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> April 26-May 1 Plains/MW/OV Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: Day 1 Slight Risk Forecasts and OBS
jdrenken
post Apr 29 2012, 08:38 PM
Post #81




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QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
831 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0825 PM HAIL 6 NNW ROPESVILLE 33.49N 102.19W
04/29/2012 M2.50 INCH HOCKLEY TX METEOROLOGIST


QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
801 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0756 PM HAIL 4 SSW WHITHARRAL 33.68N 102.35W
04/29/2012 E2.75 INCH HOCKLEY TX STORM CHASER


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Juniorrr
post Apr 29 2012, 08:39 PM
Post #82




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May get in some action for us in SW OH...
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Snow____
post Apr 29 2012, 08:47 PM
Post #83




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I had 3 rounds of storms yesterday. Fun times. I look forward to more this week.


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jdrenken
post Apr 29 2012, 09:27 PM
Post #84




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QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
902 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0855 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SSW WOLFFORTH 33.43N 102.05W
04/29/2012 M85 MPH LUBBOCK TX MESONET

RECORDED BY WEST TEXAS MESONET STATION.


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WeatherMonger
post Apr 29 2012, 10:56 PM
Post #85




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A couple warnings out to my west, the one just NE of Columbia would normally be what I'd watch. Just not sure if it's worth watching/waiting for. air mass is really worked over from off and on showers all day, but with the warm front now lifting not sure what to expect. Might be able to hold some strength. Luckily I'm off the next 4 days so sleep isn't really high on the priorities. They usually weaken after crossing the river, so we'll see.
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melissa from ill...
post Apr 29 2012, 11:53 PM
Post #86




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CODE
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1141 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

ILZ097-098-MOZ036-300530-
CALHOUN IL-PIKE MO-PIKE IL-
1141 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
ILLINOIS...AND SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
AND CENTRAL PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

AT 1140 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOUISIANA...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  LOUISIANA...
  PIKE...
  ATLAS...
  CLARKSVILLE...
  PLEASANT HILL...
  BELLEVIEW...
  MARTINSBURG...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.


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melissa from ill...
post Apr 29 2012, 11:54 PM
Post #87




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Apr 29 2012, 10:56 PM) *
A couple warnings out to my west, the one just NE of Columbia would normally be what I'd watch. Just not sure if it's worth watching/waiting for. air mass is really worked over from off and on showers all day, but with the warm front now lifting not sure what to expect. Might be able to hold some strength. Luckily I'm off the next 4 days so sleep isn't really high on the priorities. They usually weaken after crossing the river, so we'll see.


These storms dont look to be weakening much.


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melissa from ill...
post Apr 29 2012, 11:57 PM
Post #88




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Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ILC013-149-300530-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0144.120430T0451Z-120430T0530Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1151 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
SOUTHERN PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT

* AT 1149 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PIKE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...ROOFS AND WINDOWS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PITTSFIELD...PLEASANT HILL...BELLEVIEW...SUMMER HILL...NEW
HARTFORD...MARTINSBURG...NEBO...INDEPENDENCE...BEE
REEK...TIME...
PEARL...MILTON...DETROIT...BEDFORD...MONTEZUMA AND FLORENCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.


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WeatherMonger
post Apr 30 2012, 12:27 AM
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It'll be close, I think riding the front is helping them stay stronger. Only hail reported with the one headed towards us was 1/2" back around Columbia. Might only have pea sized hail, just be nice to get a good storm, dong care about hail/wind. Just want it loud and proud. laugh.gif
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melissa from ill...
post Apr 30 2012, 12:27 AM
Post #90




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i think we may get in on that one coming towards us Weathermonger.


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WeatherMonger
post Apr 30 2012, 12:30 AM
Post #91




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It should hit us, don't think it can split this time. Pretty much out of LSX CWA, see what ILX does. Probably just a SWS I'd imagine
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melissa from ill...
post Apr 30 2012, 12:31 AM
Post #92




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Apr 30 2012, 12:30 AM) *
It should hit us, don't think it can split this time. Pretty much out of LSX CWA, see what ILX does. Probably just a SWS I'd imagine


It would be nice if it can stay warned. We need a really good warned storm, its been a long time since weve had one.


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WeatherMonger
post Apr 30 2012, 02:24 AM
Post #93




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Fell asleep waiting on it, woke me up in a hurry. Strongest part looks to have stayed just south of me but it's got some good lightning with it.
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jdrenken
post Apr 30 2012, 06:31 AM
Post #94




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Multiple Flash Flooding reports of roads being closed here in Central MO.


