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> May 7-9 MidAtl/NE Storm OBS, Possibility: Reality, Forecasts & OBS
NorEaster07
post Apr 28 2012, 01:13 PM
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Maybe our next chance at some good rains (since April 23rd) will come in this period.

Latest 12z GFS showing a clipper type system that strengthens in Atlantic and retrogrades back into Maine as seen in this animation. 6-10 Day precip total below.




Attached Image

This post has been edited by NorEaster07: May 8 2012, 05:20 PM


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2013
Last Snow: March 18
Last 80° Day: Oct 2
1st Frost: Oct 25
1st Freeze: Nov 4
1st Snow: Nov. 12


Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 1/4"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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NYCSuburbs
post Apr 28 2012, 11:46 PM
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If only it was January... there would've actually been a winter and most would've had a Dec-Feb total snow pack that lasts longer than 2-4 days.

Attached Image


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4", 13-14: 2.4" (As of 12/6)

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6", 13-14: Trace (As of 11/23)
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shane o mac
post Apr 30 2012, 10:19 PM
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Only good chance for wind for the maritimes .l .
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NorEaster07
post May 6 2012, 01:56 PM
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Its been so long I almost forgot there was a thread for this. Then again.. Nothing substantial was being shown for days. Looks like latest GFS has something developing again now.

Attached Image


--------------------

2013
Last Snow: March 18
Last 80° Day: Oct 2
1st Frost: Oct 25
1st Freeze: Nov 4
1st Snow: Nov. 12


Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 1/4"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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NorEaster07
post May 6 2012, 02:08 PM
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GFS 72hr precip. hr 108

Attached Image


--------------------

2013
Last Snow: March 18
Last 80° Day: Oct 2
1st Frost: Oct 25
1st Freeze: Nov 4
1st Snow: Nov. 12


Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 1/4"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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New England Stor...
post May 6 2012, 08:15 PM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ May 6 2012, 03:08 PM) *
GFS 72hr precip. hr 108

Attached Image

It is really hard not to want that run to come true. I would love to end all drought worries.


--------------------
Weather 2012-2013
Oct 28-29 Sandy Gust to 60MPH
Oct 29 Thunder storms
Dec 29 2.8 inch of snow
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gulfofslides
post May 7 2012, 05:44 AM
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QUOTE(New England Storm @ May 6 2012, 09:15 PM) *
It is really hard not to want that run to come true. I would love to end all drought worries.

By the end of May we will be sick of all the rain blink.gif
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LUCC
post May 7 2012, 08:15 AM
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NAM and GFS both look to have showers for the next several days and attempt to develop a low just off NJ on the 10th. The NAM is closer to the coast than the GFS. Not a very strong storm and it forms along a warmfront so this could easily be a non-event, definitely shower activity and cloudy again this week:






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NorEaster07
post May 7 2012, 09:21 AM
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If Euro verifys there's less qpf. Looks like limited sun this week ... again.

Attached Image


This post has been edited by NorEaster07: May 7 2012, 09:23 AM


--------------------

2013
Last Snow: March 18
Last 80° Day: Oct 2
1st Frost: Oct 25
1st Freeze: Nov 4
1st Snow: Nov. 12


Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 1/4"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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New England Stor...
post May 7 2012, 09:17 PM
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Local mets saying NNE might jackpot with this one.


--------------------
Weather 2012-2013
Oct 28-29 Sandy Gust to 60MPH
Oct 29 Thunder storms
Dec 29 2.8 inch of snow
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NYCSuburbs
post May 7 2012, 10:28 PM
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QUOTE(New England Storm @ May 7 2012, 10:17 PM) *
Local mets saying NNE might jackpot with this one.

Meanwhile, NYC once again might be shafted; the timing is appearing to be slower, resulting in the rain staying to the west on Tuesday, quickly moving through overnight, and settling to the east on Wednesday. Good thing that the drought isn't as bad as it was before, but with the region still under a moderate drought and with no widespread rain showing up over the next 7 days (and beyond perhaps?), hopefully it's not the start of a new trend.


