 May 7-9 MidAtl/NE Storm OBS, Possibility: Reality, Forecasts & OBS |
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 Apr 28 2012, 01:13 PM
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#1
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 20,958 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864  |
Maybe our next chance at some good rains (since April 23rd) will come in this period.
Latest 12z GFS showing a clipper type system that strengthens in Atlantic and retrogrades back into Maine as seen in this animation. 6-10 Day precip total below.  
This post has been edited by NorEaster07: May 8 2012, 05:20 PM |
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Apr 28 2012, 11:46 PM
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#2
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 33,603 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
If only it was January... there would've actually been a winter and most would've had a Dec-Feb total snow pack that lasts longer than 2-4 days.
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Apr 30 2012, 10:19 PM
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#3
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,308 Joined: 19-August 09 From: Nova Scotia Cape Breton Member No.: 18,972 |
Only good chance for wind for the maritimes .l .
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May 6 2012, 01:56 PM
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#4
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,958 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
Its been so long I almost forgot there was a thread for this. Then again.. Nothing substantial was being shown for days. Looks like latest GFS has something developing again now.
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May 6 2012, 02:08 PM
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#5
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,958 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
GFS 72hr precip. hr 108
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May 6 2012, 08:15 PM
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#6
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 262 Joined: 25-July 11 From: Halifax Mass Member No.: 25,837 |
QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ May 6 2012, 03:08 PM)  GFS 72hr precip. hr 108 It is really hard not to want that run to come true. I would love to end all drought worries. -------------------- Weather 2012-2013
Oct 28-29 Sandy Gust to 60MPH Oct 29 Thunder storms Dec 29 2.8 inch of snow |
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May 7 2012, 05:44 AM
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#7
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,075 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Hingham Member No.: 12,082 |
QUOTE(New England Storm @ May 6 2012, 09:15 PM) It is really hard not to want that run to come true. I would love to end all drought worries. By the end of May we will be sick of all the rain 
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May 7 2012, 08:15 AM
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#8
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,132 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Robbinsville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
NAM and GFS both look to have showers for the next several days and attempt to develop a low just off NJ on the 10th. The NAM is closer to the coast than the GFS. Not a very strong storm and it forms along a warmfront so this could easily be a non-event, definitely shower activity and cloudy again this week:
  -------------------- Winter '17-'18 12/9 - 5.5" 12/13-14 - 1.5" 12/15 - 2.25" 12/30 - 4" 1/4 - 6.5" 1/17 - 1" 2/17 - 3.5" 3/2 - 0.5" 3/7 - 10.25" (thanks PARD) 3/13 - 2.25" 3/21 - 11.5" Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5" Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5" Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5" Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0" |
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May 7 2012, 09:21 AM
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#9
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,958 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
If Euro verifys there's less qpf. Looks like limited sun this week ... again.
This post has been edited by NorEaster07: May 7 2012, 09:23 AM |
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May 7 2012, 09:17 PM
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#10
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 262 Joined: 25-July 11 From: Halifax Mass Member No.: 25,837 |
Local mets saying NNE might jackpot with this one.
-------------------- Weather 2012-2013
Oct 28-29 Sandy Gust to 60MPH Oct 29 Thunder storms Dec 29 2.8 inch of snow |
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May 7 2012, 10:28 PM
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#11
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 33,603 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(New England Storm @ May 7 2012, 10:17 PM) Local mets saying NNE might jackpot with this one. Meanwhile, NYC once again might be shafted; the timing is appearing to be slower, resulting in the rain staying to the west on Tuesday, quickly moving through overnight, and settling to the east on Wednesday. Good thing that the drought isn't as bad as it was before, but with the region still under a moderate drought and with no widespread rain showing up over the next 7 days (and beyond perhaps?), hopefully it's not the start of a new trend. |
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May 8 2012, 05:45 AM
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#12
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,195 Joined: 16-February 08 From: Mahopac, New York Member No.: 13,731 |
Well it rained for mabye half an hour last night and has not rained since.
