 Apr 21-23 MidAtl/NE Storm, Reality: Short Range [0-4 days] |
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 Apr 17 2012, 09:42 AM
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#41
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 4,843 Joined: 24-January 08 From: 39.96N, 74.2W Member No.: 12,978  |
HPC getting "juicier" with the system for the MA......
-------------------- Fall/Winter 2012/13---------
First Snow: 11/7/12 - 7 inches Bunch of Clippers that produced a total of 3 inches... 2/8/13 - Blizzard backend snows - 6.5 inches +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ WINTER 2009/2010 Season 73.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2010/2011 Season total - 49 inches ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2011/2012 Season Toal - Too little to mention |
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Apr 17 2012, 11:39 AM
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#42
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,648 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Hingham Member No.: 12,082 |
QUOTE(grandpaboy @ Apr 17 2012, 12:05 AM)  Has it ended?????  Not yet "Threat of major late season Appalachian mtn snowstorm next week seen most clearly be euro ' from JB's twiiter |
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Apr 17 2012, 11:45 AM
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#43
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 873 Joined: 29-January 10 From: Arlington, VA Member No.: 21,194 |
QUOTE(gulfofslides @ Apr 17 2012, 12:39 PM) Not yet "Threat of major late season Appalachian mtn snowstorm next week seen most clearly be euro ' from JB's twiiter  Even Henry isn't buying "2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event. |
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Apr 17 2012, 11:53 AM
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#44
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,648 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Hingham Member No.: 12,082 |
QUOTE(psu1313 @ Apr 17 2012, 12:45 PM) Even Henry isn't buying "2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event. I was pointing out that JB never stops with the ridiculous. |
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Apr 17 2012, 12:00 PM
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#45
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,095 Joined: 21-December 09 From: Clifton Park, NY Member No.: 20,500 |
QUOTE(psu1313 @ Apr 17 2012, 12:45 PM) Even Henry isn't buying "2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event. When HM doesn't buy in, you have start asking the question: does anyone take JB seriously anymore? -------------------- First Day above 60: April 8
First Day above 65: April 18 First Day above 70: April 19 First Day above 75: May 1 First Day above 80: May 2 First Day above 85: May 21 First Day above 90: May 31 First Day above 95: |
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Apr 17 2012, 12:24 PM
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#46
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,049 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
12z GFS has a strong storm.
This post has been edited by albanyweather: Apr 17 2012, 12:25 PM -------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 4
Severe Watches: 4 Severe Warnings: 2 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Apr 17 2012, 12:32 PM
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#47
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,926 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Mercerville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
Would be interesting for snow in late Oct and late April.
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Apr 17 2012, 12:57 PM
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#48
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,049 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
QUOTE(LUCC @ Apr 17 2012, 01:32 PM) Would be interesting for snow in late Oct and late April. That would be the icing on the cake  CMC has a huge cutoff in the GL/OV.
-------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 4
Severe Watches: 4 Severe Warnings: 2 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Apr 17 2012, 01:40 PM
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#49
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,049 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
12z Euro is strung out and OTS.
-------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 4
Severe Watches: 4 Severe Warnings: 2 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Apr 17 2012, 02:22 PM
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#50
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,446 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Apr 17 2012, 07:29 AM) Anyone see whats out in the Atlantic? It's not tropical but it could mean 1 of two things. 1. It delays our weekend storm (maybe thats why models have it for 24th now) 2. It surpresses it keeping it south of us. Check out the loop on it! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html [attachment=161754:Satellite2.jpg]  It's been modeled to be there the whole time, and had very little impact on the models on this time frame. This system will already start to quickly move back east tomorrow. -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Apr 17 2012, 03:35 PM
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#51
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,437 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(psu1313 @ Apr 17 2012, 11:45 AM) Even Henry isn't buying "2. I know there is talk of a major Appalachian Mountain snowstorm next week. I think it's very premature to be speculating on such an event given that the models are once again going in different directions. The NAO shows some trends toward negative next week, but I like to see a few more runs of the NAO forecasts to even get excited about the prospects of snow. I do think a trough is coming into the East and it will turn colder, and I do think that the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire into Maine have the best opportunity for snow, but to make statements that a major snowstorm in the Appalachians is coming next week based on one run of the European model is just pure speculation right now and a very low probability event. I will bring back this picture...