--------------------
Visit my weather website for the NYC area

Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"):
11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4", 13-14: 2.4" (As of 12/6)

Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"):
06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5",
09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches
12-13: 36.6", 13-14: Trace (As of 11/23)
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yankees
post May 8 2012, 05:45 AM
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Well it rained for mabye half an hour last night and has not rained since.

This post has been edited by yankees: May 8 2012, 05:45 AM


--------------------
Severe Weather Safety
Spring is soon to be upon us and here are some tips for severe weather season.

Thunderstorm Safety Tips
http://www.dhses.ny.gov/oem/safety-info/pu...hunderstorm.cfm

Lightning Safety
http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/

Tornado Safety
http://www.ready.gov/tornadoes

Snow Events
11/7-6.5 inches
12/24-12/25 1 inch
12/26-12/27 4.5 inches
12/29-2.5 inches
1/15-1/16-4 inches
1/28- 1 inch
2/8-2/9 Blizzard 12 inches
2/13- 1 inch
3/7-3/8- 8 inches
3/18-3/19 5 inches

12-13 45.5

09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches)
10-11 60.5 inches
11-12 21 inches
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LUCC
post May 8 2012, 08:06 AM
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CMC, GFS, NAM have some shower activity for the next couple days, heavier stuff staying in PA moving NE from there then low developing off the coast on Thursday anywhere from NC to LI and it heads NE from there. Shows some showers but no mod/heavy rains are on land until you get up around E-LI on north and east.


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grandpaboy
post May 8 2012, 08:23 AM
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Coastal areas of Jersey and NE look to score with rain the next 5 days..........


Attached Image


--------------------
Fall/Winter 2012/13---------

First Snow: 11/7/12 - 7 inches
Bunch of Clippers that produced a total of 3 inches...
2/8/13 - Blizzard backend snows - 6.5 inches

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
WINTER 2009/2010
Season 73.9
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WINTER 2010/2011
Season total - 49 inches
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WINTER 2011/2012
Season Toal - Too little to mention
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STEVE392
post May 8 2012, 08:43 AM
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just looked at the radar, is all that rain staying to our north and west?


--------------------
New Milford, NJ
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LUCC
post May 8 2012, 09:48 AM
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QUOTE(STEVE392 @ May 8 2012, 08:43 AM) *
just looked at the radar, is all that rain staying to our north and west?

Most of it, we'll get a little bit from the tail end when it rolls through on it's way NE. You can see by the QPF map posted above that PA/NY/NE are going to get most of the rain from this one and then coastal sections into the NNE will get the majority from the coastal if it develops on Thursday.


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LUCC
post May 8 2012, 09:49 AM
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Oh, and look at all that qpf in Texas finally! Good for them.


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NorEaster07
post May 8 2012, 10:09 AM
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Totals have been cut in half. I was looking forward to 2" but now looks like I wont get more than 1".

The culprit.(or one of)

Attached Image


--------------------

2013
Last Snow: March 18
Last 80° Day: Oct 2
1st Frost: Oct 25
1st Freeze: Nov 4
1st Snow: Nov. 12


Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 1/4"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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LUCC
post May 8 2012, 10:11 AM
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Member No.: 16,588



Of course Accuweather and NOAA radars look really wet compared to:


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NorEaster07
post May 8 2012, 12:19 PM
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QUOTE(LUCC @ May 8 2012, 11:11 AM) *
Of course Accuweather and NOAA radars look really wet compared to:


Another 12 hours of this and I might have to add a Bubble over me. If there's not going to be sun for 8 days at least give me rain! Gees. G:rolleyes:

Attached Image


--------------------

2013
Last Snow: March 18
Last 80° Day: Oct 2
1st Frost: Oct 25
1st Freeze: Nov 4
1st Snow: Nov. 12


Snow Totals Per Season:

2007-08: 21"
2008-09: 41"
2009-10: 39.5"
2010-11: 71.5"
2011-12: 14"
2012-13: 46.5"
2013-14: 1/4"

Average(BDR since 1950) = 27.75"
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