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April showers bring May Gray
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Jet Developer
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Lake Forest, CA
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Joined: 23-May 10
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Last Seen: Today, 10:39 PM
Viewing Forum: Current Weather - United States
Local Time: Feb 13 2016, 07:47 PM
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Jet Developer

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29 Jan 2016
A storm this weekend should put an end to a long Southern California dry period. Unfortunately it looks like we'll have more dry weather after that. Time is running out for this strong El Nino to perform.

Anyway, here's the latest forecast discussion from NWS San Diego.

QUOTE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
204 PM PST FRI JAN 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST ON SATURDAY WILL MOVE
INLAND THROUGH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
BRINGING COOLING...STRONG GUSTY WEST WINDS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY ON SUNDAY. SHOWERS WILL DECREASE SUNDAY
NIGHT. FOR NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN NEAR
THE WEST COAST CREATING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 1 PM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED WET...ZONAL
FLOW OVER NORTHERN CA/OREGON...AND NW FLOW ALOFT OVER SW CA. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST AS THE MARINE LAYER
REDEVELOPS WITH LOWERING HEIGHTS ALOFT.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY WILL
INCREASE ONSHORE FLOW...AND CREATE GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR
MOUNTAIN RIDGES AND ALONG DESERT MOUNTAIN SLOPES LATE SATURDAY
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. LIGHT PRECIPITATION OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS IS
POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...DURING THE PERIOD. LIGHT
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ABOVE 7500 FT.

A DEEPER...MORE SIGNIFICANT TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. THIS WILL CREATE STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS ACROSS MOST AREAS THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND MODERATE TO
HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER AND WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTHEAST. HIGH-RES MODELS SHOW HEAVIER PRECIP BEGINNING IN
NORTHERN AREAS MID SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
RISE TO JUST ABOVE ONE INCH...AND DEVELOP PRECIP TO THE SE
THROUGH SUN EVENING. H850 WINDS AROUND 50 KT MAY CREATE GUSTY
WINDS EVEN ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE VALLEYS AS THE FRONT PASSES.
WESTERLY GUSTS NEAR 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS...AND 60 MPH IN THE VALLEYS AND ALONG THE COAST.
STRONGEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS AND ALONG THE COAST
AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE DESERTS BEFORE PRECIP BEGINS. AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW
THE POSSIBILITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES AS THE FRONT SLIDES SE.

...FORECAST STORM TOTAL PRECIP (IN) LATE SAT THROUGH EARLY MON...
DESERTS.........0.25 TO 0.50
COAST/VALLEYS...0.50 TO 1.00
MOUNTAINS.......1.50 TO 2.50...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS

SNOW LEVELS WILL START OUT AROUND 8000 FT SAT EVENING...LOWER TO
7000 FT SUNDAY MORNING...6000 FT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 3500 FT
SUNDAY NIGHT.

...FORECAST STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL (IN) LATE SAT THROUGH EARLY MON...
3500 TO 4000 FT...TRACE TO 1
4000 TO 5000 FT...2 TO 5
5000 TO 6000 FT...3 TO 10
6000 TO 7000 FT...8 TO 16
ABOVE 7000 FT.....10 TO 20

LOWER HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES 5 TO 15 DEG F
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECIP SHOULD END
EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTY WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MOUNTAINS
FOR THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOWFALL. A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE DESERTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...AND FOR THE COAST/VALLEYS SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

WEAK RIDGING AND SURFACE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CREATE DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH HIGHS CLOSER TO
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&
16 Jan 2016
SUV Owner's Questionnaire

1. How big is your SUV?
a. It's a compact or a crossover, such as Subaru Forrester
b. It's a full-size SUV, but not super big, such as Chevy Tahoe
c. It's a full-size SUV with extra cargo space, such as Chevy Suburban or Ford Excursion

2. Have you ever had to drive the SUV in snowy weather?
a. Yes, we have cold winters and I drive it every snowy day
b. Yes, I live in a non-snowy climate, but sometimes I drive it up to the mountains in snow
c. No, I live in a non-snowy climate and never go to any snowy places

