“Climate is what you expect; weather is what you get,” Both have always and will always be changing.
Rank: F5 Superstorm
41 years old
SW Coastal CT
Season Snow Totals:
2007-08 - 21"
2008-09 - 41"
2009-10 - 39.4"
2010-11 - 64.5"...(60" Happened in 4 weeks)
2011-12 - 14"
2012-13 - 46.8"
2013-14 - 65.3"
2014-15 - 61.5"
2015-16 - 29.9"
Joined: 10-August 09
Profile Views: 31,762*
Last Seen: Yesterday, 03:37 PM
Local Time: May 4 2016, 03:55 AM
14,409 posts (6 per day)
* Profile views updated each hour
12 Apr 2016
In case you haven't seen it yet... Here's a good Article on How To Avoid Boring Sunsets | FiveThirtyEight. Mentions the new forecasting tool.
Looks like it's gaining steam because people are sending in photos and it's actually verifying pretty darn good, plus it's different!
I bet photographers are all over that.
From the article...
" SunsetWx’s underlying data is the 4 km NAM, or the North American Mesoscale Forecast System, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. (SunsetWx relies on the GFS, or Global Forecast System, for its international predictions.)
Moisture, pressure, cloud cover and other factors are put through the algorithm, and the final output looks just like a colorful weather map. But in this case, warmer colors don’t mean warmer weather but rather a more vibrant sunset. The most important factor, according to the team, is high clouds. Those provide the moisture that refracts the sunlight, and they act as a kind of movie screen onto which that light is projected."
Here's tonights sunset forecast
Not good for the Northeast. The front isn't going to fully clear by sunset. However behind the front and parts of the Mid Atlantic looking good. Brighter colors = better sunsets. SE Missouri and Southern IL looking great for it.
Sunset.jpg ( 527.82K ) Number of downloads: 1
12 Apr 2016
Didn't know where to put this but seems like big news.
Sounds like some will have a choice to keep using the CAPS. I personally like them. Easier on the eyes but as long as they make the font bigger maybe lower case wont be as bad? What's your thoughts?
National Weather Service will stop using all caps in its forecasts
New forecast software is allowing the agency to break out of the days when weather reports were sent by “the wire” over teleprinters, which were basically typewriters hooked up to telephone lines. Teleprinters only allowed the use of upper case letters, and while the hardware and software used for weather forecasting has advanced over the last century, this holdover was carried into modern times since some customers still used the old equipment.
Better late than never, but the slow change was not for lack of trying. The National Weather Service has proposed to use mixed-case letters several times since the 1990s, when widespread use of the Internet and email made teletype obsolete. In fact, in web speak, use of capital letters became synonymous with angry shouting. However, it took the next 20 years or so for users of Weather Service products to phase out the last of the old equipment that would only recognize teletype.
Recent software upgrades to the computer system that forecasters use to produce weather predictions, called AWIPS 2offsite link (The Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System), are allowing for the change to mixed-case letters. The switch will happen on May 11, after the required 30-day notification period to give customers adequate time to prepare for the change.
“People are accustomed to reading forecasts in upper case letters and seeing mixed-case use might seem strange at first,” said NWS meteorologist Art Thomas. “It seemed strange to me until I got used to it over the course of testing the new system, but now it seems so normal,” he said.
Three forecast products will transition to mixed-case use on May 11, including area forecast discussions, public information statements and regional weather summaries. Severe weather warnings will transition this summer, with other forecasts and warnings transitioning to the new system through early next year.
Upper case letters in forecasts will not become obsolete – forecasters will have the option to use all capital letters in weather warnings to emphasize threats during extremely dangerous situations. Certain forecast products with international implications, such as aviation and shipping, will continue to use upper case letters, per international agreements that standardize weather product formats across national borders.
NOAA’s mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources. Join us on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and our other social media channels
For those looking for these discussions you can use this link, choose the state, then click "area forecast discussion" link.
Or this one for Northeast.
8 Apr 2016
Cold blast #2 past week. Or is it #3 past 2 weeks?
Anyway, this one looks short lived.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
748 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016
AN ANOMALOUS/DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SIT OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND BEFORE SLIDING OFF TO OUR
EAST SUNDAY. EXPECT UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
20 Nov 2015
Snow breaking out across SD, NE, and Iowa now.
Good luck, stay safe, and have fun!
inmasirnc.gif ( 91.08K ) Number of downloads: 9
Surface14.jpg ( 257.06K ) Number of downloads: 57
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
245 AM EST Fri Nov 20 2015
***Significant snowfall from Central Plains to Great Lakes***
With plenty of cold air in place across the north-central U.S., the first
significant snow storm of the season is expected to materialize from
Nebraska to Michigan. A low pressure system exiting the Rockies early
Friday is forecast to develop further as it tracks across the central U.S.
and eventually towards the Great Lakes region. A wide band of moderate to
heavy snow is expected north of the low, with the heaviest amounts from
eastern Nebraska, through Iowa, and extending eastward to central Michigan
by Saturday afternoon. In areas where the heaviest snow bands set up,
amounts on the order of 6 to 12 inches are likely, with widespread 4 to 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
608 AM CST FRI NOV 20 2015
A VERY IMPRESSIVE DYNAMIC EARLY SEASON STORM SYSTEM IS IN THE WORKS
FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS FINALLY COME INTO MUCH
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE STORM...GENERALLY TAKING THE
SURFACE LOW...AND ACCOMPANYING 700 MB LOW ALONG A VERY HEAVY SNOW
FAVORABLE TRACK. ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ALL
THAT STRONG...SEVERAL INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER HINTING AT A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
9 Nov 2015
Coastal storm from Gulf coming up with some rain.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
653 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015
ALL NWP GUIDANCE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NAM IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE H5 PATTERN TUE NIGHT INTO WED. THE NAM HOLDS ON TO A CUTOFF
LOW ALOFT WHEREAS THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE WEAKENS INTO AN UPPER
TROUGH. THIS IS RESULTING IN THE NAM`S SFC LOW TRACKING DIRECTLY
OVER THE LOCAL AREA. IT CONTINUES TO BE DISCOUNTED.
GUIDANCE IN AGREEMENT THAT LOW PASSES S AND E OF LONG
ISLAND...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN STRENGTH AND
EXACT TRACK. GFS IS THE FURTHEST OFFSHORE...PASSING OUTSIDE THE 40N
70W BENCHMARK...THE EC PASSING INSIDE THE BENCHMARK AND THE GEFS
MEAN IS BETWEEN THE TWO SOLNS. THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION IS
ALSO UNCERTAIN AS THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
OF RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE SFC LOW REMAIN PRIMARILY S AND E
OF THE AREA. IT IS EXPECTED TO RAIN...HOWEVER POTENTIALLY NOT AS
MUCH AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
Future radar loop. Looks like a bad frame in there but you can see the storm moving in. Rain starts Tuesday afternoon/Evening in New England
7 Apr 2016 - 15:03
19 Mar 2016 - 14:07
18 Mar 2016 - 22:17
18 Mar 2016 - 11:45
16 Mar 2016 - 14:26
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