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Gnutella
Rank: Tornado
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Athens, GA
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Joined: 15-December 09
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Gnutella

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14 Apr 2015

Precipitation outlook (7PM Monday 4/13 - 7PM Monday 4/20)

The rain started here in Athens last night, and we've had three episodes of it in the last 24 hours or so, including one ongoing right now. It looks like a cold front is becoming stationary over the Deep South, and everywhere from eastern Texas to the Carolinas is in store for a lot of rain this week. I'm not sure what the forecast is elsewhere, but the National Weather Service office in Atlanta says that severe weather is not expected here, though isolated thunderstorms are expected every day. This pattern won't change until a frontal passage early next week. The good news is that the rain should erase most areas of drought or abnormal dryness in the South.
15 Dec 2009
I read a bulletin a few weeks ago discussing the effects that El Niņo has on winter weather in the United States. One of the effects, according to the bulletin, is above-normal precipitation and severe weather threat in the "Gulf Coast region." It particularly mentioned an increased threat of organized tornado activity. Now when I think of the "Gulf Coast region," I think of everything south of Interstate 20, east of Interstate 35, and west of Interstate 75. Please correct me if I'm wrong.

Now what I'd really like to know is, is northern Georgia relatively "safe" compared to the central and southern portions of the state? I've recalled many instances of organized severe weather moving from Alabama into Georgia, and the storms that move from central and southern Alabama into central and southern Georgia seem to hold up better than those that move from northern Alabama into northern Georgia. Northeastern Georgia in particular (think Gainesville, Athens and Toccoa) doesn't seem to endure as much severe weather as the rest of the state, and the southern and western fringes of metro Atlanta seem to take more of a pounding than the northern and eastern fringes.

On the other hand, I distinctly remember a tornado outbreak that centered around metro Atlanta about 12 years ago, when a very strong El Niņo was present. So what I need to know is, when they talk about an increased tornado threat along the Gulf Coast region, would that include northern Georgia as well?
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