Mar. 24 NE/MA/I-95 Winter Storm 4CASTS, Forecast Thread Closed, Visit OBSERVATIONS! Options

[hagerstownsnofan]

if it trended west enough, the red would be a blizzard, yellow would be heavy snow, and blue would be light-moderate snow with totals from 1-2 feet in the red area

but this is if it went 200 miles west

thanks

[weatherwonder]

The 12z GFS is a little farther west but it is too little too late...
0z:
[attachment=6426:0z.png]
12z:
[attachment=6427:12z_GFS.png]

Thank you Ohweather for backing up your feelings with facts that is very helpful. Now I can clearly see without a doubt that this storm will not hit the east coast of the US at all.

[Removed_Member_ice526_*]

i agree i think this storm can happen i think that if it does happen it is going to be a surprise i think that winter storm warnings will not be issued till the snow starts falling or mabye 5 minutes before it does and no watches wil be isssued this happened on new years eve one year we got 2 inches of snow and no one predicted it to happen so anything could happen

There's a big difference between 2 inches and what happened in 2000!

[Removed_Member_ice526_*]

Anyway, the past 4 runs have significantly backed off the banana high, as well as the northern stream associated with the deadly PV that threatens to squash our storm.

I think it is alittle too late though. I could be wrong

LOL! Banana High! It is Bermuda High!!!

If I'm wrong, could you please explain what a Banana High is?

[Removed_Member_WeatherWarrior_*]

note....coamps model says only 75 miles more west and we get the blizzard

This post has been edited by WeatherWarrior: Mar 23 2008, 11:11 AM

[hagerstownsnofan]

Thank you Ohweather for backing up your feelings with facts that is very helpful. Now I can clearly see without a doubt that this storm will not hit the east coast of the US at all.

that model will change so what else is new it might surpise

[Removed_Member_WeatherWarrior_*]

The 12z GFS is a little farther west but it is too little too late...
0z:
[attachment=6426:0z.png]
12z:
[attachment=6427:12z_GFS.png]

your supposed to post 48hrs...not 54 hrs

[SnowMan11]

note....coamps models says only 75 miles more west and we get the blizzard

What is the coamps models. Can someone post it please

This post has been edited by SnowMan11: Mar 23 2008, 11:12 AM

[Removed_Member_OHweather2_*]

your supposed to post 48hrs...not 54 hrs

Dave look at the time at the bottem they are both 18z Tuesday...I can post comparison images for 12z Tuesday if you want...

[weatherwonder]

note....coamps models says only 75 miles more west and we get the blizzard

Well two days ago when you were taking the Coamps into concideration it was an east coast monster storm. If you are still using the coamps I guess you would have to agree that the storm is overall trending east. Maybe a little wobble here and there but it was the last model(?) to have this as an east coast storm. Therefor it has trended east. "coamps says only 75 miles more west" Would mean it is 75 miles more east than it was two days ago. Thanks for clearing that up.

[hagerstownsnofan]

What is the coamps models. Can someone post it please

its a model that the navy uses i think someone said

[weatherwonder]

What is the coamps models. Can someone post it please

I asked that two days ago when ww was quoting it. A few of us googled it and couldn't find it. Take it for what its worth

[Removed_Member_WeatherWarrior_*]

Dave look at the time at the bottem they are both 18z Tuesday...I can post comparison images for 12z Tuesday if you want...

im aware of that, but 48 hrs is when the storm is directly east of us....54 hrs its ne and moving away which results in a bias to one's comparing skills

[eazy-weather]

I officially wrote this one off last night. Its done, the trend started a little too late

[Removed_Member_ice526_*]

i always use nws, its quick and the graphics are good and clear. I do see potential. On friday, this strom barely existed on the models,500 miles south and east of nj. Now it's 125 miles east of the coast. I really hope it pans out.

That is the March 18 run!!!

For some reason, the NWS has not been updating the site for the NAM for the last few days!

[Removed_Member_WeatherWarrior_*]

Well two days ago when you were taking the Coamps into concideration it was an east coast monster storm. If you are still using the coamps I guess you would have to agree that the storm is overall trending east. Maybe a little wobble here and there but it was the last model(?) to have this as an east coast storm. Therefor it has trended east. "coamps says only 75 miles more west" Would mean it is 75 miles more east than it was two days ago. Thanks for clearing that up.

it never showed an east coast snowstorm...it was always shown out to sea and has been trending west ever since...trust me i always use this model as well

[Removed_Member_ice526_*]

if the euro starts at 72 how can we tell what it is saying for our storm?

Wait? There's no 0-72 hours for the Euro?

How does it initialize itself then?

[Removed_Member_OHweather2_*]

0z GFS for 12z Tuesday:

12z GFS for 12z Tuesday

Just a slight westward trend nothing that shows a blizzard coming...maybe the coast will end up seeing some sprinkles/flurries, but nothing more.

This post has been edited by OHweather2: Mar 23 2008, 11:26 AM

[blizzardof2009]

twc has snow showers for tonight and snow to rain for tomrow



This post has been edited by blizzardof2009: Mar 23 2008, 11:20 AM

[Removed_Member_WeatherWarrior_*]

That is the March 18 run!!!

For some reason, the NWS has not been updating the site for the NAM for the last few days!

yup...but the latest NAM from the nwprod site has it just 110 miles off the coast!