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Don't get hung up on the small things...Enjoy life.....Especially when it comes to the weather :)
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RobB
Rank: F5 Superstorm
47 years old
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Dayton, Ohio
Born Aug-4-1968
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RobB

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3 Jan 2016
2 images showing Day 7-8 and 15-16. Also 2 5 Day looks all from the 18Z GEFS:
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22 Dec 2015
This thread will probably be dead with the next model run but what the hey, I'll post a long range (10 day) Euro run. Try to turn the tide, though I have done this in the past only to have it die smile.gif I'll keep the thread updated as needed with location and dates, assuming there is a storm being shown at all later. Right now this shows a storm that COULD effect the lower OV but this may be adjusted later or again deleted smile.gif
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12 Dec 2015
Modeling consistent with bringing in some more seasonably cold air around the 17th to 22nd time slot.

Euro from 12Z in the Dayton, Ohio area:

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR:  LAT =  39.70  LON =  -84.23

                                            12Z DEC12
                 2 M     SFC     SFC     850     700    TOTAL    500    1000
                 TMP     DEW     PRS     TMP     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (F)     (F)    (MB)     (F)    (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
SAT 12Z 12-DEC  61.5    60.8    1016    51.0      14    0.00     577     564    
SAT 18Z 12-DEC  66.5    62.5    1017    50.9      13    0.05     579     564    
SUN 00Z 13-DEC  62.8    58.7    1019    51.4      12    0.06     580     564    
SUN 06Z 13-DEC  58.5    56.7    1019    49.9      15    0.06     579     562    
SUN 12Z 13-DEC  56.0    54.8    1018    51.7      15    0.06     576     561    
SUN 18Z 13-DEC  61.6    55.0    1016    54.1       8    0.06     574     561    
MON 00Z 14-DEC  59.0    51.4    1011    53.9      14    0.06     574     565    
MON 06Z 14-DEC  59.9    48.4    1006    55.0      12    0.06     571     566    
MON 12Z 14-DEC  58.4    54.6    1001    47.7      99    0.20     561     560    
MON 18Z 14-DEC  57.4    43.1     996    39.1      59    0.41     553     556    
TUE 00Z 15-DEC  52.6    38.1    1000    35.2      22    0.42     552     552    
TUE 06Z 15-DEC  49.1    36.8    1004    31.6      78    0.42     556     553    
TUE 12Z 15-DEC  47.4    37.8    1008    30.3      37    0.42     560     554    
TUE 18Z 15-DEC  49.6    37.8    1010    35.9       9    0.42     564     556    
WED 00Z 16-DEC  44.8    38.4    1012    39.6       7    0.42     566     556    
WED 06Z 16-DEC  40.1    37.0    1013    47.4      10    0.42     568     557    
WED 12Z 16-DEC  41.1    39.1    1013    52.3      14    0.42     567     557    
WED 18Z 16-DEC  57.8    44.2    1010    50.7      51    0.42     565     557    
THU 00Z 17-DEC  53.7    43.7    1008    44.9      84    0.44     563     556    
THU 06Z 17-DEC  51.8    43.8    1008    41.4      26    0.44     559     553    
THU 12Z 17-DEC  47.2    39.0    1008    38.9      66    0.45     556     549    
THU 18Z 17-DEC  45.1    27.8    1010    35.2       7    0.45     553     545    
FRI 00Z 18-DEC  38.0    27.1    1013    29.8      14    0.45     552     541    
FRI 06Z 18-DEC  31.5    25.3    1014    28.1      20    0.45     549     538    
FRI 12Z 18-DEC  28.4    21.8    1015    24.6      39    0.45     543     530    
FRI 18Z 18-DEC  33.4    17.7    1016    12.8      37    0.45     537     524    
SAT 00Z 19-DEC  31.0    13.9    1019    11.1      34    0.45     536     520    
SAT 06Z 19-DEC  26.8     9.5    1023     6.6      19    0.45     537     518    
SAT 12Z 19-DEC  25.2     7.3    1027     5.0      25    0.45     540     519    
SAT 18Z 19-DEC  29.1    12.4    1030     6.7      60    0.45     545     521    
SUN 00Z 20-DEC  27.9    10.9    1034     7.1      30    0.45     552     526    
SUN 06Z 20-DEC  23.7    11.3    1036    17.2       7    0.45     562     534    
SUN 12Z 20-DEC  22.8    12.0    1037    25.3      12    0.45     568     539    
SUN 18Z 20-DEC  33.6    15.9    1034    28.9      21    0.45     570     544    
MON 00Z 21-DEC  30.6    16.6    1030    38.6      38    0.45     570     547    
MON 06Z 21-DEC  30.3    16.2    1028    37.4      20    0.45     569     547    
MON 12Z 21-DEC  29.6    17.9    1027    30.1      37    0.45     568     546    
MON 18Z 21-DEC  39.8    26.9    1027    33.9      37    0.45     569     547    
TUE 00Z 22-DEC  33.4    28.0    1027    37.8      42    0.45     569     548    
TUE 06Z 22-DEC  30.6    27.4    1027    37.5      29    0.45     570     549    
TUE 12Z 22-DEC  32.0    28.9    1026    36.8      28    0.45     570     549
7 Feb 2015
All right, I must try and change many in this thread's luck by opening a thread I normally do not that is pretty far range. The last one I opened was 'Meh' maybe this time though.

Canadian/GFS/Euro

Three model representations at hour 240:
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18 Jan 2015
Around this time period both the Euro and GFS is showing a clipper type system coming down. The GFS is slower in bringing it in and looks to eventually try and transfer energy off the coast. The Euro looks to keep the eenergy intact and take it through the heart of Ohio at hour 192:

Some images from Euro then GFS:






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Comments
Beck
Happy Birthday dude! =)
4 Aug 2011 - 20:54
kab2791
Just wanted to say, i enjoy your realistic, level-headed posts. It's a breath of fresh air sometimes on thse forums.
29 Dec 2009 - 18:15
bubbles
Howdy! How are you doing?
17 Jan 2009 - 6:56
bubbles
Howdy!
28 Nov 2008 - 11:14

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