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Undertakerson
Rank: F5 Superstorm
55 years old
Male
Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Born May-22-1960
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On Fb as the WxWiinii
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Joined: 12-February 10
Profile Views: 26,291*
Last Seen: Yesterday, 08:03 PM
Local Time: Feb 9 2016, 12:44 AM
16,898 posts (8 per day)
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Undertakerson

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17 Jan 2016
Decided to open an obsx thread because snow is breaking out in VA and lower MidAtl. Arctic front could lay down some accumulation through the Apps.

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1 Dec 2015
I've been thinking that this time period starts to show some harbinger of change.

The Euro Op run 12z today

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We see that a trough shortwave combination have spawned a SLP off the EC, near NJ. The storm appears to have some upper level cold air to tap. On a side note, look at the negative heights near Greenland - they are showing a sign of moving along - that feature has been keeping the NAO at its present positive state, once it leaves the atmosphere responds with HP in the vacuum.

Now the GFS 18z ( time stamp edited from original)

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The extent to which that cold pool can be tapped is important to precip types and would still be a question mark at this point in time.

So -now we see a couple of storms not really looking at the cutter path, or being involved in some sort of tandem SLP development. This to me, bodes well for snow lovers as we move along into the traditionally colder months. Should the LR blocking be correct (GFS based shown) then it could become more of a "game on" situation for the heretofore "boring" EC weather.
20 Oct 2015
Just a space filler (get it - space filler? - I say, that's a joke son, your supposed to, I say you're supposed to laugh) to allow for any posters (probably me, MaineJay and Vomit will be the only ones) to comment on this year's show.

Best viewing will be pre-dawn as a waxing crescent moon will occupy the early night skiy. So, if you're up with the Rooster shift - you may see a few as well.
28 Sep 2015
Trying to keep the second of the one-two punch, separate from the mid-week storm.

I'm sure we've all seen the 0928 12z Op Euro? laugh.gif

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Can't confirm, but I've seen comments from some who have Euro QPF access that the amounts are "sick"

A quick look at the WPC D7 QPF outlook - which is healthy enough in its own right

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NAVGEM corollary in play this early?

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28 Sep 2015
To keep this threat in its own thread. I don't have a lot of time so I'll post the WPC QPF maps for D1-3

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http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif?1443458373328
IF I get time, I'll open a thread for the second event, this weekend (unless someone beats me to it)
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