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travis3000
Rank: F5 Superstorm
24 years old
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Alliston,Ontario
Born July-30-1989
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Local Time: Jul 28 2014, 08:19 AM
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travis3000

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5 Jan 2014
As everybody knows, behind the storm system today and tonight, a powerful WNW flow will form with sustained winds in the 40-50KM/H range and gusts up to 80KM/H. Not only will this put wind chill values in the minus 30's, it will create a heavy amount of LES beginning Monday across Southern Ontario.

These bands of snow will at times travel over 150 to 200KM inland, giving places that are not used of squalls some decent accumulations.

Okay so here's how it goes. Winds will be WNW Monday and very strong. Gusts in the 70-85KM/H range creating blowing snow and blizzard conditions especially in areas that saw the fresh snow fall this weekend. Winds remain WNW into Mon night. By Tuesday, we will see a WNW occasionally shifting into a W flow which will continue right into Wednesday afternoon before a High Pressure from the west moves in and chokes off the squalls.

Because of the long duration of this event, accumulations in the 40-70cm range are very possible with many areas inland receiving 5-15cm Monday and Monday night. This explains why EC has issued Snowsquall watches to many in-land areas. The high wind speed and tight flow will allow multiple bands to form off Huron and GB and extend hundreds of KM inland. So here's how it looks. Remember this DOES NOT include any storm accumulations. That is additional on top of this map.

Attached File  Squall_Map_Jan_6th_2014.jpg ( 237.49K ) Number of downloads: 10


London: 4-8cm
Goderich: 15-20cm
Kincardine/Sauble Beach: 50-80cm+
Owen Sound: 40-60cm+
Tobermory: 40-70cm+
Collingwood: 20-35cm
Midland: 50-70cm+
Orillia: 50-70m+
Gravenhurst: 55-80cm+
Bracebridge: 40-60cm+
Parry Sound: 20-30cm
Barrie: 15-25cm (higher as you go north towards Midhurst, Horseshoe Valley)
Alliston: 10-15cm
Shelburne: 15-20cm
Dundalk: 20-30cm
Flesherton: 25-35cm
Orangeville: 8-15cm
Kitchener: 5-10cm
GTA: 2-6cm
19 Feb 2013
Here's my map on the LES event beginning tonight. We will see W winds become NW and NNW by Wednesday. They will stay NW/NNW right into Thursday. I am expecting some moderate to strong bands at times especially Wed late morning into Wed night. EC already has snowsquall watches in place as of 7am this morning for areas SE of Huron and GB. I can see the highest amounts of up to 40cm depending on where the bands set up.

For several hours, the GB band will be strong enough to stretch into the GTA (Vaughan, Richmond Hill) including parts of northern and eastern Toronto. Some flurries will make their way right downtown. More info later.

Here's my map:

Attached File  squall_map.jpg ( 229.31K ) Number of downloads: 10
23 Feb 2012
Here's the updated lake effect map:

If you live within the blue dotted area expect up to 2cm in flurries. Areas within the red zone can expect to see an additional 10cm of LES in addition to system snow. If you live in the purple area expect 15 to 25cm, locally 40cm. Winds will be NNW but shifting at times to NW, bands will move around a bit as a result.

LAKE HURON:


Goderich: 20-30cm (locally 40cm)
Kincardine: 5-10cm
Exeter: 25-35cm (locally 40cm)
Grand Bend: 10-20cm
London: 20-30cm (locally 40cm)
Lucan: 25-35cm (locally 40cm)
St. Thomas: 4-6cm
Stratford: 8-15cm


GEORGIAN BAY:


Meaford: 10-20cm
Collingwood: 20-30cm (locally 40cm)
Wasaga Beach: 25-35cm (locally 45cm)
Midland: 5-10cm
Barrie: 30-40cm (locally 45cm)
Angus/Borden: 15-20cm (locally 25cm)
Alliston: 8-15cm
Tottenham: 4-8cm

Attached File  lakeeffectmap.jpg ( 253.25K ) Number of downloads: 3
1 Apr 2009
I have been watching this low for the past 3-4 days on the GFS. Most runs do show snow for South/Central Ontario on the backside. It looks as if enough cold air could help create a rain to snow event. If the low stalls out as suggested by the GFS we have a historic snowstorm here. Chances of all this coming together are about 1/10. We need the exact amount of cold air to mix with the warm air from the south to make sure the low does not swing further west and bring rain or further east and weaken.The 12pm GFS model from today showed one of the biggest April blizzards in history if it were to come true. How much? Upwards of 40cm are shown especially just north and northwest of Toronto. Now this is obviously exaggerated however snow in April has occurred before. Keep an eye out on this potential storm! In the meantime, lets feast our eyes on the 48 hour precip amounts from April 6th-8th....and yes this would be 90% snow for most regions with exceptions of E. Ontario which would remain too warm.

