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sw03181
Rank: F5 Superstorm
20 years old
Male
South Windsor, CT
Born Aug-17-1993
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I am studying Music Production & Technology at the University of Hartford I follow weather on the side. Most of the time its winter weather but I occasionally follow hurricanes.
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Joined: 7-December 08
Profile Views: 6,139*
Last Seen: 18th April 2014 - 09:43 AM
Local Time: Apr 23 2014, 10:23 AM
7,308 posts (4 per day)
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sw03181

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2 Jan 2014
Begin.

All of today's GFS runs and the 12z EURO have a weak disturbance moving through during this time.

18z GFS:



Euro Day 8:
Attached Image


Teleconnections currently forecasted as follows: neutral PNA, +NAO, +AO, so a good signal here for a light/moderate event.

18 Dec 2012
Begin.

The GFS has held onto a strong signal for a Miller A type storm in this timeframe for the past day and a half or so. I don't have time to post previous runs but here's a snapshot from tonights 0z run.

Attached Image


I genuinely believe this is the EC's first shot a decent winter storm this season, but this is heavily dependant on where the ULL sets up from the 25th-27th storm and how much cold air is forced down into the Lower 48. The GFS has been very consistent with this being the timeframe for a sustained and locked-in cold airmass for a majority of the country, but only time will tell.

Statistical note: I am also the only member of this forum to have opened a thread for an accumulating snow event this season (November 7th-9th) and I'm hoping to get lucky again.
29 Oct 2012
Begin.

GFS/ECM agree on a potential coastal or coastal hugger affecting the region during this timeframe.

12z GFS:


12z ECMWF:
Attached Image

Attached Image

Attached Image


Teleconnections are as follows: Neutral NAO going slightly positive, PNA positive going neutral to slightly negative, positive AO.
16 Feb 2012
Both the 18z and 0z runs of the GFS/NAM have a weak disturbance associated with the leftover northern stream energy from Canada moving across the Southern and Central New England and possibly the NYC area Saturday evening. Figured I'd open a thread on this considering the fact that the 19-20th event is likely to pass well to our south so we at least have something more interesting to talk about.
22 Dec 2011
Yesterdays 18z GFS:


0z GFS:


6z GFS:


12z GFS:


This has the potential to be the only legit chance at accumulating snow for anyone from Richmond to Boston for a long time. Hopefully the models thread the needle on this one.
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27 Feb 2014 - 0:27


18 Feb 2014 - 19:16


10 Feb 2014 - 23:59


10 Feb 2014 - 18:02


9 Feb 2014 - 14:37

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BtownWxWatcher
I wish you a Happy Birthday!
17 Aug 2009 - 8:57

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