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jdrenken
post Apr 30 2012, 06:34 AM
Post #95




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QUOTE
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
629 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT

* AT 619 AM CDT...LAW ENFORCMENT REPORTED ROAD CLOSURES OVER
PARTS OF MID MISSOURI...DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINS THAT FELL LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS WERE
REPORTED EARLIER THIS MORNING ALONG HIGHWAY 15 OVER AUDRAIN
COUNTY...AND FLOODING HAS ALSO CLOSED SEVERAL ROADS OVER
BOONE COUNTY...INCLUDING HIGHWAY Y NEAR THE BOONE-CALLAWAY COUNTY
LINE.

THE LIGHT RAIN THAT IS LINGERING OVER THE AREA WILL BE
ENDING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALLS OF
LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER INCH. HOWEVER...THE RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY
OVERNIGHT RAINS WILL ALLOW THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE
EVEN AFTER THE RAIN COMES TO AN END. SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF
BOONE COUNTY...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70...ARE OF PARTICULAR
CONCERN...WITH RAINFALL ESTIMATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES IN
THIS AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ASHLAND...
CENTRALIA...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...VANDALIA...FARBER.
.HALLSVILLE...
LADDONIA...MARTINSBURG...MIDWAY...MURRY...ROCHEPOR
AND STURGEON.


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QUOTE
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It's a work in progress!

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jdrenken
post Apr 30 2012, 06:35 AM
Post #96




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QUOTE
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
616 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

OKC047-053-071-103-301230-
/O.CON.KOUN.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120430T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.
O/
KAY OK-GRANT OK-GARFIELD OK-NOBLE OK-
616 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT FOR
KAY...GRANT...EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL GARFIELD AND EXTREME NORTH
CENTRAL NOBLE COUNTIES...

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...
FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN LIKELY THIS MORNING DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THREE
TO TEN INCHES OF RAIN
HAS FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA
WHICH WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED RUNOFF AND FLOODING THIS MORNING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PONCA CITY...BLACKWELL...TONKAWA...NEWKIRK...MEDFORD...P
ND CREEK...
LAMONT...BILLINGS...WAKITA...KAW CITY...MARLAND...BRAMAN...KREMLIN...
NASH...HUNTER...DEER CREEK...MANCHESTER...HILLSDALE...KILDARE...
NARDIN...JEFFERSON...RENFROW...CHILOCCO...HARDY AND PECKHAM.


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QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

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jdrenken
post Apr 30 2012, 07:29 AM
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The excessive rainfall forecast from the HPC doesn't look good.


Attached thumbnail(s)
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Juniorrr
post Apr 30 2012, 05:08 PM
Post #98




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Under a S. Thunderstorm Watch
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Juniorrr
post Apr 30 2012, 05:10 PM
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QUOTE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0634
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN INDIANA AND MUCH OF KY/OH TO WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 208...

VALID 302052Z - 302215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 208
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 208 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE NEEDED TO THE
EAST OF WW 208 LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...POTENTIALLY INCLUDING
ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF KY AS WELL AS OH/WV.

AN EXTENSIVE NNE-SSW ORIENTED BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO
STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF KY/TN AS OF 2030Z. THESE TSTMS ARE OCCURRING IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN EASTWARD PROPAGATING OUTFLOW BAND/ZONE OF
CONFLUENCE...WITH AID OF ONE OR MORE EASTWARD-TRANSITIONING LOW
AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS/SMALL SCALE MID-LEVEL IMPULSES PER WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY.

THUS FAR...CLOUD COVER/MORE MODEST DESTABILIZATION HAS TEMPERED
UPDRAFT INTENSITY ESPECIALLY WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT ACROSS WW 208
COINCIDENT WITH THE STRONGER DEEP LAYER WESTERLIES. HOWEVER...WITH
AMPLE HEATING STILL OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE LINE...STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO EXPAND/CONGEAL AS THEY STEADILY SPREAD EASTWARD. GIVEN
THIS...SUFFICIENTLY STRONG/CONVECTIVE CLUSTER-PERPENDICULAR FLOW
SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE MATURATION OF WELL-ORGANIZED LINE
SEGMENTS/SMALL-SCALE BOWS CAPABLE OF WIND DAMAGE ASIDE FROM SEVERE
HAIL. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL WATCH TO THE EAST OF WW
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