April showers bring May Gray
Rank: F5 Superstorm
Lake Forest, CA
Joined: 23-May 10
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Last Seen: 13th April 2014 - 08:29 PM
Local Time: Apr 23 2014, 01:15 PM
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22 Mar 2014
Forecasts have been advertising a weak storm to hit around next Wednesday giving Southern California its first chance of rain and mountain snow since the freak storm we had at the beginning of March. So far it looks to be a weak storm and many areas may get nothing from it, but there is a decent cold front that should go through.
In the meantime, just as spring has arrived, some weaker troughs have brought a very deep marine layer and cooler weather than we have had during most of the past Winter. Some models have also been forecasting a long-wave trough to develop over the West and replacing the ridging pattern that has dominated us for the majority of the winter. After the record heat of the past two weekends and the relatively warm winter, it is feeling more like winter just arrived rather than the Spring Equinox that occurred last Thursday. As the winter was dominated by dryness and offshore flow and the spring months are most likely to have strong offshore flow and marine layer, it is very likely that the spring months could average cooler than the past winter for daytime highs in most coastal and some valley locations of Southern California.
Will this be one of the years where the following saying comes true?
Winter in spring
Spring in summer
Summer in fall
Fall, not at all
8 Feb 2014
Here are some questions to answer about most memorable weather experiences and a few other things.
1. Describe the climate where you live.
2. What is your most memorable weather experience during the winter?
3. What is your most memorable weather experience during the summer?
4. What type of weather do you like most?
a. Sunny and warm to hot
5. Describe any other memorable weather experience
8 Feb 2014
Which sitcoms do you like better? Old ones such as The Cosby Show, Brady Bunch, and Gilligan's Island or today's modern sitcoms which seem to require sex and profanity.
Personally I like the older ones better. The Cosby Show is really funny and it has no dirty stuff in it. Gilligan's Island is also really funny, even though the situations are not always realistic. Most modern sitcoms seem to require sex or profanity because that's what producers think people like today. I hate having over 100 channels and finding nothing worth watching every night.
13 Oct 2013
After a wild week of weather starting with hot temperatures, high fire danger, and strong Santa Ana Winds followed by an unseasonably cold and strong winter-like Pacific storm, the weather for the following week looks to be much more uneventful. The last few days have been mild to cool following the storm. By tomorrow high pressure developing over the Great Basin will bring weak to moderate offshore flow which is expected to last into most of the coming week. This will be much weaker than the previous Santa Ana event, but the fire danger will still increase and temperatures West of the mountains will be slightly above normal.
From the NWS San Diego Sunday afternoon forecast discussion.
THE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS RISING...RESULTING IN A SLIGHTLY SHALLOWER MARINE LAYER. ALSO...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BUILD...BRINGING WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN PROGRESSIVELY WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS...AND A SHALLOWER MARINE LAYER EACH NIGHT/MORNING. BY WEDNESDAY...DAY-TIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR AREAS WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. THE MARINE LAYER WILL LIKELY COMPLETELY SCOUR OUT BY TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...THE MOUNTAINS AND COASTAL FOOTHILLS WILL PROBABLY SEE NORTHEAST TO EAST WIND GUSTS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. THE NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL PEAK WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND MODELS INDICATE SLIGHTLY STRONGER OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENTS THAN THEY WERE EARLIER FOR THIS TIME. UPPER WIND SUPPORT STILL LOOKS TO BE WEAK...ALTHOUGH THE 12Z NAM12 AND LOCAL WRF DO SHOW SOME 20-25 KNOT 850 MB WIND BARBS...COMPARED TO 10-15 KNOTS FROM THE 06Z RUNS. THUS...WE COULD SEE SOME 40 MPH WIND GUSTS IN THE FAVORED WIND-PRONE MOUNTAIN AND COASTAL FOOTHILL AREAS WEDNESDAY MORNING. OFFSHORE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY LATER WEDNESDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WEAKENS.
1 Aug 2013
Marine layer depth in Southern California reached 3300 ft. this morning, covering nearly all areas west of the mountains. This was caused by a persistent upper low over the Pacific Northwest that brought drizzle/light rain until early afternoon and temperatures in the 60s to Portland, OR. In addition, Southern California sea surface temperatures have also dropped significantly from the low 70s to mid 60s over the last 2 weeks. According to all the forecast models, the West Coast looks to stay in this pattern for the extended outlook. After a very active monsoon in July, it looks like the monsoonal moisture could stay away for quite a while, leading to very high fire danger in the mountains/deserts.
From the afternoon NWS San Diego Forecast Discussion
AT 1 PM PDT...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DISPLAYED A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL HIGH
CENTERED OVER SE NEW MEXICO...AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA. THIS SET UP...WHICH HAS NOT GREATLY CHANGED
FOR A WHILE NOW...WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT DRY...SW FLOW OVER THE
REGION. THE 01/1200 UTC KNKX SOUNDING SHOWED A VERY VERY DRY LAYER
STRETCHING FROM AROUND 3500 FT MSL TO 15K FT MSL. DEW POINTS WERE AS
LOW AS 1 DEGREE F AT TORO PEAK...2 DEGREES F AT APACHE PEAK AND 3
DEGREES F AT SAN JACINTO PEAK. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE CWA...WITH SOME CIRRUS STREAMING OVER AT TIMES
FROM THE SW.
JUNE-LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVER SW CA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS THE GENERAL WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS RELATIVELY UNCHANGED. THE
UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NM/TX WILL ZONALLY BROADEN
AND FLATTEN THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN REBUILD AND CENTER OVER TX THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE WEST
COAST TO DIG SOUTH ALONG THE COAST THROUGH MID-NEXT WEEK. THE
01/1200 UTC GFS...ECMWF AND NAM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS
OCCURRING...AND HAVE A CLOSED OFF LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE BAY AREA
BY FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THE TRANSPORT OF
VERY DRY AIR OVER SW CA THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD...WITH SOME MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE AREA AT TIMES. STILL...NO PRECIP IS
FORECAST IN THE CWA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE DRY AIR AND BREEZY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN FAVORABLE WINDY MOUNTAIN PASSES/DESERT LOCATIONS.
If this June-like pattern lasts throughout August, it could rival even the very cool summer of 2010. So far, Lindbergh Field has not made it above 80 F this summer. Even in July 2010, San Diego reached 81 F on July 16.
Record low maximum temperatures were set in some places over the last few days. Downtown L.A. only reached 73 F yesterday and 74 F today. These temperatures are more like late April.
26 Jan 2014 - 1:39
25 Aug 2013 - 17:49
9 Jul 2013 - 15:18
13 May 2013 - 10:42
29 Apr 2013 - 8:43
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