 Invest 90L, Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential: Medium - 30% |
AccuWeather.com Forums > Weather Forums > Current Weather - United States > Current Tropical Season Weather  |
 Feb 5 2012, 06:04 PM
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#21
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572  |
Unbelievable
 Satellite view
-------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Feb 5 2012, 06:20 PM
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#22
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 55 Joined: 20-July 11 Member No.: 25,826 |
QUOTE(The Snowman @ Feb 5 2012, 06:03 PM)  Are there any dynamical models available for this storm? Raleighwx's models are not displaying 90L. OT...Super Bowl time!  They're on this site Tropical Models |
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Feb 5 2012, 06:34 PM
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#23
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
 
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Feb 5 2012, 08:00 PM
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#24
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 438 Joined: 6-July 11 From: New Castle, PA Member No.: 25,804 |
For whatever reason, this system reminds me of Tropical Storm Nicole. Not sure why.
NHC says 30% chance. QUOTE ABNT20 KNHC 052346
TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 645 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS. THE LOW IS CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY...AND IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...THEN A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A SUBTROPICAL STORM COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE DISTURBANCE MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIAOFFNT3 AND WMO HEADER FZNT24 KNHC...AND ALSO IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART This post has been edited by snowrawrsnow: Feb 5 2012, 08:05 PM -------------------- ~Snowy♥
QUOTE There's a blaze of light in every word It doesn't matter which you heard The holy or the broken Hallelujah |
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Feb 5 2012, 11:22 PM
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#25
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,039 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Feb 5 2012, 05:18 PM) Just to think this feature was laughed about when it was shown on the GFS. It was shown on a few models there for a few days. Kinda funny, but thought to watch it. Heres the GFS I posted in that thread on Friday  
-------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 2
Severe Watches: 2 Severe Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Feb 6 2012, 08:27 AM
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#26
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,440 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT (10 miles from beach) Member No.: 18,864 |
Couple of good posts by Stu O.
-------------------- Snow Totals Per Season:
2007-08: 21" 2008-09: 41" 2009-10: 39.5" 2010-11: 71.5" 2011-12: 14" 2012-13: 46.5" Average(since 1950) = 27.75" |
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Apr 24 2012, 06:40 PM
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#27
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Rank: Tornado Group: Founding Member Posts: 279 Joined: 3-June 07 From: orlando Member No.: 6,152 |
It appears y'all forgot about 91L which has now fizzled out.
-------------------- "WINDY HAS WINGS TO FLY."
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Apr 24 2012, 06:46 PM
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#28
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,280 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(WEATHERFREAK @ Apr 24 2012, 06:40 PM) It appears y'all forgot about 91L which has now fizzled out. Because it never really had a chance to develop into anything other than a partially tropical invest. -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Apr 24 2012, 06:55 PM
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#29
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(WEATHERFREAK @ Apr 24 2012, 06:40 PM) It appears y'all forgot about 91L which has now fizzled out. Really...I mean...really? If you are attempting to troll...you are failing miserably. Sigh -------------------- |
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Apr 24 2012, 07:02 PM
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#30
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,915 Joined: 19-August 09 From: nova scotia cape breton Member No.: 18,972 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Apr 24 2012, 08:55 PM) Really...I mean...really? If you are attempting to troll...you are failing miserably. Sigh I just LMAO to funny |
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Apr 27 2012, 01:54 PM
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#31
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Rank: Tornado Group: Founding Member Posts: 279 Joined: 3-June 07 From: orlando Member No.: 6,152 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Apr 24 2012, 07:55 PM) Really...I mean...really? If you are attempting to troll...you are failing miserably. Sigh I wasn't trolling. Just been busy for a while. -------------------- "WINDY HAS WINGS TO FLY."
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Apr 28 2012, 09:31 PM
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#32
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 350 Joined: 28-August 10 From: Halifax, Nova Scotia Member No.: 23,497 |
QUOTE(WEATHERFREAK @ Apr 27 2012, 03:54 PM) I wasn't trolling. Just been busy for a while. then why did you post in the 90L threa- ah whatever. |
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Apr 30 2012, 11:24 AM
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#33
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Rank: Tornado Group: Founding Member Posts: 279 Joined: 3-June 07 From: orlando Member No.: 6,152 |
QUOTE(CanadianKeegan @ Apr 28 2012, 10:31 PM) then why did you post in the 90L threa- ah whatever. No offense but Seriously...Was I being malicious? -------------------- "WINDY HAS WINGS TO FLY."
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