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PSUWeatherNewbie
Rank: F5 Superstorm
27 years old
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Harwich, MA
Born Aug-25-1989
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Joined: 24-January 09
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24 Nov 2016
We are entering a -NAO blocking regime with the polar vortex coming on our side of the globe over northern Canada, northeast of Alaska. A large dump of very cold air is ready to come on board with the models differing on timing of the cold push of arctic air into the Northeastern US. With ridging over Greenland, Davis Straits to Hudson Bay, Canada, a large trough will carve its way over the eastern US. New England should be in the deep freeze either on December 4th or December 6th. The 4th is EURO and 6th is GFS. The models are also showing troughing over the SW US. This energy spills over into the gradient pattern evolving over the eastern US with a large SE Ridge placed to the east, and a large trough trying to develop over the northeastern USA. Storm will develop from shortwave energy entering into this gradient pattern and could allow a SWFE to occur around the 6th of December and very cold air impacts the Eastern US after this storm passes, but fact remains right now this has potential to become a decent sized December snowstorm for the Northeastern US. Stay tuned!





254 hour GFS 18z run valid November 24th 2016.
7 Nov 2016
Check out these short stories I have written if you email me at james.warren.nichols.89@gmail.com I will give those two stories to you attached to an email just email me at that address.
23 Oct 2016
GFS and EURO show an arctic front and PV positioning itself over eastern Hudson Bay, Canada and depending upon the location this sets up will allow for a snowstorm or rainstorm for interior Northeast, or first snowfall for most of the region, there is a wealth of cold air as snow pack deepens in Eastern Canada, also teleconnections support a major dumpage of cold air into Northeastern US as a trough swings through the region. -AO/-NAO/+PNA all allow a trough over the eastern USA with snow possible if coastal low takes shape with cold air in place.
6 Nov 2015
12z and 18z model runs are in and the operational models show a potential winter storm in the making for the November 13-15th period of this month. The NAO dives towards neutral and the AO dives towards neutral as well around the 15-16th and this pattern change could have a storm at the beginning of it to signal the pattern change. Models are signaling a change to more coastals originating from the GOM region with moisture laden systems heading northeastward. This is the pattern that could excite some people in the interior Mid Atlantic and Northeastern US.
9 Oct 2015
It's simply a period of time in which models are beginning to focus on for a potential cold period of time and we could see a period of snow/rain event to I95 corridor in New England come the 16th or 17th. There is an additional piece of 500mb energy that dips through the NE trough behind the main storm that gives us the cold shot, and both EURO and GFS show this cold snap and potential secondary storm. Still a lot of time left before we can see this come to fruition. Discuss.
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jdrenken
Happy Birthday and keep the contributions coming in the Tropics! You're doing an awesome job!
25 Aug 2010 - 6:18
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Welcome to the Forums!
25 Jan 2009 - 6:18

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