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“Climate is what you expect; weather is what you get,” Both have always and will always be changing.
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Rank: F5 Superstorm
42 years old
SW Coastal CT
Born Nov-17-1974
Season Snow Totals:

2007-08 - 21"
2008-09 - 41"
2009-10 - 39.4"
2010-11 - 64.5"...(60" Happened in 4 weeks)
2011-12 - 14"
2012-13 - 46.8"
2013-14 - 65.3"
2014-15 - 61.5"
2015-16 - 29.9"
2016-17 - 0.5"
Joined: 10-August 09
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Local Time: Dec 8 2016, 06:52 AM
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My Content
7 Dec 2016
Dedicating this thread to the cold/below normal temps coming..

National Weather Service Binghamton NY
535 PM EST Wed Dec 7 2016

A potent polar air mass will plunge into the base of a trough
rotating through the northeastern U.S., activating the lakes early

Arctic Blast #1 this weekend...

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Arctic Blast #2 next week...

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2 Dec 2016
Yup, another storm thread... I didn't see one for this little event...what a pattern we're in. This is for the shortwave coming through Sunday-Monday. VERY light precip which may break up coming across.

National Weather Service New York NY
344 AM EST Fri Dec 2 2016

Upper level short wave approaches Sunday night. However, it will
de-amplify and weaken as it does so. So only slight chance POPs with
light amounts of QPF expected Sunday night into Monday. Temperatures
may be cold enough inland for some snow showers, but again, not
expecting any accumulation since QPF will be light.

National Weather Service State College PA
446 AM EST Fri Dec 2 2016

Sunday evening and night, a period of light snow is
looking likely as a northern stream shortwave races through the
region with a burst of warm advection. QPF looks to be on the
order of a tenth of an inch or less, but occurring overnight many
places could see their first coating of snow of the young season
by Mon morning. Snow is more likely in the NW than SE.
29 Nov 2016
No idea which previous thread was for this time frame as the dates weren't being adjusted or matched. So here's the OBS thread for this event.

Strong low pressure in the upper Midwest will send a warm front
north through our area this afternoon. The low moves through the
Great Lakes region Wednesday pushing a cold front eastward across
the mid Atlantic states Wednesday night. The low redevelops to the
Canadian maritimes Thursday and Friday.

Started at 7am here.
11am: 0.19"

7-11am Loop

Close Up

12 Nov 2016
Last Year we were discussing a winter storm around this time: Nov.20th-21st Plains/MW/GL/OV WINTER Storm

Nov. 20-21 Plains/MW/GL/OV WINTER Storm OBS

Here we are this year with possibly another one for similar time frame. (I think will be more north this year than last years which gave Iowa and Chicago record snows)

National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
412 AM CST Sat Nov 12 2016

Thursday and Friday...This portion of the extended period
continues to garner the most attention as there is still good
model agreement of the development of a well-organized mid-
latitude cyclone expected to impact the central CONUS
. A poignant
longwave trough will move onshore the west NOAM coast during the
day on Wednesday, aiding in surface cyclogenesis over the Rockies
on Thursday. The trough will then push the surface system
northeast into the Great Lakes by Friday morning. There are still
some model differences between the GFS and ECMWF as to the
placement/track of the system, and if there were more cold air
entrained into the system, this would be a significant conundrum
with respect to precipitation type
. However, enough warm air will
remain within the system to make this system mainly a rain-maker.
However, some mixture with -SN cannot be ruled out, especially
going into Friday night, as lows are expected to drop to the mid
20s to lower 30s by that point which would enable a mixture if not
changeover to all light -SN by then. Little to no accumulations
are expected since the burst of cold air is expected to be short-
lived, the system will be rather progressive through the area, and
surface temperatures have been above freezing throughout the


Attached Image
16 Oct 2016
Hope you don't mind I started this thread. Here is the link to last years 2015-16 Season long Lake Effect Thread.

GFS6z hinting at some Lake Effect snows Monday night the 25th

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Accu Map forecast

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