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> Long Range Winter 2013-2014 Outlooks, Forecasts/Trends, Thoughts, Forecasts and Trends
VASnowstormHunte...
post Dec 6 2012, 12:07 PM
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Dec. 6th, 2012... 360 days until we officially kick off Winter 2013-2014.

Never too early to start smile.gif

Feel free to post your thoughts on what you think will happen in the winter of 2013-2014, even though it's a good way down the road, it will be December 1, 2013 before we know it!
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LoveNYCSnow
post Dec 6 2012, 12:13 PM
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QUOTE(VASnowstormHunter @ Dec 6 2012, 12:07 PM) *
Dec. 6th, 2012... 360 days until we officially kick off Winter 2013-2014.

Never too early to start smile.gif

Feel free to post your thoughts on what you think will happen in the winter of 2013-2014, even though it's a good way down the road, it will be December 1, 2013 before we know it!


Is this supposed to imply winter 2012-2013 is canceled already laugh.gif


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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VASnowstormHunte...
post Dec 6 2012, 12:12 PM
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QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Dec 6 2012, 12:13 PM) *
Is this supposed to imply winter 2012-2013 is canceled already laugh.gif


HAHA nah... its just to get the official thread up and running.

I know most people wont even begin to frequent this thread until March or April and even then it'll be slow to June - July - August.

Still nice to have it up and running though so it can be pinned smile.gif
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NYCSuburbs
post Dec 6 2012, 01:53 PM
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NYCSuburbs
Winter 2013-2014 Outlook

It's never too early to release an outlook... there's still quite some time left, but after going through the latest data and signals, the model guidance is giving strong hints that lead me to forecast with higher than average confidence that winter 2013-14 is likely to follow the winter of 2012-13. The EEECMW (Endlessly Extended ECM Weeklies) show a rather narrow spread compared to average, which supports anywhere from 0" to 100" of snow across the region, with temperatures ranging from -10 degrees below average to 10 degrees above average. There could also be references to a pattern change, the GEFS showing a strong -NAO 10-15 days out, and images of the GFS at 384 hours out showing an I-95 blizzard.
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d-_-b
post Dec 6 2012, 05:43 PM
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Early call for Boston - 110" for the season





















cool.gif


--------------------
2014-15: 00.0"
Departure from average to date: 00.0"
Departure from seasonal average (44"): 00.0"
(updated: 10/01/14)

Past winters:
2013-14: 58.9" (+14.9" from average)
2012-13: 63.4" (+19.5" from average)
2011-12: 9.3" (-34.6" from average)
2010-11: 81" (+37.1" from average)
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mclean02
post Dec 6 2012, 07:20 PM
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early call one inch of snow some where in the state of north carolina during the winter 2013-2014 laugh.gif


--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while. ~Kin Hubbard
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The Snowman
post Dec 6 2012, 07:27 PM
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Pretty sure we'll see strong glacier formation across the nation as the movie 'Day After Tomorrow' comes true. Sudden volcano formations in Febraury flood the Earth. laugh.gif laugh.gif


--------------------
My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com

2014 Severe Weather Season
Tornado Warnings: 0
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4

Slight Risk Days: 11
Moderate Risk Days: 0
High Risk Days: 0


Annual Snowfall
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


You can never have too much hockey, weather or Pink Floyd.

QUOTE(John Wiedeman, May 29, 2013)
The Blackhawks have dispatched the Detroit Red Wings!
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Blizz
post Dec 6 2012, 07:33 PM
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Pointless spam thread, we all know the world ends in just over two weeks.


--------------------
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VASnowstormHunte...
post Dec 7 2012, 11:53 AM
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QUOTE(mclean02 @ Dec 6 2012, 07:20 PM) *
early call one inch of snow some where in the state of north carolina during the winter 2013-2014 laugh.gif


At the rate things have gone last winter and so far this winter ( forward looking as well through Christmas )... that may not be in the bag as much as you might think it is lol.
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disco_lemonade
post Dec 7 2012, 12:22 PM
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By next year we won't call it winter anymore, it'll just be hot summer, and then cold summer. But the legends tell that sometimes, if you believe in yourself, and with a tiny pinch of magic, everything will turn white. tongue.gif
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CrazyDon
post Dec 7 2012, 03:52 PM
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I see many of us are quickly becoming cynical about this winter.