Btw...this is NOT an April Fools Joke. Check out the model for yourselves!

Attached File  gfs_p48_168m.gif ( 50.43K ) Number of downloads: 8

24 Mar 2009
Overall the winter of 2008/2009 was less snowy then the winter before however above normal when comparing to historical snowfall averages. November through January had higher then average snowfall amounts while February and March had significantly lower snowfall. March was and will continue to be warmer and drier then normal. Here are my official snowfall records for the season for my house which is located on the Simcoe/Dufferin County border, approximately 15 minutes WNW of Alliston, ON.

Snowfall For 2008/2009 Winter Season:
Measured at 996797 Mulmur/Tosorontio Townline
Official Snowfall Records
Elevation: 1000ft


October:

Tuesday Oct 21st: 2cm (first snow of the season)
Tuesday Oct 28th: 3cm
Wednesday Oct 29th: 2cm

Total Snowfall: 7cm

November:

Monday Nov 10th: 2cm
Saturday Nov 15th: 12cm
Sunday Nov 16th: 1cm
Monday Nov 17th: 5cm
Tuesday Nov 18th: 8cm
Wednesday Nov 19th: 4cm
Thursday Nov 20th: 1cm
Friday Nov 21st: 4cm
Monday Nov 24th: 5cm
Tuesday Nov 25th: 2cm
Sunday Nov 30th: 15cm

Total Snowfall: 59cm

December

Thursday Dec 4th: 1cm
Saturday Dec 6th: 2cm
Sunday Dec 7th: 4cm
Tuesday Dec 9th: 15cm
Friday Dec 12th: 1cm
Tuesday Dec 16th: 8cm
Friday Dec 19th: 25cm
Sunday Dec 21st: 10cm
Tuesday Dec 23rd: 10cm
Wednesday Dec 24th: 2cm
Friday Dec 26th: 1cm
Monday Dec 29th: 5cm
Tuesday Dec 30th: 4cm
Wednesday Dec 31st: 8cm

Total Snowfall: 96cm

January

Friday Jan 2nd: 7cm
Wednesday Jan 7th: 14cm
Thursday Jan 8th: 3cm
Tuesday Jan 13th: 2cm
Wednesday Jan 14th: 1cm
Saturday Jan 17th: 13cm
Friday Jan 23rd: 4cm
Sunday Jan 25th: 2cm
Wednesday Jan 28th: 11cm
Thursday Jan 29th: 1cm
Friday Jan 30th: 1cm
Saturday Jan 31st: 2cm

Total Snowfall: 61cm

February

Tuesday Feb 3rd: 2cm
Friday Feb 13th: 1cm
Wednesday Feb 18th: 6cm
Thursday Feb 19th: 1cm
Saturday Feb 21st: 8cm
Sunday Feb 22nd: 10cm

Total Snowfall: 28cm


March

Sunday March 8th: 2cm

Total Snowfall: 2cm


April

Monday April 6th: 19cm
Tuesday April 7th: 1cm

Total Snowfall: 20cm

TOTAL ANNUAL SNOWFALL: 271cm
Average Snowfall: 175cm
Largest Snowfall Of Season: Dec 19th- 25cm


**TOTAL ANNUAL SNOWFALL FOR 2007/2008 SEASON: 336cm
Last Visitors


28 Apr 2014 - 2:33


21 Feb 2014 - 11:14


6 Jan 2014 - 19:05


22 Nov 2013 - 21:10


21 Nov 2013 - 22:33

Comments
futureweatherman...
Happy Birthday Travis... you need to start updating your blog though
29 Jul 2010 - 23:02

hey there..
want to know more about you... hope you wont mind..
I found you interesting..
10 Dec 2009 - 18:33
players1
hey travis i posted some pics in the febuary pattern disco for you. have a good day.
28 Jan 2009 - 12:16

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