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> November 21st-24th MidAtl/NE Storm OBS, Please Post Last Minute Forecast and OBS
jdrenken
post Nov 22 2011, 06:55 AM
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Your turn...




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donutvampire
post Nov 22 2011, 07:06 AM
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WSW out for Portland, ME and moust interior counties what a nice thing to wake up to smile.gif

QUOTE
... WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS... INTERIOR YORK COUNTY MAINE... COASTAL CUMBERLAND COUNTY MAINE... AS WELL AS MERRIMACK... BELKNAP... AND STRAFFORD COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

* HAZARD TYPES... HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS... 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING... SNOW WILL BEGIN FALLING NOT TOO LONG AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... AND BECOME HEAVY VERY QUICKLY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT WILL TAPER OFF AND END LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX OR CHANGE OVER TO SLEET. SOME RAIN MAY MIX IN AS WELL.

* IMPACTS... HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET WILL CAUSE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

* WINDS... NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 20S TONIGHT... THEN RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S WEDNESDAY.

* VISIBILITIES... ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

More Information

... HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM POISED TO ADVERSELY AFFECT HOLIDAY TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY... THEN ACROSS OR JUST SOUTH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY.

THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE-LADEN... AND WILL AID IN BRINGING HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW IN ALL AREAS... BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE... WHICH WILL QUICKLY SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD FROM THERE. MOST OF THE WARNING AREA WILL BE EXPERIENCING HEAVY SNOW BY DAWN WEDNESDAY.

SNOWFALL RATES COULD BE ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR FOR A PERIOD OF TIME LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. SLEET IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE AS WARMER AIR MOVES IN ALOFT. IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND COASTAL SOUTHERN MAINE... LOW LEVEL WARM AIR MAY WORK IN FROM OFF THE OCEAN AND ALLOW FOR A CHANGE TO A COLD RAIN. THIS WILL KEEP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DOWN... BUT NOT ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A TRAVEL MESS.

HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE EASTWARD INTO INTERIOR SOUTHERN MAINE AND CENTRAL MAINE. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF AND END FROM WEST TO EAST AS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ALL AREAS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THE HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET WILL CREATE VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. THE CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW WILL PROBABLY BE HEAVY AND WET... AND COULD POSE A POWER OUTAGE ISSUE DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW ON TREES AND WIRES.

THE TIMING OF THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ONE OF THE BUSIEST TRAVEL DAYS OF THE YEAR. PEOPLE SHOULD PLAN THEIR TRAVEL ACCORDINGLY AND BE PREPARED TO ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION.



--------------------
Location: Portland, ME
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Undertakerson
post Nov 22 2011, 07:10 AM
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QUOTE(donutvampire @ Nov 22 2011, 07:06 AM) *
WSW out for Portland, ME and moust interior counties what a nice thing to wake up to smile.gif

SNOWFALL RATES COULD BE ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR Whoa - thats some serious fall rates.
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NorEaster07
post Nov 22 2011, 07:25 AM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Nov 22 2011, 06:55 AM) *
Your turn...


Thanks for opening this... I saw it so I deleted my question about it in the other thread right before you replied to it.. LOL Anyway..

These images are not stills so they'll refresh on updates.







And the best one...NJ... blink.gif LMAO.. 16 inches of snow? I guess they convert the liquid into snow totals and keep the mapactive.

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telejunkie
post Nov 22 2011, 10:01 AM
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Sounds like Northern VT has been downgraded to a WWA while Southern VT has been upgraded to a WWA

Here is Albany's WWA for Lake George/Southern Daks/Southern VT:
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE AND GLENS
FALLS AREAS...NORTHERN SARATOGA COUNTY MAINLY ABOVE 1000 FEET
AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH UP TO A
TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AND SOME FREEZING
RAIN AT TIMES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT FROM FALLEN TREE LIMBS.

* WINDS...EASTERLY WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH THEN
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR FREEZING.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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NorEaster07
post Nov 22 2011, 10:10 AM
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Saved Loop.

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snofan
post Nov 22 2011, 10:29 AM
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QUOTE(donutvampire @ Nov 22 2011, 07:06 AM) *
WSW out for Portland, ME and moust interior counties what a nice thing to wake up to smile.gif




Alright! Good Luck with this storm and enjoy!
Dave


--------------------
Dave Jericho, VT
Eastern Chittenden County
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Fire/Rescue
post Nov 22 2011, 10:42 AM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Nov 22 2011, 07:10 AM) *
SNOWFALL RATES COULD BE ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR Whoa - thats some serious fall rates.

