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NorEaster07
Rank: F5 Superstorm
39 years old
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SW Coastal CT
Born Dec-17-1974
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Joined: 10-August 09
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Local Time: Apr 24 2014, 06:34 AM
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NorEaster07

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25 Jan 2014
TWO FAST MOVING CLIPPER LOWS WILL CROSS THE REGION...EACH WITH A
MODERATE SNOW. THE FIRST WILL BE TODAY...THE SECOND SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY. EACH WILL BE FOLLOWED BY SURGES OF FRIGID ARCTIC AIR


6:10am Temps and Radar. And Worth it to point out that winds are gusting 15-30mph from Minnesota to Kentucky to Maine

Attached Image



6 Jan 2014
Should be a narrow and limited location but the setup is there for Sound Effect snows. I always loved Ocean Effect snows until I heard about Sound Effect snows. River effect is also very cool.

Upton:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
710 PM EST MON JAN 6 2014

QUOTE
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
POLAR VORTEX SWINGS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...WITH
ARCTIC FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING.

THE REAL PUSH OF ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS EVENING AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH W WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45-50 MPH IN
NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND...AND POSSIBLY IN THE INTERIOR HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL USHER IN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS...

FOR MOST PLACES ISOLATED FLURRIES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY WITH TROUGH AXIS PASSAGE...BUT THE STRONG W WINDS AND LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WILL CREATE
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR A NARROW PLUME OF SOUND EFFECT SNOW OVER
THE FORKS OF LONG ISLAND. GIVEN LARGE EXPECTED SPREAD OF 25-30C
BETWEEN H8 TEMPS AND SOUND WATER TEMPS...LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW
COULD OCCUR THERE...POSSIBLY WITH A FEW HEAVIER SNOW BURSTS.
CONFIDENCE TOO LOW AT THIS TIME FOR ANY STATEMENTS ON THIS...BUT
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUM IS POSSIBLE
.

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CONTINUED BITTERLY COLD WITH GRADUALLY DECREASING WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT
AS TROUGH AXIS PUSHES TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS BUILDING
IN TO THE SOUTH. SOUND EFFECT SNOWS SHOULD TAPER OFF IN THE EVENING
HOURS ACROSS THE FORKS OF LONG ISLAND
.


28 Dec 2013
Up up and away the moisture comes.


Mt Holly Upton Synopsis Blend.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE EAST COAST. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS ACROSS DELMARVA AND SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY ON SUNDAY BEFORE COMBINING WITH ANOTHER LOW MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES OVER NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY NIGHT. THE CENTER OF THE COASTAL LOW MOVING OVER LONG ISLAND AROUND 00Z MONDAY...THEN SWINGING ON UP INTO THE GULF OF MAINE BY MONDAY MORNING.

Current Radar



Track

Attached Image
21 Dec 2013
Could it be a Christmas miracle? one to put us back in the mood while we bake in the sun this weekend? This looks to be scattered and very weak moisture. Also keep in mind air will be very dry so don't expect too much.

Canadian, NAM, and Euro all show this clipper type moisture dropping down after the frontal wave moves out. Just in time for Christmas.

Attached Image
20 Dec 2013
This is for New England where Maine, New Hampshire, and northern Vermont & NY will feel some wintry precip.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
719 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
QUOTE
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TO THE CANADIAN BORDER AND STALL
TODAY...THEN PUSH SOUTH OF THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. SEVERAL
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE.


SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
QUOTE
MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING A STRONG SIGNAL FOR A MIXED PRECIPITATION
EVENT OVER THE WEEKEND. THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FRONT WILL REMAIN
IN THE VICINITY...AND WILL HELP DETERMINE PRECIPITATION TYPE AS
THIS BOUNDARY WAFFLES BACK AND FORTH DURING THE DAY AND NIGHT. THE
BOUNDARY WILL HAVE AN ISSUE MAKING HEADWAY NORTHWARD...AS A STRONG
COLD AIR DAMMING SITUATION UNFOLDS ABOVE A MODERATE SNOW PACK. THE
NAM IS STILL MUCH WARMER THEN THE GFS...AND THIS RESULTS IN AREAS
OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN SHIFTING FARTHER NORTH. THE
GFS IS HOWEVER MUCH COLDER. EVEN SMALL DIFFERENCES IN THE
TEMPERATURE PROFILES CAN CHANGE WHAT KIND OF PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL AND WHERE. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS AND MINIMUMS
WILL FOLLOW A NON DIURNAL TREND

SREF PROBABILITIES AND PLUMES STILL SHOW A STRONG SIGNAL FOR
ICING...FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE. FAR
NORTHERN SECTIONS...NEAR JACKMAN FOR EXAMPLE...CHANGE OVER TO ALL
SNOW ONCE COLDER AIR BEGINS FUNNELING IN LATE SATURDAY. NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF COOS...OXFORD...AND SOMERSET MAY SEE SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL TOTALS ON THE ORDER OF 8-12 INCHES.



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Attached Image


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