The human race must question everything!
Rank: F5 Superstorm
18 years old
Soccer (football; for the true fans out there),weather, climate, philosophy (to question is our meaning!), Socrates, girls!
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Last Seen: 5th May 2013 - 08:26 PM
Local Time: May 18 2013, 06:59 AM
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2 Apr 2013
Well, we might be into spring, both astronomically and meteorologically, but winter is still holding a firm grip on parts of Eastern Canada (as well as Western parts too), which is not all that uncommon as Toronto does average 6cm in the month of April, and Ottawa averages about 10cm.
With that being said, a "Winter Storm" in the month of April is certainly a rarity in these parts, but again it has happening in the past and there have even been some pretty big snowstorms.
Currently, models are forecasting a low pressure system to merge out of the Rockies (coming ashore on the SW Canadian Pacific Coast) and then track SE before turning east and possibly cutting NE. Where this cut will occur will determine where the snowfall is. However, at this point I am fairly confident in saying that to the north of this system there will likely be a narrow but potentially intense band of snow as there will be a fairly solid and stubborn cold air-mass in place.
Here's a look at the 12z GFS snowfall map for this storm:
USA_ASNOW72_sfc_144.gif ( 32.08K ) Number of downloads: 2
As you can see, a bit too far north for Toronto and areas further south, but a decent snow event (for April) for Ottawa ENE to Quebec City.
I will post more model images soon.
5 Feb 2013
Snow squall watch up for Toronto with a warning up or regions further east. Could see some local amounts of 5-15cm.
3 Feb 2013
Well, some models show this as being more significant for the Great lakes area, than a regular clipper would, due to some interaction with a southern stream feature (phasing with the STJ).
Will post images of what the latest models show in coming posts.
17 Jan 2013
All main global Models are now showing some sort of storm during this time period...
12z OP ECMWF:
12z OP GFS:
12z OP GGEM:
Still a big difference in timing, storm track, and type of storm for that matter (potential Colorado Low, and/or Clipper).
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