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> April 24-26 MW/OV Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: Day 1 Slight Risk Forecasts and OBS
WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 06:20 PM
Post #41




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That one storm did get some strength to it before fizzling out

QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
505 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E NEW HOLLAND 40.18N 89.56W
04/25/2012 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE TO A SHED. PIECES BLOWN ACROSS IL ROUTE 10.

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E NEW HOLLAND 40.18N 89.56W
04/25/2012 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

PART OF ROOF TORN OFF OF FS BUILDING.

0420 PM HAIL LINCOLN 40.15N 89.37W
04/25/2012 M0.88 INCH LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW LINCOLN 40.19N 89.39W
04/25/2012 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS ROUTE 121 AND 2000TH AVENUE.

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N LINCOLN 40.17N 89.37W
04/25/2012 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN AT HAMILTON AND TREMONT ST.

0444 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N KENNEY 40.13N 89.09W
04/25/2012 E60.00 MPH DE WITT IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

TIMTE

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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 06:38 PM
Post #42




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Game, set, match. Bring back the cold and deer season


QUOTE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
625 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

AVIATION...
ISSUED 625 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

PRECIP AND ANY STORMS HAVE WEAKENED/DIED OUT AND ANY REMNANTS OF
THE PCPN WILL BE SOUTH AND EAST OF ALL TAF SITES REST OF THE
EVENING. BEHIND THE SHOWERS/STORMS...CIGS HAVE RISEN BACK TO ABOVE
12KFT. SO VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. NOT
EXPECTING ANY LIGHT FOG OVERNIGHT AS WINDS SPEEDS SHOULD INCREASE
AFTER THE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES EAST OF THE SITES AROUND
MIDNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOMORROW AS WELL. COULD BE SOME
SCATTERED TO BROKEN CU DEVELOP TOMORROW...BUT SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE
3KFT. SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SWITCH TO NORTHERLY AFTER THE LOW
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS INCREASE
BEHIND THE LOW TO AROUND 15MPH AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW.

AUTEN
&&

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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 06:41 PM
Post #43




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Hmm, although there is a new cell popping in SW IA. Not sure if that's the beginning of something more or just a rogue storm.
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nkovatch85
post Apr 25 2012, 06:44 PM
Post #44




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Apr 25 2012, 05:41 PM) *
Hmm, although there is a new cell popping in SW IA. Not sure if that's the beginning of something more or just a rogue storm.


So that, too! The show MAY not be over yet for us in Illinois.


--------------------
2013-2014 Winter Stats
Winter Storm Watches: 4
Winter Wx/Fzg Rain Advisories: 9
Winter Storm Warnings: 3
Ice Storm Warnings: 0
Blizzard Warnings: 0


All-Time Severe Weather Stats
Days in a High Risk:
6/2/90, 6/17/92, 10/24/01, 5/10/03, 5/30/04, 10/26/10

Days in PDS Tornado Watch:
6/2/90, 10/24/01, 5/30/04, 11/17/13

Days in PDS Severe T-Storm Watch:
8/4/08
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 06:48 PM
Post #45




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QUOTE(nkovatch85 @ Apr 25 2012, 06:44 PM) *
So that, too! The show MAY not be over yet for us in Illinois.

We'll see, I've learned not to hold my breath. Looks like it could get a warning shortly. Thing is whether we're able to support a storm or not. Earlier one went up and fizzled pretty quick. Only time will tell
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Juniorrr
post Apr 25 2012, 06:55 PM
Post #46




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Radar indicated 1.25" hail with the cell in IA
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 07:04 PM
Post #47




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QUOTE
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
659 PM CDT WED APR 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...
  NORTHEASTERN SCOTLAND COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...
  WEST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
  VAN BUREN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT.

* AT 655 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60
  MPH...AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
  NEAR DOUDS/LEANDO...OR 10 MILES WEST OF KEOSAUQUA...AND MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  MILTON...CANTRIL...BENTONSPORT/VERNON...BONAPARTE AND CROTON.
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 07:06 PM
Post #48




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Guessing SPC will probably watch this one awhile before issuing another MD. Doesn't look like it's going to hold up though, then again storms usually do opposite of what I say
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Juniorrr
post Apr 25 2012, 07:10 PM
Post #49




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RUC says some thunderstorms or thundershowers in the early morning hours for SW OH. Around 4-7am
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 07:11 PM
Post #50




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Warned for ping pong ball sized hail now
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 07:28 PM
Post #51




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Up to golf ball size hail. Hard to tell if anything else will develop or not
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NorEaster07
post Apr 25 2012, 07:40 PM
Post #52




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1" Hail reported by spotter.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=d...&glossary=0

0733 PM HAIL 5 E CANTRIL 40.64N 91.98W
04/25/2012 E1.00 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY NICKELS FALLING.



--------------------
Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 56.75"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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melissa from ill...
post Apr 25 2012, 07:55 PM
Post #53




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Member No.: 18,383





Attached Image


--------------------
"Auntie Em, Uncle Henry, its a TWISTER its a TWISTER!"
Follow me on Twitter: @melwheat62
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melissa from ill...
post Apr 25 2012, 07:56 PM
Post #54




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Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (10%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)


--------------------
"Auntie Em, Uncle Henry, its a TWISTER its a TWISTER!"
Follow me on Twitter: @melwheat62
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melissa from ill...
post Apr 25 2012, 07:58 PM
Post #55




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Those storms coming out of Iowa make smack us head on.


--------------------
"Auntie Em, Uncle Henry, its a TWISTER its a TWISTER!"
Follow me on Twitter: @melwheat62
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CentralIllinois
post Apr 25 2012, 07:59 PM
Post #56




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Member No.: 14,540





better later than never....The Cell in IA looks decent


--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area!
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 08:04 PM
Post #57




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SPC had to go and ruin the watchless streak. Makes me wonder if they're just not sure where that storm is going to head. laugh.gif looks like that's the only reason for the watch.
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CentralIllinois
post Apr 25 2012, 08:06 PM
Post #58




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Apr 25 2012, 08:04 PM) *
SPC had to go and ruin the watchless streak. Makes me wonder if they're just not sure where that storm is going to head. laugh.gif looks like that's the only reason for the watch.

im surprised a watch was even issued lol


--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area!
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WeatherMonger
post Apr 25 2012, 08:06 PM
Post #59




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QUOTE(melissa from illinois @ Apr 25 2012, 07:58 PM) *
Those storms coming out of Iowa make smack us head on.

I think we'll have to hope for something to form off any outflows from it. Looks to track near or west of Jacksonville, ATM anyhow definitely rooting for you to be right though
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CentralIllinois
post Apr 25 2012, 08:08 PM
Post #60




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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HRRR






--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area!
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