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Apr 17 2012, 03:52 PM
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#52
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,743 Joined: 6-February 08 From: LANCASTER PA Member No.: 13,459 |
QUOTE(grandpaboy @ Apr 17 2012, 10:42 AM) HPC getting "juicier" with the system for the MA......
Ahhh starting to feel it...some rain...hopefully!!! -------------------- -James
Severe T-storm Watches:1 Severe Warnings:3 Tornado Watches:1 Tornado Warnings: # of 100+ degrees days: |
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Apr 17 2012, 03:57 PM
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#53
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,743 Joined: 6-February 08 From: LANCASTER PA Member No.: 13,459 |
My local ABC27 says potential for 1-3" of rain this weekend.
QUOTE The upcoming weekend has the potential to finally bring a soaking rain to the area. It is a little early to set anything in stone, and there is still some data disagreements with the development of this potent low. But if it does form into a large, slow moving low that some guidance is suggesting, there may be the potential for a 1 to 3 inch rainfall. At this time, a showery day is possible on Saturday, with steady rain Sunday and Sunday night. Once again, the timing could change, so check back by the middle of the week and we should have more details on the potential rain maker. abc27.com/weather -------------------- -James
Severe T-storm Watches:1 Severe Warnings:3 Tornado Watches:1 Tornado Warnings: # of 100+ degrees days: |
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Apr 17 2012, 06:57 PM
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#54
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 319 Joined: 17-December 09 From: Keedysville, MD Member No.: 20,290 |
18z GFS continues with the phased idea...Finally something worth watching for the MA and NE. This run also seemed to indicate some minor high elevation snows for WV up thru W Pa.
-------------------- 10 mi south of Hagerstown, md
Winter 2012-2013 12/24 3" (WWA) 12/26 3.75" (WWA) 12/29 1" (WWA) 1/23 .5" (HWO) 1/25 1" (WWA) 2/1 .75" 3/6 4.75" 3/25 5.5" Total: 20.25" |
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Apr 17 2012, 07:09 PM
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#55
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 628 Joined: 6-January 10 From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore) Member No.: 20,790 |
I'm watching this unfold and all I can do is laugh. Where was this during winter?
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Apr 17 2012, 07:24 PM
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#56
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,446 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(MDSnowKing @ Apr 17 2012, 07:09 PM) I'm watching this unfold and all I can do is laugh. Where was this during winter? It was probably waiting until the climate became too warm to support snow before bringing in all of the troughs and big storms
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Apr 17 2012, 08:01 PM
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#57
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,843 Joined: 24-January 08 From: 39.96N, 74.2W Member No.: 12,978 |
QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Apr 17 2012, 08:24 PM) It was probably waiting until the climate became too warm to support snow before bringing in all of the troughs and big storms May not be far from the truth........ Though the EURO goes bombastic the last couple of days will a monster storm....then does this...... 12z...
By no means am I saying we won't see any rain out of this..or this is usual 3 to 5 day error,..blah, blah. etc.. Its more, kinda, been there done that already..... .....so we shall see........ 
-------------------- Fall/Winter 2012/13---------
First Snow: 11/7/12 - 7 inches Bunch of Clippers that produced a total of 3 inches... 2/8/13 - Blizzard backend snows - 6.5 inches +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ WINTER 2009/2010 Season 73.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2010/2011 Season total - 49 inches ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2011/2012 Season Toal - Too little to mention |
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Apr 17 2012, 08:02 PM
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#58
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,843 Joined: 24-January 08 From: 39.96N, 74.2W Member No.: 12,978 |
-------------------- Fall/Winter 2012/13---------
First Snow: 11/7/12 - 7 inches Bunch of Clippers that produced a total of 3 inches... 2/8/13 - Blizzard backend snows - 6.5 inches +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ WINTER 2009/2010 Season 73.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2010/2011 Season total - 49 inches ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2011/2012 Season Toal - Too little to mention |
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Apr 17 2012, 08:32 PM
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#59
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,860 Joined: 24-January 08 From: Nowhere, ND Member No.: 13,040 |
-------------------- -Mike P
Realism |
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Apr 17 2012, 08:50 PM
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#60
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,446 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(Superstorm93 @ Apr 17 2012, 08:32 PM)
Better than that 18z DGEX run 1 or 2 days ago that had moderate snow in southern Connecticut... -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 19th June 2013 - 07:45 PM |