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> April 24-26 MW/OV Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: Day 1 Slight Risk Forecasts and OBS
CentralIllinois
post Apr 25 2012, 09:32 PM
Post #81




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Posts: 15,264
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From: Mount Zion, IL
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ILX has already started to cancel the watch...so its on to friday


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QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area!
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 09:38 PM
Post #82




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QUOTE(CentralIllinois @ Apr 25 2012, 09:32 PM) *
ILX has already started to cancel the watch...so its on to friday

Kept a few in there, not that it will change much

QUOTE
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 187
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
926 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

ILC017-021-025-039-049-107-115-129-137-139-147-167-169-171-173-
260800-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.A.0187.000000T0000Z-120426T0800Z/

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 187 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 3 AM CDT
THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS

CHRISTIAN DE WITT LOGAN
MACON MENARD MOULTRIE
PIATT SANGAMON SHELBY

IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS

CLAY EFFINGHAM

IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS

CASS MORGAN SCHUYLER
SCOTT

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...DECATUR...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
JACKSONVILLE...LINCOLN...SHELBYVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD AND TAYLORVILLE.


This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Apr 25 2012, 09:38 PM
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nkovatch85
post Apr 25 2012, 09:42 PM
Post #83




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From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 25,595





Starting to get flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder in Jacksonville. Worst will stay to the west. Seeing a few CG strikes. Just missing the brunt of an intense thunderstorm.


--------------------
2013-2014 Winter Stats
Winter Storm Watches: 4
Winter Wx/Fzg Rain Advisories: 9
Winter Storm Warnings: 3
Ice Storm Warnings: 0
Blizzard Warnings: 0


All-Time Severe Weather Stats
Days in a High Risk:
6/2/90, 6/17/92, 10/24/01, 5/10/03, 5/30/04, 10/26/10

Days in PDS Tornado Watch:
6/2/90, 10/24/01, 5/30/04, 11/17/13

Days in PDS Severe T-Storm Watch:
8/4/08
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 09:47 PM
Post #84




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From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113





QUOTE(nkovatch85 @ Apr 25 2012, 09:42 PM) *
Starting to get flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder in Jacksonville. Worst will stay to the west. Seeing a few CG strikes. Just missing the brunt of an intense thunderstorm.

You might stand a better chance with the one back behind it. Don't know that it can do much in the wake of the main storm, but if it doesn't mess the air mass up too bad to it's east you may stand a shot at a stronger thundershower/storm
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nkovatch85
post Apr 25 2012, 09:49 PM
Post #85




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From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 25,595





QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Apr 25 2012, 08:47 PM) *
You might stand a better chance with the one back behind it. Don't know that it can do much in the wake of the main storm, but if it doesn't mess the air mass up too bad to it's east you may stand a shot at a stronger thundershower/storm


I'll probably be in bed by the time that one gets here haha tongue.gif

Really getting a nice lightning show now though!


--------------------
2013-2014 Winter Stats
Winter Storm Watches: 4
Winter Wx/Fzg Rain Advisories: 9
Winter Storm Warnings: 3
Ice Storm Warnings: 0
Blizzard Warnings: 0


All-Time Severe Weather Stats
Days in a High Risk:
6/2/90, 6/17/92, 10/24/01, 5/10/03, 5/30/04, 10/26/10

Days in PDS Tornado Watch:
6/2/90, 10/24/01, 5/30/04, 11/17/13

Days in PDS Severe T-Storm Watch:
8/4/08
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 09:52 PM
Post #86




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From: Springfield, IL
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QUOTE(nkovatch85 @ Apr 25 2012, 09:49 PM) *
I'll probably be in bed by the time that one gets here haha tongue.gif

Really getting a nice lightning show now though!

Yeah, just looked closer at the radar, more convection around you than I thought. Better than what I'm getting, got a few large drops for about 5 minutes. Distant thunder and lightning
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nkovatch85
post Apr 25 2012, 09:54 PM
Post #87




Rank: Tornado
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Group: Member
Posts: 299
Joined: 17-April 11
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 25,595





ILX has to pull the trigger on warning Scott County soon.


--------------------
2013-2014 Winter Stats
Winter Storm Watches: 4
Winter Wx/Fzg Rain Advisories: 9
Winter Storm Warnings: 3
Ice Storm Warnings: 0
Blizzard Warnings: 0


All-Time Severe Weather Stats
Days in a High Risk:
6/2/90, 6/17/92, 10/24/01, 5/10/03, 5/30/04, 10/26/10

Days in PDS Tornado Watch:
6/2/90, 10/24/01, 5/30/04, 11/17/13

Days in PDS Severe T-Storm Watch:
8/4/08
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 09:57 PM
Post #88




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From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113





Sister lives in Meredosia, skirting just west and south of Jacksonville

QUOTE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
955 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  SCOTT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.

