 Jan. 19-21 Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm OBS, Post last minute forecasts and Obs |
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 Jan 19 2012, 08:29 PM
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#1
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 4,904 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723  |
precip has begun in the northern plains . . .
good luck guys and gals . . . be safe .... have fun! |
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Jan 19 2012, 08:54 PM
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#2
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 722 Joined: 16-February 10 From: Columbus, OH Member No.: 21,809 |
why is NWS hugging the NAM? the GFS shows a good snowstorm for i70 north, and so does the euro. and the GGEM. AND the ukie
This post has been edited by jeffro: Jan 19 2012, 08:56 PM |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:04 PM
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#3
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 164 Joined: 22-October 08 From: Marlette, MI Member No.: 15,965 |
Ahhh the thumb of Michigan gets missed by any significant accumulations yet again this year. We've yet to register a snowfall of over 2 inches? I'm seriously losing hope. Without being right by the lake this place seems to just be the donut hole that snow avoids!
Anyways. Expecting snows to start tomorrow afternoon, for a general 1-3 inches. With all these open fields it should make driving pretty crazy. Just a dusting can produce white-outs on the roadways here because its just open fields everywhere. Please be careful friends! This post has been edited by pros3lyte: Jan 19 2012, 09:10 PM -------------------- Current Snow Depth: .5"
Total Snowfall: .7" Biggest Snowstorm: .5" You've had an extra pair of gloves this whole time? Shyea! We're in the Rockies! My personal Weather Authority update of White Hurricane Oh-Ten!! |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:05 PM
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#4
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,149 Joined: 19-January 08 From: Delaware, OH (20 miles north of Columbus) Member No.: 12,737 |
QUOTE(jeffro @ Jan 19 2012, 08:54 PM)  why is NWS hugging the NAM? the GFS shows a good snowstorm for i70 north, and so does the euro. and the GGEM. AND the ukie Just going off of past storms like this in our area, I am actually expecting something like what the NAM has been showing to happen...Warm air aloft usually wins out in central Ohio unfortunately. Hopefully, one of the colder model solutions wins out this time around though. |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:07 PM
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#5
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,904 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 |
precip shield looks a little bigger so far on the 00Z NAM. . .
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Jan 19 2012, 09:07 PM
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#6
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,518 Joined: 24-January 09 From: Beavercreek/Columbus, OH Member No.: 17,080 |
QUOTE(JymGanahlRocks @ Jan 19 2012, 09:05 PM) Just going off of past storms like this in our area, I am actually expecting something like what the NAM has been showing to happen...Warm air aloft usually wins out in central Ohio unfortunately. Hopefully, one of the colder model solutions wins out this time around though. IMO, the NAM looks more realistic for us right now. |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:09 PM
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#7
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 722 Joined: 16-February 10 From: Columbus, OH Member No.: 21,809 |
QUOTE(JymGanahlRocks @ Jan 19 2012, 09:05 PM) Just going off of past storms like this in our area, I am actually expecting something like what the NAM has been showing to happen...Warm air aloft usually wins out in central Ohio unfortunately. Hopefully, one of the colder model solutions wins out this time around though. i suppose inexperience owns me. |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:12 PM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,904 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 |
24H precip through 27. . .
and still snowing in chicago area. . . |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:13 PM
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#9
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,518 Joined: 24-January 09 From: Beavercreek/Columbus, OH Member No.: 17,080 |
NAM appears to have a bit more QPF for Southern/Central Ohio and a bit cooler compared to both the 18Z and 12Z
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Jan 19 2012, 09:14 PM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,904 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 |
00Z NAM keeping the northern 1/3 of Ohio snow at quick glance looking at the 850's
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Jan 19 2012, 09:18 PM
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#11
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 898 Joined: 15-January 11 From: Wyandot, OH Member No.: 25,110 |
Quite a bit of QPF on the NAM. Southern moisture gets involved.
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Jan 19 2012, 09:18 PM
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#12
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,569 Joined: 14-January 08 From: New Albany, Ohio Member No.: 12,517 |
NAM looks to be just a slight bit warmer, but all precip looks to remain frozen in Columbus
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Jan 19 2012, 09:21 PM
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#13
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,897 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
0Z NAM total Snowfall through hour 36:
 Total Precip through 36: 
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Jan 19 2012, 09:22 PM
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#14
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,518 Joined: 24-January 09 From: Beavercreek/Columbus, OH Member No.: 17,080 |
Looks like a bit more ice will be involved around here than previously expected...
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Jan 19 2012, 09:23 PM
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#15
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,897 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
QUOTE(SWOhioweather @ Jan 19 2012, 09:22 PM) Looks like a bit more ice will be involved around here than previously expected... Interesting drier values printed for the I-70 corridor.. -------------------- |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:24 PM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,518 Joined: 24-January 09 From: Beavercreek/Columbus, OH Member No.: 17,080 |
QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 19 2012, 09:23 PM) Interesting drier values printed for the I-70 corridor.. I just saw that, at first it seemed like almost more QPF, but I guess looks can be deceiving... This post has been edited by SWOhioweather: Jan 19 2012, 09:28 PM |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:26 PM
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#17
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,897 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
42 hour snowfall from the 0Z NAM:
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Jan 19 2012, 09:26 PM
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#18
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 898 Joined: 15-January 11 From: Wyandot, OH Member No.: 25,110 |
This storm is going the direction I figured. Warmer and more mixing.
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Jan 19 2012, 09:26 PM
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#19
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,518 Joined: 24-January 09 From: Beavercreek/Columbus, OH Member No.: 17,080 |
QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 19 2012, 09:26 PM) 42 hour snowfall from the 0Z NAM: 2/3 of Ohio got completely torched snowfall wise on this run. |
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Jan 19 2012, 09:27 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,897 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
QUOTE(SWOhioweather @ Jan 19 2012, 09:24 PM) I just saw saw that, at first it seemed like almost more QPF, but I guess looks can be deceiving... Still around .2 to .3 On that scale.... -------------------- |
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