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snowlover2
Rank: F5 Superstorm
38 years old
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Dayton,OH
Born July-30-1976
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snowlover2

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10 Jan 2015
Precip has broken out down in TX/LA.

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4 Jan 2015
Models are in really good agreement for a storm this time frame especially from the central/southern Plains to the OV. Also agreement that it should be cold enough for mostly frozen whether it be snow or mix.
30 Dec 2014
Models have been showing a clipper for several runs now moving from the northern plains to the GL/OV area. The weekend storm seems to help determine where this goes. The 12z runs today show the weekend storm moving to the generally central GL area which allows for the clipper to move on a more south track.

12z GFS is on the lighter side with maybe a couple inches along its track through IL/IN/OH.
12z PGFS and GGEM are stronger and lay down several inches for most of IL/IN/OH.
12z Euro not sure since i don't have access to snow maps
29 Dec 2014
You pick a city for each day (12z - 12z), in which you will have a 25 mile radius around that city to gain reports. Picks need to be submitted by 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time, regardless of whether or not Daylight Savings Time is in effect. If severe weather is occuring between the time when SPC Day One Reports start (12z) and 11:00 a.m., you can NOT pick a city within a few miles of those severe storms.

You are not required to submit a guess for every day, although obviously your chances of winning will increase with each day you submit a guess for. To that end, if you are going to be away from the forum for an extended period of time (vacation, etc.), you may submit guesses in advance for all of the days you will be away from the forum for.

Scoring is as follows:

1 point for every normal hail/wind report within 25 miles of your city.
2 points for every significant hail/wind report (2"+ hail & 75+ mph wind) within 25 miles of your city.
5 points for every tornado report within 25 miles of your city.

Tornado - 5
Significant Hail/Wind - 2
Normal Hail/Wind - 1

The plan is for there to once again be two rounds, with the first lasting from January 1 - June 30, and the second lasting from July 1 - December 31.

Good Luck to everyone!
20 Dec 2014
This thread was going to happen at some point so might as well get it going.

12z GFS @240
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12z GGEM @228 and 240
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12z Euro @240
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As you can see, GFS and GGEM look promising for IL/IN/OH. The Euro is slower with a Low in south TX however to my untrained eye it has potential to be something good.
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coach
like your posts!
15 Jan 2010 - 13:53

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