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steve04074
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Scarborough, ME
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steve04074

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26 Nov 2010
Quite a significant warm-up coming for New England starting Monday evening through Thurs. morning, per NWS Gray (below). Normal high/low for period at KPWM approximately 41F/24F.

KPWM 11/29-12/1 forecast by NWS Gray

"Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.

Tuesday: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tuesday Night: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Wednesday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Wednesday Night: Rain and snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%."

26 Oct 2010
Hi, all--

So... where would one post this? "Current weather"? 'Cause that's what it's been. Or "climate change"? 'Cause that's what it sure feels like. The intersection of daily, weekly "weather" with longer term "climate".

Where do we go to discuss these real world #s that are piling up in our own backyards?

(If I go to "climate change", I'll be insulted out of there for daring to even raise the question of the possibility of a connection between the past twelve months' reality and longer term climate change.)

Portland, Maine: now in its TWELFTH straight month of warmer than normal temps.



During this period (Nov. '09 to today), we have set:
TWELVE new record high daily high temps
TWELVE new record high daily low temps
2nd-warmest Nov. on record
4th-warmest Feb. on record
#1 warmest March on record
#1 warmest April on record
2nd-warmest May on record
2nd-warmest July on record
3rd-warmest Sept. on record
(and the dramatic warm-up arriving here today is almost assured to give us at least 1 more new record high overnight low)

And how many new record low highs or lows during these 12 months? A big, fat ZERO.

All of this is simply unprecedented in the historical record for persistence and longevity and severity.


So... you say that this is temporary? OK. What's the cause of it? And when's it going to fundamentally shift back to 1971-2000 historical normal?

Thanks.
6 Mar 2010
May I never heard the words "Arctic Oscillation" and "displaced, persistent polar vortex" ever again!


Portland, ME:

As of 3/6: lousy 37" of snow (almost all of it by mid Jan.). Normal by this date: 52.2". Normal for entire season: 66.4".

No continuous snow cover in over seven weeks, which is unprecedented in Portland's historical record.


February 2010 was a full 6F above normal for PWM.

Crocuses and daffodils started to come up the last week in February, which the local horticultural society states has never before happened in Portland's historical record.


From our local NBC affiliate yesterday:

SCARBOROUGH, Maine (NEWS CENTER) -- "It was soggy, the shots weren't very good, and many of them couldn't keep it in the fairway. But, the hardcore golfers at Nonesuch river golf course in Scarborough didn't care. They were playing golf -- in Maine -- in the first week of March. This is the earliest the entire course has ever been open for the season."

16 Jan 2010
I was curious to hear opinions on what, if anything, this local history might have to say about the larger issue of global climate change.

Elsewhere on this forum, folks are practically yelling at each other on the issue of climate change, but I don't see anyone presenting anything like this IMBY data. Maybe it means nothing, but maybe it means something?

Heating degree days/Portland, Maine/official NWS reporting station at the Jetport

All data from http://www.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=gyx.

As of 1/15/10, so far this heating season: 3209. Average, season to date: 3407.


1961-1990 average heating degree days, Portland, Maine: 7318


Here's every heating season (July 1- June 30) since the season ending in June 1998.

1997-98: Total # of degrees days 600 fewer than average
98-99: Total # of degrees days 797 fewer than average
99-00: Total # of degrees days 605 fewer than average
00-01: Total # of degrees days 94 fewer than average
01-02: Total # of degrees days 968 fewer than average
02-03: Total # of degrees days 377 more than average
03-04: Total # of degrees days 154 fewer than average
04-05: Total # of degrees days 10 fewer than average
05-06: Total # of degrees days 828 fewer than average
06-07: Total # of degrees days 486 fewer than average
07-08: -Total # of degrees days 422 fewer than average
08-09: Total # of degrees days 237 fewer than average

So... 11 of the past 12 fall/winter/springs here in southern Maine warmer than average....

At what point does a "coincidence" become a "trend" become "apparent new reality"?

What are your thoughts?
19 Dec 2009
Here's a thought: Dec. 18-21 historic East Coast snowstorm: the extraordinarily high accumulations (for the lower MidAtlantic) could theoretically be at least partially attributed to climate change. Why? Climate change theory holds that there will be a general increase in overall precipitation in many parts of the world. And as we know, just because the planet's overall temp. might slowly rise, there are still going to be cold days in winter... cold enough for snow over the MidAtlantic.

Eager to hear what everyone thinks!
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jdc123
So you're familiar with the area around here? The views around the lake are really nice. I would have responded by posting, but I didn't want to get moderated for being off-topic! :)
25 Feb 2009 - 15:25

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