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Mike W IN herkimer doesn't have a personal statement currently.
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Mike W IN herkimer
Rank: F5 Superstorm
32 years old
Male
CNJ
Born Oct-9-1982
Interests
The snow, my amazing fiance who ive been with for 9 wonderful years and my cats nemo,ej and lucky!!
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Joined: 17-December 08
Profile Views: 18,843*
Last Seen: 26th November 2014 - 06:25 PM
Local Time: Nov 28 2014, 10:30 PM
15,348 posts (7 per day)
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Mike W IN herkimer

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27 Feb 2012
Looks like another glc/fropa type of system, most likely this wont be snow for most but a storms a storm nonetheless ..

18z gfs
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temps torch

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GGEM
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Dgex


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21 Feb 2012
18z nam 36 hrs

Attached File  18znam850mbTSLPp06036.gif ( 45K ) Number of downloads: 0



KBGM
QUOTE
THE FIRST UPR-LVL WAVE TO IMPACT NY/PA THIS PD IS
SLATED FOR WED AFTN AND EVE. THIS SYSTEM FEATURES A WELL DEVELOPED
JET CIRCULATION/BAND OF MID-LVL FGEN...SPCLY FROM ABT 21Z WED-
06Z THU. USING A BLEND OF HPC/GFS/NAM QPF`S...A GENERAL 0.25-0.5"
STRIPE IS PROGGED DURG THIS TIME FRAME ACRS THE TWIN TIERS...WHICH
COULD TRANSLATE TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. PTYP IS CERTAINLY QUESTIONABLE THIS FAR OUT...BUT SINCE
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW FAIRLY STEEP LR`S ABV THE SFC-BASED LYR...THE
TENDENCY SHOULD BE FOR AN INITIAL MIX TO GO OVER TO SNOW WITH
TIME...SPCLY AFTER SUNSET. FOR NOW...WE WENT WITH POTENTIAL SNOW
ACCUMS OF 1-3" ON THE HILLTOPS...WITH VERY LTL IN THE VALLEYS.




KALB

QUOTE
THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION WILL ALLOW THE THERMAL GRADIENT /BAROCLINICITY/ TO
INCREASE ALONG THE I80 CORRIDOR. THE LATEST NCEP MODEL SUITE AND
MESOSCALE MODELS ALL SUGGEST AN ENHANCED BAND OF PRECIP EVOLVES
OVER THE STATE OF OHIO AND TRACKS INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. CROSS SECTIONS REVEAL A RATHER ROBUST AREA OF 2D FGEN TO
TRACK ACROSS THE CENTER OF OUR CWA. HOWEVER...THERE ARE
CONSIDERABLE DISCREPANCIES AS TO WHERE THIS ENHANCED BAND OF
PRECIP WILL EVOLVE AND TRACK ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
ECMWF IS THE FURTHEST NORTH ACROSS THE DACKS WITH THE 12Z NAM
SUPPORTING THE NOTION OF THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL REGION AND
SOUTHERN VT. THE ARRIVAL OF THE 18Z NAM IS NOW A LITTLE FURTHER
NORTH SO WE WILL NUDGE THE POPS INTO LIKELY CATEGORY ALONG AND
NORTH OF I90. AS FOR PTYPE...THIS WILL BE INTERESTING. THE
COMBINATION OF WET BULB PROCESSES...NOCTURNAL TIMING OF THE
PRECIP...SUGGESTS WITHIN THIS ENHANCED BAND OF PRECIP THAT MOST OF
PRECIP SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. AS FOR ACCUMULATIONS...THERE
COULD BE ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL AS LATEST QPF VALUES APPROACH ONE
HALF OF AN INCH AND APPLYING A 10:1 RATIO. FOR NOW...WE WILL PLACE
WITHIN THE HWO AND CLOSELY MONITOR TRENDS AS BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS
WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING.



http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...p;highlight=off


http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...p;highlight=off
28 Jan 2012
This looks to be mainly an interior event, good amount of snow showers over the next couple days..

18z gfs clipper
Attached File  18zgfs850mbTSLPp06066.gif ( 43.06K ) Number of downloads: 379




18z gfs 72 hr precip
Attached File  18zgfsp72072.gif ( 104.21K ) Number of downloads: 433
30 Mar 2011
12z gfs

Attached File  post_538_0_50617800_1301512073.gif ( 50.07K ) Number of downloads: 465


12z ecm
Attached File  post_538_0_42728500_1301512097.gif ( 101.1K ) Number of downloads: 442
26 Feb 2011
Attached File  usa.gif ( 23.54K ) Number of downloads: 459
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Comments
Tassadar
whooaaa mike, we need a storm badly :( thats one beautiful kitty in ur pic btw.
3 Dec 2009 - 2:31
Tassadar
WTF?? you serious?? no snowdays this year? betta not have been mah school district >_<
P.S.: Welcome back, I look forward to us having as much fun as we did last year, good times :)
19 Sep 2009 - 4:38
Tassadar
Hey Mike, I will be making my come back soon, watch out for me :P
3 Sep 2009 - 2:38
SEMIweather
You're even outpacing Chicago Storm for posts-per-day now. Wow!
15 Feb 2009 - 23:51

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