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> Feb 3-5 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Possibility: Medium Range (4-7 Days Out) Forecasts
albanyweather
post Jan 23 2012, 10:24 PM
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From: Albany, NY
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Loooooong range. Ensembles have a storm around this time frame.

This post has been edited by albanyweather: Jan 27 2012, 03:46 PM
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--------------------
Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8"
Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3"
Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2"
Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3"
Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5"
Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7"
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 23 2012, 10:28 PM
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I endorse this thread laugh.gif

Not that I certainly think it will be a snowstorm, but we can always have hope...


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4"

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6"
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gulfofslides
post Jan 23 2012, 10:37 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 23 2012, 11:28 PM) *
I endorse this thread laugh.gif

Not that I certainly think it will be a snowstorm, but we can always have hope...

Or wishful thinking? laugh.gif
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 23 2012, 10:46 PM
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QUOTE(gulfofslides @ Jan 23 2012, 10:37 PM) *
Or wishful thinking? laugh.gif

Or we can dream of something similar to my old avatar before I lost patience with this winter laugh.gif


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Attached Image


This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Jan 23 2012, 10:46 PM


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4"

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6"
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psu1313
post Jan 23 2012, 11:41 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 23 2012, 10:46 PM) *
Or we can dream of something similar to my old avatar before I lost patience with this winter laugh.gif


Attached Image



Attached Image


Suburbs..I'm anti that image because it focuses right over NYC and doesn't focus on DC tongue.gif (and i'm not into extrapolating at this point)

It's only 12ish days away everyone, hit the supermarkets NOW!!

This post has been edited by psu1313: Jan 23 2012, 11:42 PM
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Fire/Rescue
post Jan 24 2012, 12:33 AM
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QUOTE(psu1313 @ Jan 23 2012, 11:41 PM) *
Suburbs..I'm anti that image because it focuses right over NYC and doesn't focus on DC tongue.gif (and i'm not into extrapolating at this point)

It's only 12ish days away everyone, hit the supermarkets NOW!!

Mad dash to the tp isle laugh.gif
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 24 2012, 06:56 AM
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QUOTE(psu1313 @ Jan 23 2012, 11:41 PM) *
Suburbs..I'm anti that image because it focuses right over NYC and doesn't focus on DC tongue.gif (and i'm not into extrapolating at this point)

It's only 12ish days away everyone, hit the supermarkets NOW!!

I didn't leave you out... I got one right here (scroll down to the end of the post)


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4"

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6"
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NorEaster07
post Jan 24 2012, 09:12 AM
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From the GFS00z run. Hours 288 and 300


Attached Image


--------------------
Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"

Average(since 1950) = 27.75"
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east coast storm
post Jan 24 2012, 09:40 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Jan 24 2012, 09:12 AM) *
From the GFS00z run. Hours 288 and 300


Attached Image

WOW. That type of major storm setup could give NYC a possible blizzard. It would
be interesting to see future model runs for that timeframe. I think you would agree.
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weathermsk
post Jan 24 2012, 09:43 AM
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[quote name='NYCSuburbs' date='Jan 23 2012, 10:46 PM' post='1509553']
Or we can dream of something similar to my old avatar before I lost patience with this winter laugh.gif


Stop jinxing us with this fantasy map you post each storm!!! tongue.gif
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LUCC
post Jan 24 2012, 10:16 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Jan 24 2012, 09:12 AM) *
From the GFS00z run. Hours 288 and 300


Attached Image

6z



This post has been edited by LUCC: Jan 24 2012, 10:18 AM


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donutvampire
post Jan 24 2012, 10:50 AM
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6z GFS looks darn good...


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Location: Lyndonville, VT
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albanyweather
post Jan 24 2012, 11:54 AM
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OTS on the 12z

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--------------------
Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8"
Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3"
Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2"
Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3"
Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5"
Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7"
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LUCC
post Jan 24 2012, 12:26 PM
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QUOTE(albanyweather @ Jan 24 2012, 11:54 AM) *
OTS on the 12z

Delays northern stream digging thus missing the phase, this will happen several times until the medium range. laugh.gif


This post has been edited by LUCC: Jan 24 2012, 12:28 PM


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WEATHERFAN100
post Jan 24 2012, 04:07 PM
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This seems like the storm to watch out of the next 3 potential storms...even though it is 10 days out..always gotta start somewhere laugh.gif

Were going to see runs show each scenario and probably a different result everyo ther run throughout the next week or so.

While I don't see a really cold storm coming, maybe we can get just enough cold air to squeeze out mostly snow or atlease a mixed bag storm but too early for those thoughts.



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-James

Severe T-storm Watches:
Severe Warnings:1
Tornado Watches:
Tornado Warnings:
# of 100+ degrees days:
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 24 2012, 04:38 PM
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QUOTE(east coast storm @ Jan 24 2012, 09:40 AM) *
WOW. That type of major storm setup could give NYC a possible blizzard. It would
be interesting to see future model runs for that timeframe. I think you would agree.

FWIW, at least on that GFS run that he posted, it was heavy rain for NYC and a western Northeast blizzard. That doesn't matter though, all that we should be focusing on right now is that there's still a storm in this time frame.

QUOTE(weathermsk @ Jan 24 2012, 09:43 AM) *
Stop jinxing us with this fantasy map you post each storm!!! tongue.gif

Even with the storms where I didn't post my fantasy maps they didn't work, so it won't have any impact on the storm laugh.gif


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4"

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6"
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Fire/Rescue
post Jan 24 2012, 06:01 PM
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QUOTE(east coast storm @ Jan 24 2012, 09:40 AM) *
WOW. That type of major storm setup could give NYC a possible blizzard. It would
be interesting to see future model runs for that timeframe. I think you would agree.

If only tongue.gif
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 24 2012, 06:02 PM
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Did I miss anything from the 18z GFS? I couldn't see it because it was too good to look at laugh.gif


Attached Image



Attached Image


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4"

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6"
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LUCC
post Jan 24 2012, 09:56 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 24 2012, 06:02 PM) *
Did I miss anything from the 18z GFS? I couldn't see it because it was too good to look at laugh.gif


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Attached Image

Oh boy, could be an interdasting 2 weeks!




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SnowMan11
post Jan 24 2012, 11:46 PM
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0z GFS still has the storm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcont...amp;imageSize=M


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Anthony
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