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> Apr 21-23 MidAtl/NE Storm, Reality: Short Range [0-4 days]
grandpaboy
post Apr 17 2012, 09:42 AM
Post #41




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HPC getting "juicier" with the system for the MA......



Attached Image


--------------------
Winter 2013/14

Season Total thru 3/31/14

49.5 inches.(Per Rutgers University Climate Data site)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Winter 2012/13---------
Season 16.5
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2009/2010
Season 73.9
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2010/2011
Season total - 49 inches
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WINTER 2011/2012
Season Toal - Too little to mention
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gulfofslides
post Apr 17 2012, 11:39 AM
Post #42




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QUOTE(grandpaboy @ Apr 17 2012, 12:05 AM) *
Has it ended?????

mellow.gif

Not yet
"Threat of major late season Appalachian mtn snowstorm next week seen most clearly be euro
'
from JB's twiiter
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psu1313
post Apr 17 2012, 11:45 AM
Post #43




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QUOTE(gulfofslides @ Apr 17 2012, 12:39 PM) *
Not yet
"Threat of major late season Appalachian mtn snowstorm next week seen most clearly be euro
'
from JB's twiiter


rolleyes.gif Even Henry isn't buying "

2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event.
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gulfofslides
post Apr 17 2012, 11:53 AM
Post #44




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QUOTE(psu1313 @ Apr 17 2012, 12:45 PM) *
rolleyes.gif Even Henry isn't buying "

2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event.

I was pointing out that JB never stops with the ridiculous.
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goblue96
post Apr 17 2012, 12:00 PM
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QUOTE(psu1313 @ Apr 17 2012, 12:45 PM) *
rolleyes.gif Even Henry isn't buying "

2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event.


When HM doesn't buy in, you have start asking the question: does anyone take JB seriously anymore?


--------------------
First Day above 60: April 2

First Day above 65: April 10

First Day above 70: April 13

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albanyweather
post Apr 17 2012, 12:24 PM
Post #46




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12z GFS has a strong storm.
Attached Image

Attached Image


This post has been edited by albanyweather: Apr 17 2012, 12:25 PM


--------------------
Winter Advisories: 5
Winter Watch: 5
Winter Warning: 4
Ice Storm Warning: 0
Blizzard Warning: 0


Snowfall 2013-2014: 79"
Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8"
Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3"
Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2"
Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3"
Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7"
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LUCC
post Apr 17 2012, 12:32 PM
Post #47




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Would be interesting for snow in late Oct and late April. biggrin.gif


--------------------
Winter '13-'14 Snow total: 62"
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albanyweather
post Apr 17 2012, 12:57 PM
Post #48




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QUOTE(LUCC @ Apr 17 2012, 01:32 PM) *
Would be interesting for snow in late Oct and late April. biggrin.gif

That would be the icing on the cake laugh.gif
CMC has a huge cutoff in the GL/OV.
Attached Image


--------------------
Winter Advisories: 5
Winter Watch: 5
Winter Warning: 4
Ice Storm Warning: 0
Blizzard Warning: 0


Snowfall 2013-2014: 79"
Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8"
Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3"
Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2"
Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3"
Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7"
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albanyweather
post Apr 17 2012, 01:40 PM
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12z Euro is strung out and OTS.


--------------------
Winter Advisories: 5
Winter Watch: 5
Winter Warning: 4
Ice Storm Warning: 0
Blizzard Warning: 0


Snowfall 2013-2014: 79"
Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8"
Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3"
Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2"
Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3"
Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7"
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NYCSuburbs
post Apr 17 2012, 02:22 PM
Post #50




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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Apr 17 2012, 07:29 AM) *
Anyone see whats out in the Atlantic? It's not tropical but it could mean 1 of two things.


1. It delays our weekend storm (maybe thats why models have it for 24th now)
2. It surpresses it keeping it south of us.

Check out the loop on it! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html

[attachment=161754:Satellite2.jpg]



It's been modeled to be there the whole time, and had very little impact on the models on this time frame. This system will already start to quickly move back east tomorrow.
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jdrenken
post Apr 17 2012, 03:35 PM
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QUOTE(psu1313 @ Apr 17 2012, 11:45 AM) *
rolleyes.gif Even Henry isn't buying "

2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event.


