April showers bring May Gray
Rank: F5 Superstorm
Lake Forest, CA
Joined: 23-May 10
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Last Seen: 2nd March 2015 - 05:21 PM
Local Time: Mar 4 2015, 08:43 AM
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18 Feb 2015
For the first time in what seems to be ages, Southern California will be affected by some troughs of low pressure. Still it is not expected to give much, if any, rain and will likely not prevent this February from being one of the warmest, if not the warmest, in history.
From NWS San Diego Forecast Discussion
HEIGHTS WILL LOWER FRIDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL INCREASE ONSHORE FLOW...DEEPEN THE MARINE
LAYER EXTENDING NIGHT/MORNING LOW CLOUDS INTO THE FOOTHILLS...AND
CREATE COOLER WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION. ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED LIGHT
SHOWERS OVER AND WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS LATE SATURDAY THOUGH EARLY
MONDAY. RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIPITATION FROM THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE...IS IT POSSIBLE THE
PRECIPITATION MAY BE REMOVED FROM THE FORECAST IF THIS DRY TREND
CONTINUES. THE MORE LIKELY RESULT WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AND A DEEP MARINE LAYER. BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT DESERT MOUNTAIN SLOPES
IN THE AFTERNOONS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CREATE
WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL LIKELY PUSH THE MARINE LAYER OFFSHORE BY
MONDAY NIGHT...AND SLIGHTLY INCREASE HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE
INLAND VALLEYS TUESDAY.
MODELS THEN DEVELOP A CLOSED LOW THAT MOVES SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK. VARIATIONS IN PLACEMENT OF THE LOW
CONTINUE BETWEEN THE MODELS AND EACH MODEL RUN. HOWEVER...IF THE
LOW DOES DIP FAR ENOUGH SOUTHWEST TO TAP INTO SOME SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE...IT IS POSSIBLE WE COULD HAVE PRECIPITATION DEVELOP
OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY IN THE
EXTENDED UNTIL MORE MODELS ARE ON BOARD WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW.
AT THE LEAST...EXPECT A DEEP MARINE LAYER BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...ALONG WITH CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES.
Also according to NWS Hanford, we could have a pattern change with a possibility of more storms within 7-10 days
THE ENSEMBLES HINT THAT A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE UPPER AIR
PATTERN WILL OCCUR IN THE 7 TO 10 DAY PERIOD. ERADICATION OF
THE HUDSON BAY LOW...OTHERWISE KNOWN AS THE POLAR VORTEX OVER
EASTERN CANADA...WILL ALLOW FOR A MILDER ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TO
BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE LOWER 48 STATES. IF THIS HAPPENS...
THE PATHWAY WILL FINALLY OPEN FOR EPAC STORMS TO TRACK INTO
CENTRAL CA. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW AT THIS POINT AS
TO WHETHER OR NOT THIS PATTERN CHANGE WILL BRING MUCH IF ANY
PRECIPITATION INTO THE CWA TOWARD THE END OF FEBRUARY.
WHATEVER THE CASE...IT FINALLY GIVES SOMETHING FOR WEATHER
FORECASTERS TO TALK ABOUT INSTEAD OF THE MUNDANE PATTERN WE`VE
Finally, the Tule fog can actually be enhanced by the marine layer, even though the marine layer is advection fog and the valley fog is radiation fog. This also comes from NWS Hanford.
...AS OF THIS WRITING...TEMPERATURES IN THE SJ VLY ARE
RUNNING 5 TO AS MUCH AS 20 DEGREES COOLER THIS AFTERNOON COMPARED
TO TUESDAY. THE COOLEST LOCATIONS ARE STILL BLANKETED BY LOW
CLOUDS WHICH SHOULD COMPLETELY ERODE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
UNFORTUNATELY THE LAST PLACES IN THE SJ VLY TO CLEAR TODAY WILL
BE THE FIRST PLACES WHERE FOG WILL FORM TONIGHT. THIS IS MOST
LIKELY TO HAPPEN BETWEEN HANFORD AND TULARE NORTHWARD TO REEDLEY
AND FRESNO. AN INTRUSION OF MARINE AIR IN THE SJ VLY EARLY THIS
MORNING CAN BE BLAMED FOR THE VALLEY`S COOLER WEATHER TODAY.
TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR HAVE WARMED
TO SPRINGLIKE LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON UNDER SUNNY SKIES.
