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Torontoweather
Rank: F5 Superstorm
19 years old
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Toronto, Ontario
Born Mar-27-1995
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Soccer (football; for the true fans out there),weather, climate, philosophy (to question is our meaning!), Socrates, girls!
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Torontoweather

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17 Nov 2014
Looks like we'll see our first real clipper of the season!

Here's the 00z RGEM up to hour 48:



Snowfall:


The further south this goes the better! With the lake enhancement some areas could pick up 5-10cm from this and if it digs far enough south, could pick up some extra moisture for southern Quebec. We shall see!
11 Nov 2014
Hi everyone,

Well, it's been awhile since I created a topic, so I'm excited to create this one! I've been watching this on the models the past few days, and have finally seen enough to think this is worthy of a topic, as I now believe this will impact someone in Eastern Canada, and possibly with a good amount of snow, wind and rain.

Here are the latest 12z models:

12z GFS:
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=120...e=M&ps=area

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=144...e=M&ps=area

12z GFS Individual Members:

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_6z/f144.gif

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_6z/f156.gif

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_6z/f168.gif

As you can see, some of the individual members show quite the impressive storm for the region, with the OP GFS on the top left.

12z OP ECMWF:

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_12z/f144.gif

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_12z/f168.gif

12z OP GGEM:
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_a...PN_132_0000.gif

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_a...PN_144_0000.gif

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_a...PN_156_0000.gif

12z UKMET:

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_am...PN_144_0000.gif

Let's have fun tracking this! I know I will, with midterms all done!! biggrin.gif
29 Mar 2014
I know there's the atlantic canada thread but this will also affect southern ontario and southern quebec
If someone could post the RUC and RAP that'd be great. On phone right now.
2 Feb 2014
Hi everyone,

This has been modeled by most models for a little while now.

Here's the latest 12z GFS total snowfall for this storm:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/...OW&hour=228
21 Jan 2014
Well it looks like parts of southern Ontario and southern Quebec could be in for quite the strong clipper-type system (it's very much a polar jet disturbance) this weekend, with decent amounts of snow, and very strong winds potentially. Overall the winds and potential blowing snow could be the bigger story as well as Lake-effect during and in the wake of the storm, but it could prove to be quite the storm system.

Here's probably one of the more impressive images from the latest 18z GFS at hour 96:


Here is the latest 18z GFS total snowfall for this event:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/...OW&hour=117

The 18z GFS tracked a bit further south and stalled a bit more than the 12z, which would produce an even better scenario as seen from the snowfall forecast.

Should be fun to track!
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wingsovernc
Happy Birthday young man! Hope it's been a good one for you! :D
27 Mar 2012 - 20:21

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