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grace
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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grace

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27 Nov 2014
Models have been consistently showing an overrunning event for a while as an Arctic front stalls out just south of the Ohio River. The overrunning precip looks to bring some light ice potential for someone as cold Arctic air undercuts warm air aloft.

These types of events are sneaky & tricky & often underplayed by models...so this bears watching.

0z NAM



12z GFS Parallel



The 12z Euro OP, Control run & many of the individual ensembles are pretty moist...and a little colder with more precip in the freezing surface temps.
7 Feb 2014
No thread for this so I thought I'd start one. Precip breaking out in TX moving NE
Winter Weather Advisories are posted from parts of TX NE through Louisville, Ky for generally 1-3 inches of snow
http://www.weather.gov/

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains.php

6z GFS Snowfall
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/...WI&hour=036

6z NAM Snowfall
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/...WI&hour=035

JET STREAM




Moist GOA Flow beginning to return:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis...1&source=1#
6 Dec 2013
SREF is showing another winter storm that could affect portions of the lower OV on the 10th AFTER the event on the 7th-8th. It has shown it two runs in a row. Definitely need to keep an eye on this.

HR 75 21z SREF Mean


2 Meter Freezing Line


HR 78




HR 81



7 Feb 2012
No one has started a thread to my knowledge & it's already game time with this:




Latest 0z GFS gives a little more precip with this system in places:

54HR Precip


Latest 04z RUC



3 Jan 2012
Different models have been showing potential for something on & off again during this time frame. After seeing tonight's 0z GGEM I decided to start a thread as it's almost identical to the 6z GFS. This is not the same storm as the Jan. 9-12 Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm.

6z GFS



0z GGEM - is the strongest...apps runner

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