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NorEaster07
Rank: F5 Superstorm
39 years old
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SW Coastal CT
Born Dec-17-1974
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Joined: 10-August 09
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Viewing Topic: Long Range Winter 2014-2015 Outlooks, Forecasts/Trends
Local Time: Aug 30 2014, 12:14 PM
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NorEaster07

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9 Aug 2014
Like a broken record this Summer, another possible Fall/Winter type scenario. (No not snow)

Euro shows a storm curling around a trough heads towards Great Lakes then transfers energy to a coastal low which then heads towards Maine. 1000mb Low. Not a pattern we typically see in the summer.

GFS does not transfer.

Either way ... Rain, Clouds, some wind likely. And temps maybe staying in the 60s during the day in spots in New England on Wednesday. Then the chilly air mass comes in for Thurs-Sunday

HPC Surface map for Wednesday

Attached Image


WPC 7 Day rain totals

Attached Image

25 Jan 2014
TWO FAST MOVING CLIPPER LOWS WILL CROSS THE REGION...EACH WITH A
MODERATE SNOW. THE FIRST WILL BE TODAY...THE SECOND SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY. EACH WILL BE FOLLOWED BY SURGES OF FRIGID ARCTIC AIR


6:10am Temps and Radar. And Worth it to point out that winds are gusting 15-30mph from Minnesota to Kentucky to Maine

Attached Image



6 Jan 2014
Should be a narrow and limited location but the setup is there for Sound Effect snows. I always loved Ocean Effect snows until I heard about Sound Effect snows. River effect is also very cool.

Upton:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
710 PM EST MON JAN 6 2014

QUOTE
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
POLAR VORTEX SWINGS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...WITH
ARCTIC FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING.

THE REAL PUSH OF ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS EVENING AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH W WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45-50 MPH IN
NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND...AND POSSIBLY IN THE INTERIOR HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL USHER IN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS...

FOR MOST PLACES ISOLATED FLURRIES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY WITH TROUGH AXIS PASSAGE...BUT THE STRONG W WINDS AND LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WILL CREATE
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR A NARROW PLUME OF SOUND EFFECT SNOW OVER
THE FORKS OF LONG ISLAND. GIVEN LARGE EXPECTED SPREAD OF 25-30C
BETWEEN H8 TEMPS AND SOUND WATER TEMPS...LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW
COULD OCCUR THERE...POSSIBLY WITH A FEW HEAVIER SNOW BURSTS.
CONFIDENCE TOO LOW AT THIS TIME FOR ANY STATEMENTS ON THIS...BUT
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUM IS POSSIBLE
.

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CONTINUED BITTERLY COLD WITH GRADUALLY DECREASING WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT
AS TROUGH AXIS PUSHES TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS BUILDING
IN TO THE SOUTH. SOUND EFFECT SNOWS SHOULD TAPER OFF IN THE EVENING
HOURS ACROSS THE FORKS OF LONG ISLAND
.


28 Dec 2013
Up up and away the moisture comes.


Mt Holly Upton Synopsis Blend.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE EAST COAST. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS ACROSS DELMARVA AND SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY ON SUNDAY BEFORE COMBINING WITH ANOTHER LOW MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES OVER NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY NIGHT. THE CENTER OF THE COASTAL LOW MOVING OVER LONG ISLAND AROUND 00Z MONDAY...THEN SWINGING ON UP INTO THE GULF OF MAINE BY MONDAY MORNING.

Current Radar



Track

Attached Image
21 Dec 2013
Could it be a Christmas miracle? one to put us back in the mood while we bake in the sun this weekend? This looks to be scattered and very weak moisture. Also keep in mind air will be very dry so don't expect too much.

Canadian, NAM, and Euro all show this clipper type moisture dropping down after the frontal wave moves out. Just in time for Christmas.

Attached Image
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23 Apr 2014 - 4:47

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