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> November 4-? West (CA) Unsettled Pattern, Reality: Short Range [0-3 days]
alxz310
post Nov 3 2011, 11:34 PM
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As we enter November, the recent dry streak in California comes to an end with at least two cold low pressure systems set to dive down into the state. Showers are currently affecting Central CA set to move down into the southern part of the state through the overnight and early morning hours. Cold air aloft behind the front (-28C to -30C 500mb temps) will also allow for a chance of thunderstorm.

Over the weekend, there is another chance of some precipitation with a similar system diving down into the region. Later on, yet another, much stronger and wetter storm might possibly move into the area

This post has been edited by alxz310: Nov 3 2011, 11:40 PM


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Davis, CA

Seasonal Rainfall: 0.00"

Average to Date (End Month): -.--"

Monthly Rainfall (September): 0.00"
Average: -.--"

Average Temps (September)

Average High: --F
Actual to Date: --F

Average Low: --F
Actual to Date: --F

Record High: ---F
Record Low: --F
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alxz310
post Nov 3 2011, 11:41 PM
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00Z GFS coming in HOT with the storm next week. Maps out to HR183 right now seem to indicate rainfall totals possibly exceeding 2" in areas. I like what i am seeing in these maps! biggrin.gif Maybe this winter will end up above average again?

Edit: Wow, in fact the 00Z just keep dropping these lows out of Canada/Alaska non-stop throughout the run

This post has been edited by alxz310: Nov 3 2011, 11:55 PM


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Davis, CA

Seasonal Rainfall: 0.00"

Average to Date (End Month): -.--"

Monthly Rainfall (September): 0.00"
Average: -.--"

Average Temps (September)

Average High: --F
Actual to Date: --F

Average Low: --F
Actual to Date: --F

Record High: ---F
Record Low: --F
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Jet Developer
post Nov 4 2011, 12:25 AM
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Wow, that marine layer deepened crazily. Most of the day had no low clouds. When I left work, there were some low clouds to the southwest, but it was still mostly clear. Now it shows the marine layer all the way to the mountains on the fog imagery and trying to get into Antelope Valley. Looks like the inversion could be wiped out by the morning.
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Beck
post Nov 4 2011, 01:31 AM
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Cloudy here right now but not foggy. Looking at a high of 60F tomorrow and an 80% chance of showers; up to 0.25" for my area.


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2014-2015: 0.45" (+0.27")
Normal to-date precipitation: 0.18"
Season began July 1st, 2014.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2014-2015: 0.81"

Temecula Weather Pages

QUOTE(wingsovernc @ Sep 13 2014, 04:20 PM) *
You're cute when you're whining Becky :)
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FrostFuzz
post Nov 4 2011, 08:56 AM
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It looks like the front is moving into the area. Getting some rain atm.


--------------------
My Precip Total '13-'14: 4.36"


Precip for '14-'15: 0.15"

http://www.youtube.com/user/frostfuzz
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Jet Developer
post Nov 4 2011, 09:44 AM
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Rain is coming down quite heavily now. Very dark this morning and latest sunrise of the year is tomorrow.
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alxz310
post Nov 4 2011, 10:03 AM
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Well, rainfall amounts from the front were pretty boring. 0.03" here in Santa Monica and even less in most other areas around me. Looks like more moderate showers should move in soon though


--------------------
Davis, CA

Seasonal Rainfall: 0.00"

Average to Date (End Month): -.--"

Monthly Rainfall (September): 0.00"
Average: -.--"

Average Temps (September)

Average High: --F
Actual to Date: --F

Average Low: --F
Actual to Date: --F

Record High: ---F
Record Low: --F
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Artisane
post Nov 4 2011, 10:22 AM
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The front has passed, but the core of the low is still northwest of us. There was a mention of the north facing foothills getting continual showers later to, but we'll have to see if that happens.

Snow was falling as low at 3500ft this morning, but only sticking around 4500ft. Its definately a winter day up here, and feels very much like January.

There was enough of a decent shower this morning that made me rethink postponing getting new tires until the spring. Oh, well.. I got 45k miles out of these ones.
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FrostFuzz
post Nov 4 2011, 10:57 AM
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Some of these showers are heavy. ohmy.gif This is going to add up.

Edit: The nearest station just jumped from .05" to .17" in no more than 5 minutes. Still only .04" at NWS right now though.

This post has been edited by FrostFuzz: Nov 4 2011, 11:01 AM


--------------------
My Precip Total '13-'14: 4.36"


Precip for '14-'15: 0.15"

http://www.youtube.com/user/frostfuzz
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Artisane
post Nov 4 2011, 11:09 AM
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From the NWS Oxnard Statemet.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/get...LOX&wfo=LOX
QUOTE
GIVEN THE COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH...SNOW LEVELS WILL
TUMBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS
TO FALL TO AROUND 4000 FEET...THEN DOWN AS LOW AS 3500 FEET TONIGHT.
SO...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...
GENERALLY BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES IN SOME SPOTS. WITH NORTHERLY
WINDS CRANKING UP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL LIKELY
BE SOME HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE
GRAPEVINE AREA. WILL ISSUE A WINTER WX ADVISORY THIS MORNING...
WITH THE FOCUS CENTERED ON THE GRAPEVINE.