20 Jan 2015
What are your favorite and least favorite cloud types?
For me, favorite cloud is cumulonimbus, since they are the most beautiful cloud and you don't get to see much of them here in California.
My least favorite is stratus because it's just a boring cloud that's almost always gray and featureless and it never brings any beneficial rain but just lousy weather. It's also the most common cloud in California's coastal climate and in the Central Valley's winter Tule fog episodes that often cause massive car accidents.
21 Dec 2014
Today is the date of the December Solstice, when the sun reaches the furthest latitude south. It is the shortest day of the year with the lowest elevation of the sun for all points north of the equator.
So here's a quiz:
1. True or false: The earliest sunset of the year occurs on the shortest day
2. True or false: The sun does not rise anywhere north of the Arctic Circle on the Winter Solstice.
3. True or false: All points south of the equator have the shortest shadow of the year today at local solar noon.
4. True or false: The time between solar noons each day is constant throughout the year.
5. True or false: On the March Equinox, which is about three months from today, all places on earth will have 12 hours of sun up and 12 hours of sun down.
26 Nov 2014
With all the ads, Black Friday is probably a more important "holiday" than Thanksgiving. I think it should be banned. Retail workers should not need to risk their lives getting trampled or killed by thousands of greedy savages and cannot even enjoy a Thanksgiving dinner.
What will you be doing this Black Friday? Answer the poll.
19 Oct 2014
The Three Little Pigs' Piglets
After their close calls with the Big Bad Wolf, Fifer Pig and Fiddler Pig built brick houses just like their brother Practical Pig. The Big Bad Wolf was sad that there was no way to reach the pigs for a dinner, but he found other pigs to eat. These other pigs had not learned their lesson despite the three little pigs becoming instantly famous on Facebook and Twitter. The media told their story all over the world for three months.
The three little pigs were not so little anymore and soon they found girlfriends and got married. Soon they had their own piglets, one each. None of the pigs except for Practical Pig spent any time with their piglets because they were too busy all the time with their jobs and their smart phones and social networks. Before they knew it the piglets grew up, ready to leave home and begin their own lives.
The piglets of Fiddler Pig and Fifer Pig built their houses out of straw because they were lazy and uneducated just like their fathers, but Practical Pig's piglet built his house out of bricks. The Big Bad Wolf was getting old and he soon developed COPD. Despite his sickness, he had not given up his passion to hunt foolish pigs and blow away their houses.
Soon the Big Bad Wolf came to the home of Fifer's piglet. He shouted "Little pig, little pig, let me in". The piglet responded "You're a stranger. Why would I do such a thing?" The wolf said "I am a doctor and I've got this new drug for you. It will make you super strong and super happy". The pig asked, "Sounds good, but are there any side effects?". "No way" said the wolf. "I've been taking this drug for 10 years and this is the happiest I've ever been. I'm also much stronger than when I was 25 years old." The wolf was lying, of course, but the pig let him in. The wolf quickly ate and digested the pig.
Later the Big Bad Wolf came to the home of Fiddler's piglet. "Little pig, little pig, let me in" yelled the wolf. "No way, you monster, not after what you did to my cousin" said the pig. "Then I'll huff and I'll puff and I'll blow your house in" yelled the wolf. But the wolf could not huff and he could not puff because he had COPD. Angrily, the wolf left. When he got home there was a Canicort drug commercial on TV. He heard it could help COPD and was so excited, he did not listen to the side effects. "This is just what I need!" exclaimed the wolf. So he went to his doctor and started the drug. Soon he was able to huff and puff again.
The Big Bad Wolf revisited Fiddler's piglet's house and boomed "Little pig, little pig, let me in". The pig yelled "No way will I ever let you in and no way will you ever huff and puff and blow my house in". So the wolf huffed and he puffed and he blew the house down. The pig was eaten in no time, but this would be the wolf's last porcine feast. Soon the Canicort caused his nose to run uncontrollably. Then he started choking. He got a migraine headache and a big rash and started to become severely depressed. He had hallucinations of being eaten by pigs and went insane. Then he had a heart attack and dropped dead.
Practical Pig's piglet was safe and he learned to avoid any drugs advertised on TV. He sued the pharmaceutical companies and won. Not long after that, he heard about GMOs. He protested against the FDA and told became instantly famous on the news. He found a girlfriend and got married and lived happily ever after.
29 Dec 2014 - 19:33
24 Dec 2014 - 6:09
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