 Apr 30-May 1 MidAtl/NE Storm, Reality: Short Range (0-3 Days Out) Forecasts |
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 Apr 30 2012, 03:35 PM
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#1
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Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 29,266 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491  |
I guess I'll start the new thread... this one's for the rain event tonight into tomorrow. The main moderate rain event should focus from the northern Mid Atlantic tonight into tomorrow morning, going into the afternoon for New England, with scattered thunderstorms in the Mid Atlantic south of the PA/MD line.
12z GFS rain:
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Apr 30 2012, 03:44 PM
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#2
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,606 Joined: 5-December 08 From: Sussex, NJ Member No.: 16,359 |
QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Apr 30 2012, 04:35 PM)  I guess I'll start the new thread... this one's for the rain event tonight into tomorrow. The main moderate rain event should focus from the northern Mid Atlantic tonight into tomorrow morning, going into the afternoon for New England, with scattered thunderstorms in the Mid Atlantic south of the PA/MD line. Pretty much sums it up. Not sure there is much left to add and/or analyze about this. -------------------- 11/07/12 2.50" Miller A
11/27/12 4.00" Wantage-Trained Spotter 12/24/12 1.00" Wantage-Trained Spotter 12/26/12 6.00" Miller A 12/29/12 4.75" Miller A 01/16/13 4.25" Miller A 01/21/13 0.20" Wantage-Trained Spotter 01/25/13 0.30" Wantage-Trained Spotter 01/28/13 0.80" Wantage-Trained Spotter 02/03/13 1.00" Miller A 02/05/13 1.00" Wantage-Trained Spotter 02/08/13 9.00" Miller A 03/07/13 5.00" Miller A 03/16/13 1.20" Wantage-Trained Spotter 03/18/13 5.00" Miller A TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00" TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05" TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40" TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00" |
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Apr 30 2012, 03:53 PM
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#3
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,266 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(Miller A @ Apr 30 2012, 04:44 PM) Pretty much sums it up. Not sure there is much left to add and/or analyze about this. There's also a temperature spike associated with this along I-95 up to NYC, with temps up to DC (maybe Philly?) surging to 80 degrees. If you're a fan of sharp temperature gradients, keep an eye on temperatures tomorrow southwest and northeast of NYC. Going from 70s in northern NJ to barely mid 50s in Connecticut. -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Apr 30 2012, 04:36 PM
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#4
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,606 Joined: 5-December 08 From: Sussex, NJ Member No.: 16,359 |
QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Apr 30 2012, 04:53 PM) There's also a temperature spike associated with this along I-95 up to NYC, with temps up to DC (maybe Philly?) surging to 80 degrees. If you're a fan of sharp temperature gradients, keep an eye on temperatures tomorrow southwest and northeast of NYC. Going from 70s in northern NJ to barely mid 50s in Connecticut. I've been dealing with that Freeze Warning for the last few days. And my wife says she smells gas when she turns on the heat. We havent used heat for a while now. Warm temps would be much appreciated. Not exaggerating when i say I had a scarf and hat on inside house all weekend. Oddly, I just had to re-attach some ducts back onto the the ceiling in the basement. i think i just kicked up some dust, but she is not buying it. Coincidentally, the alleged smell started right around then. And none of the ducts I played with were anywhere near the furnace so i dont think I did anything. This post has been edited by Miller A: Apr 30 2012, 04:36 PM -------------------- 11/07/12 2.50" Miller A
11/27/12 4.00" Wantage-Trained Spotter 12/24/12 1.00" Wantage-Trained Spotter 12/26/12 6.00" Miller A 12/29/12 4.75" Miller A 01/16/13 4.25" Miller A 01/21/13 0.20" Wantage-Trained Spotter 01/25/13 0.30" Wantage-Trained Spotter 01/28/13 0.80" Wantage-Trained Spotter 02/03/13 1.00" Miller A 02/05/13 1.00" Wantage-Trained Spotter 02/08/13 9.00" Miller A 03/07/13 5.00" Miller A 03/16/13 1.20" Wantage-Trained Spotter 03/18/13 5.00" Miller A TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00" TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05" TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40" TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00" |
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Apr 30 2012, 04:45 PM
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#5
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,266 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(Miller A @ Apr 30 2012, 05:36 PM) I've been dealing with that Freeze Warning for the last few days. And my wife says she smells gas when she turns on the heat. We havent used heat for a while now. Warm temps would be much appreciated. Not exaggerating when i say I had a scarf and hat on inside house all weekend. I've heard that so many times over the last week... I've used a coat indoors  With the Greenland block that just now had to come (words can't explain my frustration), there's no warm pattern coming any time soon, instead it may actually be quite chilly for May at times with only 50s for highs, but at least this week won't feature more of those freeze warnings. This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Apr 30 2012, 04:46 PM -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Apr 30 2012, 04:48 PM
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#6
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,389 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT (10 miles from beach) Member No.: 18,864 |
2 things are coming... Rain...and heat. lol This was the 4:20m temps and radar. Winds at 850mb on right.