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ChrisL
post Nov 4 2011, 11:15 AM
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The rain was coming down pretty hard here in Corona. I was barely hitting 30mph on the 91fwy right before the 71.
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Artisane
post Nov 4 2011, 11:17 AM
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QUOTE(ChrisL @ Nov 4 2011, 09:15 AM) *
The rain was coming down pretty hard here in Corona. I was barely hitting 30mph on the 91fwy right before the 71.

30mph on the 91? I consider that a win!
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Beck
post Nov 4 2011, 11:21 AM
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Scattered showers this morning, but only 0.11" has fallen in Temecula, and only 0.05" at my house. Pretty nice though. smile.gif


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2014-2015: 0.45" (+0.27")
Normal to-date precipitation: 0.18"
Season began July 1st, 2014.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2014-2015: 0.81"

Temecula Weather Pages

QUOTE(wingsovernc @ Sep 13 2014, 04:20 PM) *
You're cute when you're whining Becky :)
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FrostFuzz
post Nov 4 2011, 11:22 AM
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QUOTE(Artisane @ Nov 4 2011, 11:17 AM) *
30mph on the 91? I consider that a win!

This is true laugh.gif

Woah it just started coming down like crazy! I never expected anything like this! ohmy.gif

This post has been edited by FrostFuzz: Nov 4 2011, 11:24 AM


--------------------
My Precip Total '13-'14: 4.36"


Precip for '14-'15: 0.15"

http://www.youtube.com/user/frostfuzz
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Artisane
post Nov 4 2011, 11:30 AM
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QUOTE(FrostFuzz @ Nov 4 2011, 09:22 AM) *
This is true laugh.gif

Woah it just started coming down like crazy! I never expected anything like this! ohmy.gif

Wait until that low swings in. There's a lot of cold air aloft that should increase tshort chances.
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FrostFuzz
post Nov 4 2011, 11:39 AM
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QUOTE(Artisane @ Nov 4 2011, 11:30 AM) *
Wait until that low swings in. There's a lot of cold air aloft that should increase tshort chances.

This is where I had expected most of the rainfall to come from. And on that note, from the latest forecast discussion from NWS San Diego...

QUOTE
...THEN MORE SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP INTO SUPERCELLS AND
DROP FUNNEL CLOUDS OR WATERSPOUTS NEAR THE COAST.
THE RAINFALL WILL
BE MORE SPOTTY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LOCALLY HEAVIER AND IT APPEARS
MOST OF OUR STORM TOTALS WILL HAPPEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...


This post has been edited by FrostFuzz: Nov 4 2011, 11:40 AM


--------------------
My Precip Total '13-'14: 4.36"


Precip for '14-'15: 0.15"

http://www.youtube.com/user/frostfuzz
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FrostFuzz
post Nov 4 2011, 12:41 PM
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Rain is tapering off. Also there have been some fair winds.


--------------------
My Precip Total '13-'14: 4.36"


Precip for '14-'15: 0.15"

http://www.youtube.com/user/frostfuzz
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Artisane
post Nov 4 2011, 01:35 PM
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Weather conditions are turning bad quickly up here. We've had a steady 50F with light winds and sunny skies all morning, but its getting very grey, very quickly and the temps are dropping, just in the last 30 minutes.

You can see the snow falling to 4000ft before it melts to rain, which is heading this way. We're 10F below the normal winter highs. I really wish I had a camera good enough to catch the view, its just so awesome seeing all the snow clouds.

Edit: Frost Advisory out for our area with temps mid to upper 20s possible.

This post has been edited by Artisane: Nov 4 2011, 04:42 PM
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FrostFuzz
post Nov 4 2011, 04:52 PM
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It is unusually chilly here as well. It is a brisk 50F outside. There is a good chance the high for today will be midnight this morning, when it was still 58F.


--------------------
My Precip Total '13-'14: 4.36"


Precip for '14-'15: 0.15"

http://www.youtube.com/user/frostfuzz
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Mike1014
post Nov 4 2011, 05:18 PM
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I love this late October/Early November transitory weather. On Halloween, it was 94 degrees here in the desert. Yesterday morning, I walk outside to get the newspaper and it was 38 degrees! Hello winter!

Still waiting for the rain here...don't know if we'll get much if anything. It was sprinkling for about 5 minutes last hour, but nothing much other than that. I wonder to myself if this could be sign of another cool and abnormally wet rainy season despite the moderate/strong La Nina being forecast this winter.


--------------------
Precipitation for the 2012/2013 rainfall season in La Quinta, CA...2.68"

Precipitation for the 2013/2014 rainfall season in La Quinta, CA...3.49"

Precipitation for the 2014/2015 rainfall season in La Quinta, CA...0.13"

July:...0.10"
Aug:...0.68"
Sep:...2.87"
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