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> Jan. 22-25 Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm, Please Post In OBS Thread
okie333
post Jan 14 2012, 03:07 PM
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The Snowman
post Jan 14 2012, 03:32 PM
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12z GFS Hour 216
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grace
post Jan 14 2012, 03:52 PM
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Euro has it bringing in some cold air & pausing the torch temporarily so I'll take it.
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rifej7386
post Jan 14 2012, 03:54 PM
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Oh Boy... laugh.gif
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Username
post Jan 14 2012, 04:28 PM
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QUOTE(grace @ Jan 14 2012, 03:52 PM) *
Euro has it bringing in some cold air & pausing the torch temporarily so I'll take it.



And a monkey just flew out my butt too laugh.gif


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rifej7386
post Jan 14 2012, 11:54 PM
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0z GFS tonight has the Torch beginning in this time frame and everything getting shoved up into Canada. A juicy system develops from the South but it is a major Torch as of now.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 15 2012, 12:05 AM
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this is going to be an incredible time for those in the northern ice box and Canada, one sub 990 after another skirting the country border.

First image is this particular storm.......second image is the next for the same area...in less than a week









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Juniorrr
post Jan 15 2012, 02:23 AM
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0z Euro looks like the 12z but more south and colder...
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snowlover2
post Jan 15 2012, 03:03 AM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 15 2012, 12:05 AM) *
this is going to be an incredible time for those in the northern ice box and Canada, one sub 990 after another skirting the country border.

First image is this particular storm.......second image is the next for the same area...in less than a week





Actually the first image had no thread for it until now. Just made one Here. The second image is the storm dedicated to this thread.


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jdrenken
post Jan 15 2012, 09:42 AM
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I'm seeing the storm for the last week of January come into view on the Euro. Until then, the transient shots continue.


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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 15 2012, 06:45 PM
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todays GFS runs show a beautiful severe weather event possibility

12z



18z

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icewoz
post Jan 15 2012, 06:56 PM
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From DTX (they don't see any storms coming)

AFTER A BRIEF RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER...THE PATTERN BEGINS AN ABRUPT SHIFT HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH ONE LAST BOUT OF LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE LATE IN THE WEEK ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A MILDER AIRMASS...WHICH WILL SHIFT INTO THE AREA AS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS TO THE EAST OF A BUILDING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST. WHILE THERE MAY BE MINOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THIS MILDER AIR IN THE REGION...NO NOTABLE STORMS APPEAR IN THE OFFING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

SOURCE

This post has been edited by icewoz: Jan 15 2012, 07:00 PM
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Royalflush06
post Jan 15 2012, 07:11 PM
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QUOTE(icewoz @ Jan 15 2012, 06:56 PM) *
From DTX (they don't see any storms coming)

AFTER A BRIEF RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER...THE PATTERN BEGINS AN ABRUPT SHIFT HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH ONE LAST BOUT OF LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE LATE IN THE WEEK ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A MILDER AIRMASS...WHICH WILL SHIFT INTO THE AREA AS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS TO THE EAST OF A BUILDING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST. WHILE THERE MAY BE MINOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THIS MILDER AIR IN THE REGION...NO NOTABLE STORMS APPEAR IN THE OFFING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

SOURCE

Typical of some of the dtx forecasters, In fairness after reading the whole thing they mention several bouts of light snow thru the next 7 days but with little specifics and why would they at this point. They normally would not mention anything in the 7-10 day time frame anyway. Just too far out as of right now. Not sure if you mean they see no storms at all or just not this one but it seems just the one for this thread is not mentioned.

This post has been edited by Royalflush06: Jan 15 2012, 07:35 PM
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icewoz
post Jan 16 2012, 12:43 AM
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Just this storm.

Quite honestly, a so called snow storm with less than 4" really isn't a storm to me, it's just a nusiance. :-)




QUOTE(Royalflush06 @ Jan 15 2012, 07:11 PM) *
Typical of some of the dtx forecasters, In fairness after reading the whole thing they mention several bouts of light snow thru the next 7 days but with little specifics and why would they at this point. They normally would not mention anything in the 7-10 day time frame anyway. Just too far out as of right now. Not sure if you mean they see no storms at all or just not this one but it seems just the one for this thread is not mentioned.
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easton229
post Jan 16 2012, 10:28 AM
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QUOTE(icewoz @ Jan 16 2012, 12:43 AM) *
Just this storm.

Quite honestly, a so called snow storm with less than 4" really isn't a storm to me, it's just a nusiance. :-)


This year around these parts, anything over 1" is a snowstorm.
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WeatherMonger
post Jan 16 2012, 02:52 PM
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Skilling is talking about this one on his facebook page. For some reason I cannot get a nonmobile page on my phone, no copy and paste without. He also has some talk about the above normal temps set to last through the 15 day forecast, cold shots are still possible. Looks bleak for anything lasting

www.facebook.com/TomSkilling

This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Jan 16 2012, 02:54 PM
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pohosnowlover
post Jan 16 2012, 04:36 PM
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This will be rain. On another note I finally broke the double digits for snowfall total this season thanks to some lake effect on Saturday evening, woohoo laugh.gif

This post has been edited by pohosnowlover: Jan 16 2012, 04:40 PM


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TheBlizzardOf197...
post Jan 16 2012, 06:58 PM
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Meteorologist Mike Hoffman

The brief warmup is obviously here...we'll be above freezing through early afternoon on Tuesday, then much colder air comes in again. Just light drizzle is expected this evening, then times of rain and fog overnight and into Tuesday morning...but it all turns to snow by Tuesday afternoon and night. 1"-3" sounds reasonable to me for the lake-effect areas...less south and west. I mentioned last week that the computer models don't "catch" the cold air in these cases, and we're seeing it again. Suddenly, all the models are going much colder, which we've had all along for this week. The longer range shows milder air again by Sunday and Monday, and next week is a toss-up...it could be a rollercoaster...or we could stay mild or cold most of the time. I still believe that February will be a colder weather pattern....

http://www.facebook.com/pages/Meteorologis...102135746533985


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chfs327
post Jan 16 2012, 08:17 PM
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CODE
The next
shot of precipitation may come early next week with models showing a
deep trough coming out of the southwest. This seems to correspond to
the arctic oscillation heading to more of a neutral to slightly
negative outlook per the GFS ensemble data which would indicate
colder temperatures for the area. But this is well into the future
and beyond the scope/timeframe of this forecast so we`ll continue to
monitor trends and see how the pattern evolves over the next 7-8
days.


EAX Outlook.


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Dom
post Jan 16 2012, 08:43 PM
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Ahhh I was hoping for a break with this storm. Maybe there's still hope lol.


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