I'm as perturbed as anyone about the results so far. I don't think this will continue though. I expect that winter will arrive.
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The Snowman
post Dec 7 2012, 04:43 PM
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At least this thread was made a year from the timeframe- this winter's thread was made in June 2011 laugh.gif


--------------------
My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com

2014 Severe Weather Season
Tornado Warnings: 0
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4

Slight Risk Days: 11
Moderate Risk Days: 0
High Risk Days: 0


Annual Snowfall
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


You can never have too much hockey, weather or Pink Floyd.

QUOTE(John Wiedeman, May 29, 2013)
The Blackhawks have dispatched the Detroit Red Wings!
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cary67
post Dec 12 2012, 11:02 PM
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Another winter of above average temps and below normal snowfall nationwide.
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grace
post Dec 13 2012, 12:49 AM
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QUOTE(cary67 @ Dec 12 2012, 10:02 PM) *
Another winter of above average temps and below normal snowfall nationwide.


But remember we had three consecutive winters of below normal temps & above average snowfall. We've been spoiled by some good winters the last 10 years. Last year & this December doesn't mean anything other than a bad pattern...remember it's very cold in other parts of the N. Hemisphere.
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The Snowman
post Jan 17 2013, 10:48 PM
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Don't mind me, just looking around for some snow.


--------------------
My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com

2014 Severe Weather Season
Tornado Warnings: 0
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4

Slight Risk Days: 11
Moderate Risk Days: 0
High Risk Days: 0


Annual Snowfall
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


You can never have too much hockey, weather or Pink Floyd.

QUOTE(John Wiedeman, May 29, 2013)
The Blackhawks have dispatched the Detroit Red Wings!
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 17 2013, 10:48 PM
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QUOTE(The Snowman @ Jan 17 2013, 10:48 PM) *
Don't mind me, just looking around for some snow.

Maybe February will help some of us. In regards to an actual winter I've moved on to 2013-14. This year's pattern isn't nearly as bad as last year; it's just bad for snowfall in a different way. Aside from late December, we've wasted most of December and January without a winter. Here's to hoping 2013-14 will actually feature cold and snow in these two months.
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conifer1
post Jan 29 2013, 05:49 AM
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QUOTE(grace @ Dec 13 2012, 01:49 AM) *
But remember we had three consecutive winters of below normal temps & above average snowfall. We've been spoiled by some good winters the last 10 years. Last year & this December doesn't mean anything other than a bad pattern...remember it's very cold in other parts of the N. Hemisphere.


A point that is not often mentioned; although, I am less interested in a hugely cold or snowy pattern; I dont think that it is too much out of the realm of reality to simply want an average Winter Season, where it does snow, and, for example, take today, where it is not suppose to be over 70 degrees; even the Winters of 2009/2010 and 2010/2011 were not really that good in Middle TN - most of the systems were shunted south of the area - cities like Birmingham, AL and Chattanooga, TN recorded more snow those seasons that most places like Nashville, TN or even Paducah, KY


--------------------
Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North - Thomas Wolfe
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jdrenken
post Jan 29 2013, 06:52 AM
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QUOTE(CrazyDon @ Dec 7 2012, 02:52 PM) *
I see many of us are quickly becoming cynical about this winter.

I'm as perturbed as anyone about the results so far. I don't think this will continue though. I expect that winter will arrive.


Oh please...winter has been here...just not the winter that was being forced down peoples throats. rolleyes.gif


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Blizz
post Feb 1 2013, 03:27 PM
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Heard from multiple sources that this winter looks to be a strong La Niņa torch... Anyone open a thread for 14-15?


--------------------
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 1 2013, 03:44 PM
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QUOTE(Blizz @ Feb 1 2013, 03:27 PM) *
Heard from multiple sources that this winter looks to be a strong La Niņa torch... Anyone open a thread for 14-15?

We knew it was too good to be true... time to call it a winter cancel and throw in the towel. Another massive torch to cold and dry. Maybe 2014-15 will be better?

[/sarcasm]
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