 April 27-29 Plains/MW/GL/OV Rain/Snow Storm, Please Post In OBS Thread |
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 Apr 24 2012, 01:25 PM
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#1
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 5,733 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567  |
Hard to believe I have to include 'snow' in this topic.
Looks like some snow is on the horizon- 5 day snow forecast  Quick clipper system should swing through and put down some snow. Higher amounts in the Northeast. 5-day QPF  (Note: The 5-day image might be 10:1 ratios, so apologies in advance if that is true) This post has been edited by The Snowman: Apr 24 2012, 01:26 PM -------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013-2014 Winter Total Snowfall: 64'' Winter Weather Advisories: 10 Winter Storm Watches: 2 (1 Lake Effect) Winter Storm Warnings: 6 (2 Lake Effect) Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37'' You can never have too much hockey, weather or Pink Floyd. QUOTE(John Wiedeman, May 29, 2013) The Blackhawks have dispatched the Detroit Red Wings! |
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Apr 24 2012, 01:53 PM
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#2
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 339 Joined: 11-January 09 From: Saginaw, MI Member No.: 16,877 |
Say it ain't so! Is there any sign of a warm-up for the Great Lakes/Midwest?
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Apr 24 2012, 01:56 PM
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#3
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 32,563 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(wxman1952 @ Apr 24 2012, 01:53 PM)  Say it ain't so! Is there any sign of a warm-up for the Great Lakes/Midwest? After this system departs, heights will rise and temps respond. -------------------- QUOTE For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER! It's a work in progress! Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.  89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse. |
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Apr 24 2012, 02:37 PM
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#4
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,415 Joined: 20-February 11 From: Beavercreek, OH Member No.: 25,413 |
I knew someone from Chicago or S. MI would make a thread for this. Looks like below average temps and chilly rain for my area
-------------------- 2013-2014 snowfall total: 52.2""
11/5/13: trace 11/12/13: 1" 11/26/13: 0.5-1" 12/6/13: 6.5" 12/10/13: 3.0" 12/13/13: 3.0" 12/16/13: 1.2" 1/2/14: 6.0" 1/5/14: 1.1" 1/9/14: 2.2" 1/16/14: 1.1" 1/17/14: 3.1" 1/18/14: 3.8" 1/21/14: 1.8" 1/25/14: 3.7" 1/26/14: ~1.5" 2/5/14: 6" w/glaze of ice 2/9/14: 1.5" 2/15/14: 3.7" 3/4/14: 2.0" |
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Apr 24 2012, 03:32 PM
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#5
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 329 Joined: 21-September 11 From: Wauwatosa, WI Member No.: 26,043 |
QUOTE(The Snowman @ Apr 24 2012, 01:25 PM) Hard to believe I have to include 'snow' in this topic. Looks like some snow is on the horizon- 5 day snow forecast Quick clipper system should swing through and put down some snow. Higher amounts in the Northeast. 5-day QPF (Note: The 5-day image might be 10:1 ratios, so apologies in advance if that is true) I've been waiting for a general thread to be started on this potential, but I thought I would let someone else start it. |
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Apr 24 2012, 06:05 PM
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#6
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 5,733 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
Okay, quick question for anyone.
On the PoliClimate Snow page, there is a snow depth forecast and the bottom half is the 5 day snow. Is the 5 day snow picture what would fall? Or is that 10:1 ratios, as it appears to say immediately under the snow depth charts? -------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013-2014 Winter Total Snowfall: 64'' Winter Weather Advisories: 10 Winter Storm Watches: 2 (1 Lake Effect) Winter Storm Warnings: 6 (2 Lake Effect) Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37'' You can never have too much hockey, weather or Pink Floyd. QUOTE(John Wiedeman, May 29, 2013) The Blackhawks have dispatched the Detroit Red Wings! |
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Apr 25 2012, 06:03 PM
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#7
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 339 Joined: 7-August 11 Member No.: 25,873 |
QUOTE(The Snowman @ Apr 24 2012, 06:05 PM) Okay, quick question for anyone. On the PoliClimate Snow page, there is a snow depth forecast and the bottom half is the 5 day snow. Is the 5 day snow picture what would fall? Or is that 10:1 ratios, as it appears to say immediately under the snow depth charts? Snowman I really don't know what you are trying to ask. I think you are asking why the snow depth forecast is different than the 10:1 ratio forecast, but if I am wrong correct me. I think the five day snow forecast using 10:1 ratio is exactly what it says. However, and correct me if I'm wrong, I think that the image shows the snow that the model thinks will fall without taking into account snow melt. The snow depth forecast is different as it takes into account the melting of the snow, thus the results will be lower most of the time. I'm not 100% sure myself, but that's what I've always interpreted it as. -------------------- Hi.
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Apr 26 2012, 06:52 AM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 5,733 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
First realistic forecast I have seen from the PoliClimate 5 day snows.
