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WEATHERFAN100
Rank: F5 Superstorm
19 years old
Male
LANCASTER PA
Born April-19-1995
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Joined: 6-February 08
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Last Seen: Yesterday, 09:19 AM
Local Time: Apr 24 2014, 05:32 AM
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WEATHERFAN100

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17 Nov 2013
Looks like western/central PA could be under the gun for some severe weather, that is crushing the Midwest right now...later tonight. Moderate risk covers areas of western PA on the day 1 outlook.

SPC day 1 outlook:
Attached Image
7 Jul 2013
The next spout of unsettled weather looks to be during this time period- mid next week. Looks like a good chance of thunderstorms across the region Wednesday and Thursday.

SPC has ever so briefly mentioned this in their day 4-8 outlook today:
QUOTE
DAY 5 /THU/ SUFFICIENT MOISTURE MAY HAVE RETURNED THROUGH THE CNTRL
AND NRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN BELT OF FASTER WLY FLOW ALONG NRN
PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE TO SUPPORT POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS FROM THE WRN DAKOTAS INTO ERN MT. HOWEVER...OVERALL
THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST AT THIS TIME.
A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FROM
THE MID ATLANTIC INTO THE TN VALLEY REGION
13 Jun 2013
While some busted badly in the current system (severe and rainfall) wise. The next chance of thunderstorms come Monday and Tuesday.

SPC briefly mentioned this possibility in their 4-8 day outlook text.

QUOTE
SOME THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD CONTINUE INTO DAY 6...THOUGH
MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE WITH THE GFS BEING MUCH FASTER IN MOVING THE
SYSTEM ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY TUE.
SHOULD THE SLOWER ECMWF END UP CLOSER TO REALITY...SEVERE POTENTIAL
WOULD BE MORE LIKELY ACROSS THIS REGION DAY 6.


http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/
15 Apr 2013
Looks like a cold front will be capable of producing thunderstorm activity over the region on Friday afternoon or evening.

Seems that the CAPE is quite meager at this point, so a widespread outbreak doesn't look to likely at this point. Still something to watch throughout the week.
5 Jul 2012
Next threat for severe weather comes over the weekend as a front comes through. While a updated day 3 outlook has not been made yet they have hinted at it in the discussion that a area of severe weather seems likely in this time-period for Mid Atl to Ohio Valley.

QUOTE
AS THE TROUGH AMPLIFIES AN E-W BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE SWD THROUGH THE
NERN STATES...MID ATLANTIC AND OH VALLEYS DAY 4-6. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER...TENDENCY WILL BE FOR THE
STRONGER FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH TO REMAIN
NORTH OF THE WARM SECTOR.

SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS WILL
EXIST MOST LIKELY FROM THE MID ATLANTIC WWD INTO THE OH VALLEY DAY 4
AND A LITTLE FARTHER SWD FROM THE MID ATLANTIC/CAROLINAS AND WWD
INTO THE OH VALLEY DAY 5
. CONFIDENCE IN A HIGHER COVERAGE SEVERE
EVENT IS NOT SUFFICIENT TO DELINEATE A CATEGORICAL RISK AREA AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...SEVERE PROBABILITIES WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE
INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS IN THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK
.
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Comments
wingsovernc
It's me again...wishing you another Happy Birthday! :D May the weather always go your way...
19 Apr 2012 - 7:12
wingsovernc
Happy Birthday!
Hope it's a good one.. :)
18 Apr 2011 - 23:12
hckyplayer8
Snow melt in progress. Boo.
6 Mar 2010 - 20:00
bubbles
Hi, how are you doing?
9 May 2009 - 22:32

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