* AT 950 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF GRIGGSVILLE...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF
  PITTSFIELD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WINCHESTER...MEREDOSIA...NAPLES...BLUFFS...EXETER.
.CHAPIN...
  ALSEY...MANCHESTER...WOODSON...MURRAYVILLE...OXVIL
E...MERRITT...
  RIGGSTON...GLASGOW...LYNNVILLE...LAKE JACKSONVILLE AND NORTONVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 43 AND 66.

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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 10:20 PM
Post #89




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QUOTE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0586
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MO INTO CNTRL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 187...

VALID 260311Z - 260515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 187
CONTINUES.

AN ISOLATED HAIL THREAT WILL REMAIN FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS A LARGE
AREA FROM NERN MO/CNTRL IL EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY.

ISOLATED HAIL STORMS PERSIST OVER WRN IL...JUST AHEAD OF A COLD AND
NEAR THE SURFACE LOW. WEAK CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN FROM SRN IL INTO
IND THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PROGRESSES EWD. THE ONGOING ACTIVITY MAY
CYCLE UP AND DOWN AS IT TRAVELS SEWD ACROSS IL...PRODUCING HAIL.
WHILE SOME CIN EXISTS...IT IS NOT FORECAST TO TOTALLY CAP THE
AREA...AND PARAMETERS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL.

FARTHER E...INTO SRN OH AND ERN KY...A SEVERE STORM HAS FORMED ON
THE WRN FRINGE OF A BAND OF WARM ADVECTION CONVECTION...HAVING
ACCESS TO BETTER LAPSE RATES/MOISTURE. OTHER ACTIVITY WAS DEVELOPING
ON THE NOSE OF A 50+ KT WLY LOW LEVEL JET OVER KY. THIS BROAD AREA
OF LIFT SHOULD PERSIST...BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY OUTRUN THE BEST
INSTABILITY. AS A RESULT...THE BEST THREAT OF HAIL IS EXPECTED TO BE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WANING AFTER 06Z INTO THE WRN VIRGINIAS.

..JEWELL.. 04/26/2012


ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...I
X...LSX...
DVN...

LAT...LON 38389012 39139132 39719159 40199140 40349080 40118976
39808805 39738578 39608394 39298313 38328204 37708210
37248242 37128358 37478786 37868923 38389012

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Snow____
post Apr 25 2012, 11:11 PM
Post #90




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From: Cincinnati, OH
Member No.: 16,172





At about 8pm I written this off. I had a few heavy rain showers but no thunder and lightning. I was noticing the stuff around Indianapolis and was thinking that it would serve to give us another dose of heavy rain. All of a sudden I heard the sky let loose around 11:30 so I decided to check and I saw that I was under a Warning. I saw all the hail on the radar so I decided to go to the balcony like I do every time it storms.
I can't verify if it hailed or not since it was so dark and raining so hard. There was constant lightning. Not much thunder, a few low growls. Winds might have gusted to 30mph at brief moments.
The main thing with this storm was the rain. That was the heaviest rain I had seen in my 7 years of following the weather. It was crazy. I had never seen it rain so hard. The street I live on is a rather busy and winding street. The sewers could not keep up with the water. The street was starting to flood. It looked like my street was a creek filling with water rapidly. It was fun to watch. Once the rain slowed a bit the sewers caught up and the water receded just as fast as it rose.

I never get a good event in the daytime. I would love to tape some of these events. But every time I get a good storm it is at night.

Well that made my day. I can go to sleep with a smile now. Goodnite.


--------------------
Accuweather please give us our own Midwest area forecaster/video blogger
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snowlover2
post Apr 26 2012, 02:21 AM
Post #91




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Getting one heck of a lightning show from the storms just north of me.


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# of T-Storm Watches:6

# of Tornado Watches:3

# of T-Storm Warnings:5

# of Tornado Warnings:0
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NorEaster07
post Apr 26 2012, 06:48 AM
Post #92




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QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Apr 26 2012, 03:21 AM) *
Getting one heck of a lightning show from the storms just north of me.


Nice. Stay safe.

Some hail reports for this early is impressive.

1.75" hail reported in Putnam County, TN.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...&glossary=0


--------------------
Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 56.75"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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