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PSUWeatherNewbie
Rank: F5 Superstorm
24 years old
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Harwich, MA
Born Aug-25-1989
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Joined: 24-January 09
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Last Seen: 20th July 2014 - 03:32 PM
Local Time: Aug 2 2014, 04:36 AM
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19 Feb 2014
12z EURO model showing signs of amplifying upper level trough entering the Northeastern US sometime in the Sunday and Monday timeframe of next week. Potential for a snowstorm exists as a frontal boundary stalls along the East Coast, depending on where this stalls will lead to a potential snow threat north of the frontal boundary. A Pacific jet disturbance will induce cyclogenesis along this frontal boundary over the OH Valley and will move northeastward from there with a higher potential for a more impactful snowstorm over New England as it intensifies. Still five days away according to the EURO.
14 Jan 2014
EURO and GFS show a potential clipper turning into a nor'easter along the coast of SNE for the 21st and 22nd of January. Models show a continued trend in a positive PNA ridge along the west coast of the US. This should favor a more amplified flow compared to the progressive flow me have had the past few months. This time around, there will be cold air in place and based off the potential track of storm will determine where the coldest air is placed, but at this time, the best cold air is centered over the Midwest. In my opinion this storm could end up a lot like the January 2-3rd 2014 snowstorm we just had 10 days ago, although this has a lot more potential to be more significant and widespread. Right now lets watch the models sway back and forth until we have a sampled disturbance within the next 100 hours. So we still have time on this one, this one will be far more significant than the 18-19th storm.
20 Dec 2013
In the medium range models are beginning to show signs of a potential hit with a low pressure system along a frontal boundary draped over the region or just southeast of the region. Some models like the GFS and GGEM are further offshore, some are a hit like the EURO, NAM and UKMET and some are in the middle like the NOGAPS. RIght now best guess is a compromise and the GFS is that model. It brings 1-2" of snow from DE to Cape Cod, MA and Boston, MA. Trough is still up in the air, whether it tilts negatively over the region or positively over the region. Southern stream system becomes absorbed into the overall northern stream longwave trough and therefore comes up the coast, still a lot of uncertainty.
4 Nov 2013
GFS and EURO models showing a mid level disturbance moving through the Great Lakes and Northeast days 7 through 8 allowing a breakout of snow to develop from the northern Great Lakes through the Northern New England region. A swath of 4-6" is possible from Green Bay, Wisconsin through Portland, ME. this is over the weekend next weekend, so travel won't be a major issue if you have too. Models still differ on location and strength of potent mid level disturbance so there are potential for changes to occur within the overall idea of this storm system, so stay tuned to updates.
3 Oct 2013
I ask this question because I'm a writing a book or series of books on how I think Armageddon happens. Write me yours and we will discuss.
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jdrenken
Happy Birthday and keep the contributions coming in the Tropics! You're doing an awesome job!
25 Aug 2010 - 6:18
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Welcome to the Forums!
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