Southern Slider March 17th-18th?

ECMWF shows a possibility around this timeframe. According to the model a strong block will be in place and cold air will be entrenched...the cold front will stall out and a low will ride along the front through Southern Tennessee and North Carolina. Looks like a "Southern Slider" potential. Worth watching because of the forecast blocking and cold air.

Last long range threat thread I started ended up with a nice snow in my area so I figured I'd start another

And to show I'm not crazy...we do get snow in the Richmond area in March (and even April sometimes)
RIC snow historical data

ECMWF model image:

Feb 19th-20th MidAtl Storm

Figured I'd try my luck in starting a thread I haven't seen a single flake in Richmond but the signs look good to me on this one and DT has this storm on his Radar also....while he dismisses the potential on the 17th...Looks like that storm might make the 50/50 low for this one???


DT's page

Convective burst off Florida/GA

I was getting ready to turn the computer off and go to bed when i noticed a large convective burst off the Florida coast. It's late and i honestly didn't spend much time looking at how the high will interact with it, but could that develop into something over the next day or so? Looks to be heading NNE right now. No rotation i can detect, but a real nice burst of convection over the gulf stream is something i would think bears watching. Any thoughts?

By morning it could have died down or grown more so this thought may be outdated, but just wanted to put that out there.