 Dec. 21-23 Plains/MW/GL/OV Storm, Please Post In OBS Thread |
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 Dec 8 2011, 09:07 AM
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#1
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 748 Joined: 18-May 10 From: Tulsa, OK Member No.: 22,798  |
Yes I know it's far out there, but the GFS and its ensembles say there will be some kind of storm system during this time frame.
-------------------- Best model sites:
InstantWeatherMaps (GFS, NAM, RUC, fast ECMWF... Best free weather site period) Wundermap (ECMWF... only free site with Euro QPFs) PSU eWall (Everything else... great site for ensembles) |
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Dec 8 2011, 09:12 AM
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#2
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(okie333 @ Dec 8 2011, 08:07 AM)  Yes I know it's far out there, but the GFS and its ensembles say there will be some kind of storm system during this time frame. A graphic would help. 
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Dec 8 2011, 10:12 AM
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#3
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,810 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 |
oh boy oh boy!
finally a system that may get sampled by weather recon flights (in two weeks) due to potential holiday impacts. . . 
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Dec 8 2011, 10:43 AM
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#4
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 869 Joined: 15-January 11 From: Wyandot, OH Member No.: 25,110 |
Actually this timeframe makes more sense and I haven't even seen a graphic yet. Late Dec-Mid Jan is usually the beginning of substantial snow in my local. I still would like to see a polar plunge soon and the LES machine to run its full course.
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Dec 8 2011, 10:47 AM
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#5
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 266 Joined: 21-September 11 From: Wauwatosa, WI Member No.: 26,043 |
Pretty good bet there will be a storm in this period, as it will likely be a recycle of the early November Upper Midwest and Central Plains snow on November 8-9, I believe.
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Dec 8 2011, 11:08 AM
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#6
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,810 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 |
QUOTE(Wild Wisconsin Weather @ Dec 8 2011, 09:47 AM) Pretty good bet there will be a storm in this period, as it will likely be a recycle of the early November Upper Midwest and Central Plains snow on November 8-9, I believe. that's the one
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Dec 8 2011, 11:23 AM
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#7
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
0z GFS
 6z GFS  0z GFS Ensembles  6z GFS Ensembles are a little faster in DEC21-23 time frame. |
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Dec 8 2011, 11:26 AM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 5,758 Joined: 16-November 08 From: Cincinnati, OH Member No.: 16,172 |
I love tracking so bring it on. We'll see about they snowy side though. Rain on Christmas would be depressing but it's not like it doesn't happen often around these parts.
-------------------- Accuweather please give us our own Midwest area forecaster/video blogger
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Dec 8 2011, 11:56 AM
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#9
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,043 Joined: 19-June 09 From: Xenia/Miamisburg Ohio Member No.: 18,456 |
Apparently rain is all we get this month.
 So. Tired. Of. It.
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Dec 8 2011, 11:56 AM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 718 Joined: 28-March 09 Member No.: 17,964 |
12z gfs has a christmas storm!
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Dec 8 2011, 12:21 PM
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#11
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 614 Joined: 24-January 08 From: NWO/SEMI Member No.: 13,021 |
Chrismas Eve / Christmas storms are the greatest. It helps to bring some of that magic for the kids. Awesome and here's saying I'm on the lookout.
-------------------- Stay thirsty for snow my friends.....
NWOH/SEMI: Your Dry Slot Party Headquarters |
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Dec 8 2011, 03:30 PM
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#12
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Rank: Whirlwind Group: Member Posts: 38 Joined: 7-December 09 From: Duluth, MN Member No.: 20,050 |
QUOTE(mnwx @ Dec 8 2011, 10:56 AM) 12z gfs has a christmas storm! Can you give me the link that you use for the gfs so I can take a peek at this? |
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Dec 8 2011, 03:49 PM
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#13
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,518 Joined: 6-December 09 From: Detroit, MI Member No.: 20,038 |
QUOTE(ncinthenext3 @ Dec 8 2011, 12:21 PM) Chrismas Eve / Christmas storms are the greatest. It helps to bring some of that magic for the kids. Awesome and here's saying I'm on the lookout. Remember the December 24th-25th storm in 2002? That was awesome. I got about 7" of snow from that one with a ton of blowing and drifting, pretty much a perfect Christmas storm. -------------------- 2012 - 2013 Winter
First Snowflakes: 10/29/12 First Measurable Snowfall: 12/21/12 First 2"+ Snowfall: N/A First 6"+ Snowfall: N/A First 8"+ Snowfall: N/A Greatest Snowfall: N/A 2012 - 2013 Total Snowfall: 2.7" |
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Dec 8 2011, 05:09 PM
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#14
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 314 Joined: 7-August 11 Member No.: 25,873 |
QUOTE(ncinthenext3 @ Dec 8 2011, 11:21 AM) Chrismas Eve / Christmas storms are the greatest. It helps to bring some of that magic for the kids. Awesome and here's saying I'm on the lookout. While it is pretty cool to have a bunch of snow at Christmas time, these storms hit at one of the busiest travel periods of the year. During the Christmas blizzard of '09, at least 21 people died. Yikes. -------------------- USA Weather Blog(Click Here) [Currently not being updated]
2013 Severe Weather: Slight Risks: 1 Moderate Risks: 0 High Risks: 0 |
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Dec 8 2011, 05:29 PM
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#15
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(mnwx @ Dec 8 2011, 10:56 AM) 12z gfs has a christmas storm! For who...and where's the graphics to show? -------------------- |
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Dec 8 2011, 07:35 PM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,271 Joined: 18-January 08 Member No.: 12,660 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Dec 8 2011, 06:29 PM) For who...and where's the graphics to show? My guess would be for someone in Minnesota. ie MNwx. |
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Dec 8 2011, 07:55 PM
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#17
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,146 Joined: 22-January 09 From: Paragon IN Member No.: 17,052 |
QUOTE(zags @ Dec 8 2011, 04:30 PM) Can you give me the link that you use for the gfs so I can take a peek at this? Model Guidance GFS http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcont...amp;imageSize=M -------------------- Snow Storm
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Blizzard Warning 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
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Dec 8 2011, 08:07 PM
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#18
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 77 Joined: 19-August 10 From: Fife Lake, Mi Member No.: 23,422 |
HR 384 GFS has a pretty killer storm potential, gotta love GFS fantasy land
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Dec 8 2011, 08:22 PM
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#19
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,478 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
Ugh- a storm that might come at the worst possible time.
I've got to head to family for Christmas Eve AND Christmas Day. That would be a downright nightmare. 
-------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013 Severe Weather Season Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4 Slight Risk Days: 4 Moderate Risk Days: 0 High Risk Days: 0 Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37.5'' QUOTE When looking at the models: Trends, trends, trends! |
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Dec 8 2011, 08:27 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,478 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
Did this storm come up on the 18z GFS?
-------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013 Severe Weather Season Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4 Slight Risk Days: 4 Moderate Risk Days: 0 High Risk Days: 0 Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37.5'' QUOTE When looking at the models: Trends, trends, trends! |
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