I will bring back this picture...

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Attached Image
 


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WEATHERFAN100
post Apr 17 2012, 03:52 PM
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QUOTE(grandpaboy @ Apr 17 2012, 10:42 AM) *
HPC getting "juicier" with the system for the MA......

Attached Image

Ahhh starting to feel it...some rain...hopefully!!!


--------------------
-James

Winter 2013-2014:
December: 12.15"
January:
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WEATHERFAN100
post Apr 17 2012, 03:57 PM
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My local ABC27 says potential for 1-3" of rain this weekend.

QUOTE
The upcoming weekend has the potential to finally bring a soaking rain to the area. It is a little early to set anything in stone, and there is still some data disagreements with the development of this potent low. But if it does form into a large, slow moving low that some guidance is suggesting, there may be the potential for a 1 to 3 inch rainfall. At this time, a showery day is possible on Saturday, with steady rain Sunday and Sunday night. Once again, the timing could change, so check back by the middle of the week and we should have more details on the potential rain maker.


abc27.com/weather


--------------------
-James

Winter 2013-2014:
December: 12.15"
January:
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WMDWXNUT
post Apr 17 2012, 06:57 PM
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18z GFS continues with the phased idea...Finally something worth watching for the MA and NE. This run also seemed to indicate some minor high elevation snows for WV up thru W Pa.

Attached Image


--------------------
10 mi south of Hagerstown, md

Winter 2013-2014

12/8 7.2"
12/10 5.25"
1/2 3.25"
1/21 7.5"
2/3 4"
2/9 1"
2/13 14.5"
2/15 .5"
2/18 1"
3/3 4.5"
3/17 4.75
3/25 1.5"

Total: 55"

Winter 2012-2013

Total: 20.25"
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MDSnowKing
post Apr 17 2012, 07:09 PM
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I'm watching this unfold and all I can do is laugh. Where was this during winter?
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NYCSuburbs
post Apr 17 2012, 07:24 PM
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QUOTE(MDSnowKing @ Apr 17 2012, 07:09 PM) *
I'm watching this unfold and all I can do is laugh. Where was this during winter?

It was probably waiting until the climate became too warm to support snow before bringing in all of the troughs and big storms laugh.gif
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grandpaboy
post Apr 17 2012, 08:01 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Apr 17 2012, 08:24 PM) *
It was probably waiting until the climate became too warm to support snow before bringing in all of the troughs and big storms laugh.gif



May not be far from the truth........


Though the EURO goes bombastic the last couple of days will a monster storm....then does this......

12z...

Attached Image


Attached Image


By no means am I saying we won't see any rain out of this..or this is usual 3 to 5 day error,..blah, blah. etc..

Its more, kinda, been there done that already..... .....so we shall see........ wink.gif


--------------------
Winter 2013/14

Season Total thru 3/31/14

49.5 inches.(Per Rutgers University Climate Data site)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Winter 2012/13---------
Season 16.5
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2009/2010
Season 73.9
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2010/2011
Season total - 49 inches
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WINTER 2011/2012
Season Toal - Too little to mention
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grandpaboy
post Apr 17 2012, 08:02 PM
Post #58




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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Apr 17 2012, 04:35 PM) *
I will bring back this picture...



Best pic of the day....... laugh.gif


--------------------
Winter 2013/14

Season Total thru 3/31/14

49.5 inches.(Per Rutgers University Climate Data site)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Winter 2012/13---------
Season 16.5
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2009/2010
Season 73.9
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2010/2011
Season total - 49 inches
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WINTER 2011/2012
Season Toal - Too little to mention
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Superstorm93
post Apr 17 2012, 08:32 PM
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rolleyes.gif


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--------------------
Millersville University Meteorology Major

Realism
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NYCSuburbs
post Apr 17 2012, 08:50 PM
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QUOTE(Superstorm93 @ Apr 17 2012, 08:32 PM) *
rolleyes.gif


Attached Image

Better than that 18z DGEX run 1 or 2 days ago that had moderate snow in southern Connecticut...
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