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Rank: F5 Superstorm
38 years old
Joined: 30-December 08
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Local Time: Mar 31 2015, 01:22 AM
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6 Mar 2015
Well thought i'd start this to give us something to talk about. GFS/GGEM/Euro all show a system moving north to the OV.
12z GFS looks like it gets to KY and part of it cuts off there and another part transfers to the coast as colder air moves in and the northern fringe of precip changes to snow.
12z GGEM tries to bring it north but seems to get squashed.
12z Euro brings it from MS/LA up to southern IN.
Since the GFS shows this being a prolonged event, that's the reason for a 5 day thread length but will adjust if need be.
10 Jan 2015
Precip has broken out down in TX/LA.
4 Jan 2015
Models are in really good agreement for a storm this time frame especially from the central/southern Plains to the OV. Also agreement that it should be cold enough for mostly frozen whether it be snow or mix.
30 Dec 2014
Models have been showing a clipper for several runs now moving from the northern plains to the GL/OV area. The weekend storm seems to help determine where this goes. The 12z runs today show the weekend storm moving to the generally central GL area which allows for the clipper to move on a more south track.
12z GFS is on the lighter side with maybe a couple inches along its track through IL/IN/OH.
12z PGFS and GGEM are stronger and lay down several inches for most of IL/IN/OH.
12z Euro not sure since i don't have access to snow maps
29 Dec 2014
You pick a city for each day (12z - 12z), in which you will have a 25 mile radius around that city to gain reports. Picks need to be submitted by 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time, regardless of whether or not Daylight Savings Time is in effect. If severe weather is occuring between the time when SPC Day One Reports start (12z) and 11:00 a.m., you can NOT pick a city within a few miles of those severe storms.
You are not required to submit a guess for every day, although obviously your chances of winning will increase with each day you submit a guess for. To that end, if you are going to be away from the forum for an extended period of time (vacation, etc.), you may submit guesses in advance for all of the days you will be away from the forum for.
Scoring is as follows:
1 point for every normal hail/wind report within 25 miles of your city.
2 points for every significant hail/wind report (2"+ hail & 75+ mph wind) within 25 miles of your city.
5 points for every tornado report within 25 miles of your city.
Tornado - 5
Significant Hail/Wind - 2
Normal Hail/Wind - 1
The plan is for there to once again be two rounds, with the first lasting from January 1 - June 30, and the second lasting from July 1 - December 31.
Good Luck to everyone!
24 Mar 2015 - 21:34
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