Absolutely...sounds wonderful tongue.gif
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shaunalbany
post Nov 22 2011, 12:35 PM
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There is growing concern of fZR and sleet along I90...per KALB

"LATEST 12Z NAM HAS ARRIVED AND ITS TRENDS...ALONG WITH THE THERMAL
PROFILES...ARE A BIT ALARMING. WE MAY SEE SOME CHANGES TO HEADLINES AS QPF AMOUNTS ARE A BIT HIGHER ALONG WITH MESOSCALE IMPACTS ALONG THE I90 CORRIDOR VIA THE 2D FGEN. MORE DETAILS ONCE ALL OF THE 12Z DATA HAS ARRIVED..."

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...mp;highlight=on
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phillyfan
post Nov 22 2011, 02:51 PM
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Flash Flood Watch issued.

QUOTE
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
248 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ060>062-067>071-231100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.A.0010.111123T0300Z-111123T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.
O/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
248 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND
PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NEW JERSEY...
HUNTERDON...MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...SOMERSET
..SUSSEX
AND WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...BUCKS...CHESTER...
DELAWARE...LEHIGH...MONTGOMERY...NORTHAMPTON AND PHILADELPHIA.

* FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
INTO OUR REGION LATER TONIGHT AND PRODUCE A COPIOUS AMOUNT OF
RAIN OVER A RATHER SHORT TIME PERIOD. RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE SYSTEM WRAPS UP
AND MOVES TO OUR NORTHEAST. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS FROM ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS FROM FLOODING WILL INCLUDE...SMALL STREAM, POOR
DRAINAGE, URBAN AREA, BASEMENT, AND ROADWAY FLOODING. THE LARGER
RIVERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO TAKE THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS BUT
THEY MAY RUN HIGH AND A FEW MAY POSSIBLY APPROACH FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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telejunkie
post Nov 22 2011, 03:15 PM
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From KALY:
WE PLAN TO UPGRADE TO WINTER STORM
WARNINGS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES...AND ADVISORIES DOWN INTO
PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND SCHOHARIE VALLEY. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVERNIGHT.


Good thing this isn't happening tomoroow as the Euro had depicted last week since I will be traveling tomorrow.


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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WEATHERFAN100
post Nov 22 2011, 03:29 PM
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0.50" rainfall so far today imby.

Expecting additional 1-2 inches plus through tomorrow aftn.-


--------------------
-James
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Fire/Rescue
post Nov 22 2011, 03:32 PM
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0.59" so far here IMBY
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phillyfan
post Nov 22 2011, 03:35 PM
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0.70 here already today, creek is already rising.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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shane o mac
post Nov 22 2011, 04:08 PM
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Snowfall warning for the all of nova scotia up to 30 cm or a foot in the usa measurements
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NorEaster07
post Nov 22 2011, 04:14 PM
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Winter Storm Advisories issued further south then previously

Attached Image
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jdrenken
post Nov 22 2011, 04:31 PM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Nov 22 2011, 03:14 PM) *
Winter Storm Advisories issued further south then previously

Attached Image


Albany mentioned doing so in their 1pm AFD posted above.



--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.



Organicforecasting Blog
Organicforecasting data
89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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telejunkie
post Nov 22 2011, 04:36 PM
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isa gonna be an interesin' night.
Temp 34F
Dewpoint 24F

Tonight: Rain and snow likely before 11pm, then rain, snow, and sleet between 11pm and 2am, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet after 2am. Low around 30. Breezy, with a east wind 5 to 8 mph increasing to between 17 and 20 mph. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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NorEaster07
post Nov 22 2011, 04:38 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Nov 22 2011, 04:31 PM) *
Albany mentioned doing so in their 1pm AFD posted above.


Yup...didnt see a map though just in case nobody read the update.

Green County NY is the southernmost advisory in NY. Berkshire in MA.
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NorEaster07
post Nov 22 2011, 04:41 PM
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NWS Taunton

QUOTE
PTYPE...
THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS AND 15Z SREF ARE ALL WARMER THAN THE 12Z NAM.
THE NAM HAS BEEN DISPLAYING A COLD BIAS THIS EARLY SEASON SO FAR.
GOING WITH THE WARMER SOLUTIONS STILL YIELDS A WINTRY MIX OF
RAIN/SNOW/SLEET AND POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN MAINLY ACROSS CHESHIRE
COUNTY OF NH...WITH A LOWER PROBABILITY ACROSS HILLSBORO COUNTY NH
AND FRANKLIN COUNTY MA.-- End Changed Discussion --
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