-------------------- Snow Totals Per Season:
2007-08: 21" 2008-09: 41" 2009-10: 39.5" 2010-11: 71.5" 2011-12: 14" 2012-13: 46.5" Average(since 1950) = 27.75" |
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Apr 30 2012, 04:56 PM
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#7
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,266 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Apr 30 2012, 05:48 PM) 2 things are coming... Rain...and heat. lol This was the 4:20m temps and radar. Winds at 850mb on right.
Sadly the SW flow aloft won't have much help here outside of the Mid Atlantic. Apparently back door cold fronts like to show up uninvited in months like May
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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May 1 2012, 01:36 AM
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#8
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 13,280 Joined: 17-December 08 From: Freehold Boro Member No.: 16,547 |
Heavy rain with some thunder and lightning imby..Currently 45 degrees..
-------------------- Central monmouth county avg snowfall 27"-30" Freehold boro snowfall 2008 - 2009: 26.8" 2009 - 2010: 74.2" 2010 - 2011: 61.1" 2011 - 2012: 8.5" 2012 - 2013: 37.1" |
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May 1 2012, 04:48 AM
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#9
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,266 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
I think I'm prefer a man-made alarm clock... I set mine to 7 AM, thunder just had to wake me up 1/2 hour ago, nothing better than an almost sleepless night due to thunder
 EDIT: Even better... the heaviest part of the storm stalled right on top of me according to the radar. At least it slightly helps with the moderate drought though. This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: May 1 2012, 04:50 AM -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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May 1 2012, 08:09 AM
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#10
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,824 Joined: 24-January 08 From: 39.96N, 74.2W Member No.: 12,978 |
Nasty storms moved through my area this morning, frequent lighting and close strikes to my house, best storm of the year...........
-------------------- Fall/Winter 2012/13---------
First Snow: 11/7/12 - 7 inches Bunch of Clippers that produced a total of 3 inches... 2/8/13 - Blizzard backend snows - 6.5 inches +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ WINTER 2009/2010 Season 73.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2010/2011 Season total - 49 inches ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WINTER 2011/2012 Season Toal - Too little to mention |
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May 1 2012, 09:19 AM
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#11
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,389 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT (10 miles from beach) Member No.: 18,864 |
Mt Washington in New Hampshire is getting some frozen stuff this morning.
Hourly OBS. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/obhistory/KMWN.html  http://www.mountwashington.org/weather/  Current Radar and 850mb temps colored overlay. 
This post has been edited by NorEaster07: May 1 2012, 09:21 AM -------------------- Snow Totals Per Season:
2007-08: 21" 2008-09: 41" 2009-10: 39.5" 2010-11: 71.5" 2011-12: 14" 2012-13: 46.5" Average(since 1950) = 27.75" |
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May 1 2012, 03:05 PM
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#12
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,695 Joined: 6-February 08 From: LANCASTER PA Member No.: 13,459 |
Had a thunderstorm this morning. Then had another brief steady rain shower come through around 9 AM-ish this morning. About 0.10 of rainfall, estimated.
-------------------- -James
Severe T-storm Watches: Severe Warnings:1 Tornado Watches: Tornado Warnings: # of 100+ degrees days: |
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