Do not mistake self indulgence for individuality.
Rank: F5 Superstorm
46 years old
East Chicago, Indiana
Joined: 6-December 09
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Viewing Topic: Long Range Winter 2014-2015 Outlooks, Forecasts/Trends
Local Time: Sep 30 2014, 04:49 AM
951 posts (1 per day)
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10 Jan 2014
The map isn't as important as the AFD from LOT this morning.
My first thread, so if the format isn't correct, please adjust.
LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
OVERALL UPPER PATTERN WILL REALIGN TO A RIDGE IN THE WEST/TROUGH IN
THE EAST...WHICH IS KNOWN AS A POSITIVE PNA PATTERN. THIS IS
TYPICALLY A COLDER BUT FAIRLY DRY SET-UP FOR THE LOCAL AREA. WILL
NEED TO WATCH FOR CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
GUIDANCE BECOMES SPLIT ON WHETHER TO FOCUS MORE ENERGY IN SOUTHERN
STREAM SYSTEM OR NORTHERN VORT ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IN
PARTICULAR...ECMWF IS OF MOST INTEREST WITH ITS STRONGER SOUTHERN
STREAM WAVE. IF A QUICKER PHASE OCCURS WITH NORTHERN BRANCH
FEATURE...MORE THAN SOUTHEAST CWA COULD BE IMPACTED BY A SYSTEM IN
THIS TIMEFRAME. OPERATIONAL GFS DOES NOT SEEM TO HAVE MUCH ENSEMBLE
SUPPORT WITH ITS UNUSUALLY STRONG CLIPPER SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE
AREA ON MONDAY NIGHT. HAVE SLIGHT TO LOW POPS MONDAY NIGHT INTO
21 Dec 2010
Would it be possible, from both a scientific, and then logistical standpoint, to use hurricane hunter aircraft to sample large winter in the Pacific? I constantly read in the forums that storms need to be fully sampled before the models can really get a grip on a track, intensity, etc. Can aircraft be used in a manner similiar to hurricane hunters to sample storms? Are the storms simply too large? Is it logistically impractical/impossible? Thank you.
14 Mar 2013 - 11:46
15 Feb 2013 - 8:09
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