This post has been edited by yankees: May 8 2012, 05:45 AM -------------------- Summer Weather Safety
Summer is here and here are some tips to stay safe Severe Weather http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/severeweather/index.shtml Heat Safety http://nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml 09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches) 10-11 60.5 inches 11-12 21 inches 12-13 45.5 inches 13-14 57 inches 14-15 57.5 inches 15-16 28.5 inches |
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May 8 2012, 08:06 AM
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#13
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,132 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Robbinsville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
CMC, GFS, NAM have some shower activity for the next couple days, heavier stuff staying in PA moving NE from there then low developing off the coast on Thursday anywhere from NC to LI and it heads NE from there. Shows some showers but no mod/heavy rains are on land until you get up around E-LI on north and east.
-------------------- Winter '17-'18 12/9 - 5.5" 12/13-14 - 1.5" 12/15 - 2.25" 12/30 - 4" 1/4 - 6.5" 1/17 - 1" 2/17 - 3.5" 3/2 - 0.5" 3/7 - 10.25" (thanks PARD) 3/13 - 2.25" 3/21 - 11.5" Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5" Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5" Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5" Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0" |
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May 8 2012, 08:23 AM
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#14
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,506 Joined: 24-January 08 From: 39.96N, 74.2W Member No.: 12,978 |
Coastal areas of Jersey and NE look to score with rain the next 5 days..........
-------------------- just a guy who despises weather but loves the drama....
whats going to happen when weather is predictable:...-me |
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May 8 2012, 08:43 AM
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#15
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,037 Joined: 19-July 10 From: Little Ferry,NJ Member No.: 23,183 |
just looked at the radar, is all that rain staying to our north and west?
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May 8 2012, 09:48 AM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,132 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Robbinsville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
QUOTE(STEVE392 @ May 8 2012, 08:43 AM) just looked at the radar, is all that rain staying to our north and west? Most of it, we'll get a little bit from the tail end when it rolls through on it's way NE. You can see by the QPF map posted above that PA/NY/NE are going to get most of the rain from this one and then coastal sections into the NNE will get the majority from the coastal if it develops on Thursday. -------------------- Winter '17-'18 12/9 - 5.5" 12/13-14 - 1.5" 12/15 - 2.25" 12/30 - 4" 1/4 - 6.5" 1/17 - 1" 2/17 - 3.5" 3/2 - 0.5" 3/7 - 10.25" (thanks PARD) 3/13 - 2.25" 3/21 - 11.5" Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5" Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5" Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5" Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0" |
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May 8 2012, 09:49 AM
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#17
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,132 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Robbinsville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
Oh, and look at all that qpf in Texas finally! Good for them.
-------------------- Winter '17-'18 12/9 - 5.5" 12/13-14 - 1.5" 12/15 - 2.25" 12/30 - 4" 1/4 - 6.5" 1/17 - 1" 2/17 - 3.5" 3/2 - 0.5" 3/7 - 10.25" (thanks PARD) 3/13 - 2.25" 3/21 - 11.5" Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5" Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5" Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5" Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0" |
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May 8 2012, 10:09 AM
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#18
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,958 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
Totals have been cut in half. I was looking forward to 2" but now looks like I wont get more than 1".
The culprit.(or one of)
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May 8 2012, 10:11 AM
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#19
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,132 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Robbinsville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
Of course Accuweather and NOAA radars look really wet compared to:
-------------------- Winter '17-'18 12/9 - 5.5" 12/13-14 - 1.5" 12/15 - 2.25" 12/30 - 4" 1/4 - 6.5" 1/17 - 1" 2/17 - 3.5" 3/2 - 0.5" 3/7 - 10.25" (thanks PARD) 3/13 - 2.25" 3/21 - 11.5" Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5" Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5" Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5" Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0" |
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May 8 2012, 12:19 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,958 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT Member No.: 18,864 |
QUOTE(LUCC @ May 8 2012, 11:11 AM) Of course Accuweather and NOAA radars look really wet compared to: Another 12 hours of this and I might have to add a Bubble over me. If there's not going to be sun for 8 days at least give me rain! Gees. G:rolleyes:
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