Attached thumbnail(s)
-------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013-2014 Winter Total Snowfall: 64'' Winter Weather Advisories: 10 Winter Storm Watches: 2 (1 Lake Effect) Winter Storm Warnings: 6 (2 Lake Effect) Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37'' You can never have too much hockey, weather or Pink Floyd. QUOTE(John Wiedeman, May 29, 2013) The Blackhawks have dispatched the Detroit Red Wings! |
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Apr 28 2012, 10:34 AM
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#9
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 173 Joined: 21-November 11 Member No.: 26,192 |
Sleet or small hail has been falling here in Toledo for the past 15 or 20 minutes. Even a few wet snowflakes look to be mixing in. There's a light accumulation of ice pellets on the deck. Not really showing up on the Accuweather multi-precip type rain.
This post has been edited by Stratocumulus: Apr 28 2012, 10:35 AM |
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Apr 28 2012, 10:54 AM
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#10
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 173 Joined: 21-November 11 Member No.: 26,192 |
The Toledo Express Airport is reporting heavy rain & snow mix.
SPECI KTOL 281543Z 11012G15KT 3SM +RASN BKN038 OVC060 03/00 A3022 RMK AO2 RAB12SNB42 P0006 |
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Apr 28 2012, 11:21 AM
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#11
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,193 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
959 AM MDT SAT APR 28 2012 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0940 AM SNOW E6.0 INCH PHILLIPS , MT TRAINED SPOTTER 0955 AM SNOW M6.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT CO-OP OBSERVER STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF REPORT http://kamala.cod.edu/mt/latest.nwus55.KGGW.html -------------------- Snow Totals Per Season:
2007-08: 21" 2008-09: 41" 2009-10: 39.5" 2010-11: 71.5" 2011-12: 14" 2012-13: 46.5" 2013-14: 56.75" Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75" |
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Apr 28 2012, 11:23 AM
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#12
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,193 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
QUOTE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
913 AM MDT SAT APR 28 2012 MTZ028>042-056>058-063>068-WYZ098-099-291515- SOUTHERN WHEATLAND-MUSSELSHELL-TREASURE-NORTHERN ROSEBUD-CUSTER- FALLON-NORTHERN STILLWATER-YELLOWSTONE-POWDER RIVER-CARTER- SOUTHERN BIG HORN-EASTERN CARBON-NORTHERN PARK- NORTHERN SWEET GRASS-GOLDEN VALLEY-RED LODGE FOOTHILLS- NORTHERN BIG HORN-SOUTHERN ROSEBUD-JUDITH GAP-PARADISE VALLEY- LIVINGSTON AREA-BEARTOOTH FOOTHILLS-ABSAROKA/BEARTOOTH MOUNTAINS- CRAZY MOUNTAINS-NORTHEAST BIG HORN MOUNTAINS-SHERIDAN FOOTHILLS- 913 AM MDT SAT APR 28 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MONTANA...SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...SOUTHEAST MONTANA AND NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE CRAZY MOUNTAINS TODAY...AND IN THE BEARTOOTH/ABSAROKA AND NORTHEAST BIG HORN MOUNTAINS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE...LOCATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET IN POWDER RIVER...SOUTHERN BIG HORN...SOUTHERN ROSEBUD...AND SHERIDAN COUNTIES WILL ALSO PICK UP 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. MEANWHILE...WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS....ALTHOUGH IT WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW IN SOME AREAS TONIGHT. THOSE WITH PLANS IN THE HIGH COUNTRY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS. This post has been edited by NorEaster07: Apr 28 2012, 11:23 AM -------------------- Snow Totals Per Season:
2007-08: 21" 2008-09: 41" 2009-10: 39.5" 2010-11: 71.5" 2011-12: 14" 2012-13: 46.5" 2013-14: 56.75" Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75" |
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Apr 28 2012, 11:40 AM
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#13
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,193 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
Some Local Storm Reports: 11" just reported at 4500' elevation.
https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#TFX/201204...1204281600/0100  -------------------- Snow Totals Per Season:
2007-08: 21" 2008-09: 41" 2009-10: 39.5" 2010-11: 71.5" 2011-12: 14" 2012-13: 46.5" 2013-14: 56.75" Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75" |
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Apr 28 2012, 11:46 AM
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#14
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 32,563 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(Stratocumulus @ Apr 28 2012, 10:34 AM) Sleet or small hail has been falling here in Toledo for the past 15 or 20 minutes. Even a few wet snowflakes look to be mixing in. There's a light accumulation of ice pellets on the deck. Not really showing up on the Accuweather multi-precip type rain. I would consider that more of a "graupel" than sleet or hail if there are snowflakes mixed in. -------------------- QUOTE For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER! It's a work in progress! Have a question? Look at our FAQ first. 89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse. |
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