euro? (thanks! :-) )

[NYCSuburbs]

Simple, quick question: which acronym on the graph stands for the euro? (thanks! :-) )

The EURO isn't on the graph posted above. These are other models.

[KSpring1]

The EURO isn't on the graph posted above. These are other models.

Thank you. Will it always be listed as EURO if it's on the graph? (I'm learning as I go )

This post has been edited by KSpring1: Oct 10 2011, 03:35 PM

[NYCSuburbs]

Thank you. Will it always be listed as EURO if it's on the graph?

Not all sites use the same term, but from what I've seen, most of them tend to use "EURO", "ECM", or "ECMWF".

[KSpring1]

Not all sites use the same term, but from what I've seen, most of them tend to use "EURO", "ECM", or "ECMWF".

Thanks, again. Besides the EURO, which other models would you look for as reliable ones when studying a graph? (Particularly if the EURO's not listed!)

And what is BAM?

[Removed_Member_Doorman_*]

Thanks, again. Besides the EURO, which other models would you look for as reliable ones when studying a graph? (Particularly if the EURO's not listed!)

And what is BAM?

ks1
read thru the links

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/modelsummary.shtml

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showforum=72

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=11280



This post has been edited by Doorman: Oct 10 2011, 04:43 PM

[KSpring1]

ks1
read thru the links [/img]

Thanks, Doorman! Done and done. Still a little confusing, but I posted there and am reading more. Thanks again!