Weather models, they show you what you want and then douse your hopes...
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6 Jan 2009
Locally heavy rains will then develop and be with us through the day into the overnight hours. We are under a FLOOD WATCH through Tuesday night and this is the area to watch for the potential for high water problems over the next 24 hours. Watch OUT Mud Creek! Kentucky
Much colder air quickly moves in very early Wednesday as we change the rain to snow from northwest to southeast. Watch the progression on the GFS...
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We should be able to get some enhancement to the snow showers and squalls Wednesday night and Thursday from a disturbance moving southeastward into the area. Temps will be rather cold during this time so we should get a little more in the way of the 15-1 ratio factor. The GFS says much of the area puts snow on the ground during this time.
The long range continues to look VERY active and VERY cold! Saturday night into Sunday we have a chance for more snow, but the model are all over the place. The potential over the next week is there for some wicked winter weather.
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27 Dec 2008
Warm air has been moving in through today Friday. Highs got up to the 50s. Saturday may be off the charts mild with temps well into the 60s on a gusty southwest wind. If we can get enough sun... a 70 is possible! Wow! A slow moving cold front will move in Saturday night with a line of showers and thunderstorms that will carry us into the first part of Sunday. This is likely to be a severe weather producing system as we have been talking about for the past several days. Will it bring severe weather to tri state? The timing on this front says it will be a stretch to get that kind of weather in our region. That will not be the case the farther west we go.
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Winds will be a big time player yet again as gusts could hit 40... and this is without the help of any thunderstorms. This front will bring much colder air to the state as well. Thermometers will drop more than 30 degrees as the front blows through. There is still a chance we go from thunderstorms to some flakes of snow in just a few hours at some point Sunday morning. Temps Sunday will be mainly upper 30s to low 40s.
Those same temps will be with us early next week as we get set to ring in 2009.
It is on New Year's Eve day that we will be seeing a clipper moving through the lakes. This will drag a front through the state with the chance for snow showers and flurries to go along with falling temps. Here is what the European model shows for early Wednesday...
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Our pattern for the first few weeks of January is going to be one that has a ton of potential for cold and snow around here. The action may be coming every few days with snow threats and it should get started fairly quickly as we get another clipper digging farther south by this time next week. This would then try to develop a storm somewhere across the eastern US. Take a look at what I am talking about for next Friday...
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Those are two good looking maps for snow lovers like myself! It is still a week away so we have plenty of time to track it all.
It looks like someone will get the Big Daddy
24 Dec 2008
Our Christmas Eve will be a soggy and windy one to say the least. Winds may gust to greater than 40mph in many spots out there today. Rain will be heavy at times with many areas picking up an inch or so. The radar will be lighting up through the day. We will see a lot of ponding of water on roads so please be careful when traveling today. Highs will be mild with 50s for most areas so we have no worries about ice today. Colder air will move in later this evening and try to catch the back edge of the rain to five us a few snowflakes! Temps will fall into the 20s by Christmas morning so a few slick spots may develop by that time. Christmas Day will feature a mix of sun and clouds and breezy conditions with afternoon highs in the low 30s in the north to low 40s south. The weekend is looking to be a wild one with a big time warm surge to kick things off with temps surging into the 50s Friday as southwesterly winds gust up. Saturday should be a fun day. Temps will soar toward 60 and maybe beyond with high winds developing as we await a cold front to move through later that day with showers and thunderstorms. That could be a line of nasty wind producing showers and storms blowing across the kentucky area from west to east. Temps will drop more than 30 degrees Saturday evening into early Sunday morning. The cold continues to want to crash in quick enough to catch the preciptation.T here is still that wild chance we go from thunderstorms to some snow in just a few hours! Sunday's highs will struggle to get out of the 30s. Normal weather should then be with us Monday and Tuesday of next week. This will take us to the last day of 2008 and the potential for some New Year's snow and cold.There is still that wild chance we go from thunderstorms to some snow in just a few hours! Sunday's highs will struggle to get out of the 30s. Normal weather should then be with us Monday and Tuesday of next week. This will take us to the last day of 2008 and the potential for some New Year's snow and cold. That is a nice little clipper the models have moving in here. It has been showing up for a couple of days now on all of the models so we have every reason to believe the threat is real. To what extent it shows up is another story so we will track it over the coming days.The first few weeks of January are looking cold and quite possibly snowy! The amount of blocking I am seeing showing up should make for some fun and games for us.
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