If you're not enjoying life as much as I am, it's not my fault!
Rank: F5 Superstorm
55 years old
Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
On Fb as the WxWiinii
Joined: 12-February 10
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Last Seen: Today, 07:06 PM
Local Time: Nov 30 2015, 10:53 PM
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20 Oct 2015
Just a space filler (get it - space filler? - I say, that's a joke son, your supposed to, I say you're supposed to laugh) to allow for any posters (probably me, MaineJay and Vomit will be the only ones) to comment on this year's show.
Best viewing will be pre-dawn as a waxing crescent moon will occupy the early night skiy. So, if you're up with the Rooster shift - you may see a few as well.
28 Sep 2015
Trying to keep the second of the one-two punch, separate from the mid-week storm.
I'm sure we've all seen the 0928 12z Op Euro?
Can't confirm, but I've seen comments from some who have Euro QPF access that the amounts are "sick"
A quick look at the WPC D7 QPF outlook - which is healthy enough in its own right
NAVGEM corollary in play this early?
28 Sep 2015
To keep this threat in its own thread. I don't have a lot of time so I'll post the WPC QPF maps for D1-3
IF I get time, I'll open a thread for the second event, this weekend (unless someone beats me to it)
17 Sep 2015
Creating this to have a place to report observations and forecasts for the region as we enter, what appears to be, a very dry and warm period.
From some nut job that goes by Wx Wiinii on FB (2 days ago)
Expect much more of the same for the next week, at minimum. Although, on Sunday, a "dry" cold front should pass just through PA - that will only knock the daily highs back to seasonal average.
So, we remain on the warm and dry side of the equation for an extended period of time.
One of the main reasons for this, is that the atmospheric river of air (we all the jet stream) is well north in latitude - as in central Canada kind of north. When it is up there, High Pressure systems dominate our region - allowing very stable air to take hold. ( We mentioned this a few weeks ago as well.)
This configuration of the upper air, does make us vulnerable to tropical incursions. One such disturbance tries to make its way from east to west along the Atlantic seaboard. Without the jet stream disturbances to push it away, this could be a problem - albeit a relatively small one. Not to mention, the tropical Atlantic has been very silent lately - and is likely to remain that way due to the influence of a developing El Nino.
With this stable air, there is virtually no chance for rain. This is, typically, a very dry time of the year (except for when the tropics can become involved). So we see mostly warm and dry until something can shift the jet to a more southerly (and active) configuration -- this may take quite a while
From Weather World - Climate Watch (of yesterday)
8 Sep 2015
The much anticipated northern stream energy - ramped up by influence of post tropical Ignacio energy, comes for a visit Thurs-Sun.
Welcome rain looks to be in the offing. The 12z GS for today actually shows SLP reflection at Delmarva not only for Friday, but also for Sunday.
HIGH PRESSURE THAT BROUGHT US THIS RECENT STRONG OF DRY AND VERY
WARM DAYS WILL DRIFT OFF THE EAST COAST...ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO
MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THIS FRONT AND BRING A
SHOWERY AND MUCH COOLER DAY FOR THURSDAY. MAINLY DRY AND
SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR LATER THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY. A DEEP TROUGH WILL FORM OVER THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS SATURDAY...THEN MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST
SUNDAY AND MONDAY BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
Euro takes the SLP W of the Apps, check out the closed off nature of the system at H5.
22 Nov 2015 - 11:33
14 Nov 2015 - 13:47
11 Nov 2015 - 8:00
30 Oct 2015 - 10:26
4 Oct 2015 - 9:12
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