Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Profile
Personal Photo
Rating
 
Options
Options
Personal Statement
WeatherMonger doesn't have a personal statement currently.
Personal Info
WeatherMonger
Rank: F5 Superstorm
40 years old
Male
Springfield, IL
Born Aug-17-1974
Interests
No Information
Statistics
Joined: 26-January 10
Profile Views: 17,092*
Last Seen: Today, 07:29 PM
Local Time: Sep 15 2014, 09:53 PM
13,434 posts (8 per day)
Contact Information
AIM No Information
Yahoo No Information
ICQ No Information
MSN No Information
Contact Private
* Profile views updated each hour

WeatherMonger

Member

***


Topics
Posts
Comments
Friends
My Content
15 Jul 2014
What a welcomed relief, hoping to break a few record lows for both highs and lows.

already tied a record low, and if we can stay below 73 we'll break the record for coolest high temp

Wish it could stay a few weeks rather than a few days.


QUOTE
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
830 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2014 ...

RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE TIED AT SPRINGFIELD THIS MORNING... THE LOW TEMPERATURE IN SPRINGFIELD THIS MORNING WAS 52 DEGREES. THIS TIES THE RECORD LOW FOR THE DATE...WHICH WAS FIRST SET IN 1930.
9 Jun 2014
Dates may have to be modified a bit as it approaches, but looks to be the next chance for severe weather for some of us.

QUOTE
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 AM CDT MON JUN 09 2014

VALID 121200Z - 171200Z ...

DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE ACROSS PARTS OF THE PLAINS INTO THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY DURING THE DAY 5-7 TIME FRAME. ON THURSDAY/DAY 4...A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PLAINS. AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTS NORTHWARD BENEATH THE RIDGE...THE WESTERN TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT EWD INTO THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS LATE FRIDAY/DAY 5 INTO SATURDAY/DAY 6...WITH SEVERAL OTHER SHORTWAVE IMPULSES EJECTED ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AN UPPER RIDGE ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL BLOCK THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY DURING THROUGH THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE SHOWS QUITE A BIT OF VARIABILITY WITH REGARDS TO TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ACROSS THE PLAINS. AS SUCH...CONFIDENCE IS LOW AS TO WHERE POTENTIALLY HIGHER-END SEVERE CHANCES MAY UNFOLD. ..


LEITMAN.. 06/09/2014
15 May 2014
SPC mentioning this time frame for the next possible best chance.


QUOTE
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2014

VALID 181200Z - 231200Z ...

DISCUSSION...

ABOVE-AVERAGE PREDICTABILITY CONTINUES ON THE LARGE-SCALE WITH THE AMPLIFICATION OF A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST...A RIDGE OVER THE CNTRL STATES AND A PERSISTENT ERN CONUS TROUGH BECOMING CENTERED JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS TYPE OF BLOCKING PATTERN SHOULD BE GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FOR HIGH-END SEVERE COVERAGE /ESPECIALLY OVER THE PLAINS/. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY COMMENCE ON D4/SUN ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...AND INTO PARTS OF THE N-CNTRL STATES ON D5-6/MON-TUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE IMPINGING ON THE RIDGE. WITH A CONTINENTAL AIR MASS CURRENTLY OVER THE WRN GULF...THE INITIALLY MARGINAL QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN MAY LIMIT THE MAGNITUDE OF THE RISK.

SOMEWHAT GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY EVOLVE TOWARDS D7-8/WED-THU WITH THE LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER S-CNTRL CANADA/N-CNTRL CONUS AIDING IN A BELT OF ENHANCED MID-LEVEL NWLYS OVER PARTS OF THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY/CNTRL APPALACHIANS. THIS MAY OVERSPREAD PARTS OF A BROADENING/INCREASINGLY MOIST WARM SECTOR OWING TO MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND EVAPO-TRANSPIRATION. HOWEVER...SPREAD IN GUIDANCE WITH THE TRACK/AMPLITUDE OF THIS IMPULSE IS LARGE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...YIELDING LOW CONFIDENCE IN CONSIDERING ANY HIGH-END PROBABILITIES. ..

GRAMS.. 05/15/2014
25 Mar 2014
Finally something other than snow or cold to talk about.

SPC has issued a slight risk for Thursday

Attached Image




QUOTE
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2014

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND OZARK PLATEAU...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT MID/UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME
GENERALLY ZONAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. BY THURSDAY...WITH A BELT OF
WESTERLIES EMERGING FROM THE MID LATITUDE PACIFIC MOST PROMINENT.
WITHIN THIS REGIME...THE REMNANTS OF AN INLAND ADVANCING LARGER
SCALE TROUGH APPEAR LIKELY TO CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR
U.S...INCLUDING ONE SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE THAT MAY CONTRIBUTE TO A
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY 12Z
THURSDAY...BEFORE TRACKING TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM NOW EVIDENT IN MOST
MODEL GUIDANCE...IT STILL APPEARS MOST PROBABLE THAT STRONGER
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND DEEP LAYER MEAN
FLOW FIELDS WILL BEGIN SHIFTING AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST REGION
BEFORE GULF BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION AND INLAND RETURN FLOW IS
ABLE TO YIELD A SEASONABLY MOIST WARM SECTOR. BUT A WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY DOES APPEAR TO EXIST FOR MODEST WARM SECTOR MOISTENING
AND DESTABILIZATION...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
STORM DEVELOPMENT...PRIMARILY FROM THE LOWER CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OZARK PLATEAU...FROM MIDDAY
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

...LWR CNTRL PLAINS INTO OZARK PLATEAU/MID MS VALLEY...
DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE BY AROUND 18Z NEAR
THE SURFACE FRONTAL LOW ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS/WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI...SOUTHWARD ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL DRY LINE THROUGH
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...PERHAPS NORTHEAST TEXAS. SURFACE DEW POINTS MAY
ONLY REACH THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60F ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION...EASTWARD INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...BUT AT LEAST LARGE
HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEAR POSSIBLE AS ACTIVITY
DEVELOPS EASTWARD. AND TORNADOES MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION...BEFORE THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRY LINE AND
CONTRIBUTES TO THE EVOLUTION OF A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WITH DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS BECOMING THE MAIN THREAT BEFORE ACTIVITY WEAKENS THURSDAY
EVENING.

...SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA...
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS A BIT MORE UNCERTAIN THAN FARTHER NORTH.
BUT A DISTINCTLY SEPARATE AREA OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
POSSIBLE IN THE PRESENCE OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION BENEATH DIFLUENT AND...PROBABLY...INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT
UPPER FLOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
BE MORE MODERATE THAN AREAS TO THE NORTH...BUT SIZABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER BASED CAPE APPEARS POSSIBLE IN THE PRESENCE OF BETTER MOISTURE
INFLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES EXIST FOR
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AND AN UPSCALE GROWING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER BEFORE
ACTIVITY WEAKENS AND DEVELOPS EASTWARD THURSDAY NIGHT.

..KERR.. 03/25/2014
11 Mar 2014
I'm unable to post the radar images from my phone
Last Visitors


15 Aug 2014 - 6:48
PGM


8 Jun 2014 - 11:28


27 Apr 2014 - 19:51


14 Mar 2014 - 11:10


11 Mar 2014 - 21:21

Comments
Other users have left no comments for WeatherMonger.

Friends
There are no friends to display.
RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 15th September 2014 - 09:53 PM