3. Have you ever taken your SUV off road?
a. Yes, plenty of times
b. Yes, but I do so very rarely
c. No, but I might decide to do so some day
d. No, and I would never do so because I don't dare risk scratching the shiny paint

4. On average, what percent of the seats are occupied when you drive your SUV?
a. 75% or higher
b. 50% to 75%
c. 20% to 50%
d. Less than 20%

5. What do you consider the purpose of a lift kit?
a. There is no need for a lift kit and I would never buy one
b. It allows for better traction, especially when I go off-road
c. It makes my car look really cool and gives me a better view of the traffic
d. It is not worth it unless I am elevated at least 8 feet above the road

6. Do you realize that your SUV wastes lots of gas and could even contribute to higher gas prices?
a. Yes, but where I live there are lots of bad roads, so I need it
b. Yes I do, and because of that I am considering getting a smaller car soon
c. No, I have no clue. Please educate me on why SUVs use up a lot of gas
d. Yes, but I really don't care because I can afford it and I deserve my luxury

7. What are the main reasons you got an SUV
a. I need it for bad roads in my area, driving in a harsh winter climate, and my large family
b. I need it to occasionally drive to places with bad roads or snow
c. I need it to drive to work every day even though I have no need to car pool
d. I deserve my huge, shiny car and I would consider myself a failure if I could not afford one

For each question give yourself 1 point for an a, 2 points for a b, 3 points for a c, and 4 points for a d. Total up your score
* If you score 18 or higher, you are an arrogant show-off who cannot bear to part with your money or your sacred behemoth. You should have your vehicle confiscated or be forced to adopt at least 4 children and move to Minnesota or Alaska.
* If you score between 10 and 17, you are not that bad, but really should consider how much gas and money you could be wasting.
* If you score less than 10, you have an SUV for what it was actually designed for
7 Jan 2016
Are you suffering with heartburn and acid reflux? Try the new Acizappa.

Acizappa will allow you to eat loads of pizza and other acidic foods and feel great.
(Lots of really happy people shown dancing with party music).
It will zap away the acid and make you feel better than ever. You can do whatever you want, go wherever you want, after eating whatever you want.
(Picnic in pretty nature scene is shown)
However Acizappa is not for everyone. Side effects may include nausea, vomiting ...
(More of the nature scene with pretty music and happy people walking)
chest pain, burning in the throat, runny nose, fever, dizziness, confusion...
(Shows people relaxing on the couch with nice lullaby music)
delusion, depression, anxiety, constipation, diarrhea, blackout periods, seizures, and in some cases death.
Ask your doctor if Acizappa is right for you.
3 Jan 2016
After a series of cold, moisture-starved storms from the Gulf of Alaska in December, Southern California finally looks to get into a pattern more typical of a strong El Nino, at least for the next week. The Pacific jet stream should bring in a series of very wet storms over the first workweek of 2016. This will help our record drought somewhat if it all materializes, but it would take about 4 times the average rainfall for a rainy season to completely end the drought.

Here is what they are forecasting from this afternoon's forecast discussion. Hopefully it will happen and bring some life to the forums from the West Coast posters.

QUOTE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
140 PM PST SUN JAN 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL BRING PERIODS OF RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW...BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING AT TIMES
THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. EXPECT MAINLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND WEST TO THE COAST THROUGH MONDAY. THE SECOND SYSTEM
ARRIVES TUESDAY...BRINGING HEAVIER PRECIPITATION...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER COLDER STORM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY
SNOW WILL BE LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT IN
THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS....ESPECIALLY ABOVE ABOUT 6000 FEET. STRONG
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS WEDNESDAY
INTO FRIDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

THIS AFTERNOON...IN ADDITION TO THE MID AND HIGH CLOUDS...LOW
CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE WEST OF THE MTNS.
LIGHTNING HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC.

BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WORKWEEK. THESE
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN U.S. AS THE JET STREAM BECOMES
ESTABLISHED AT A LOWER LATITUDE OVER THE NORTH PAC WITH ENOUGH
ENERGY TO UNDERCUT THE HIGH-AMPLITUDE RIDGE CURRENTLY EXTENDING
FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TO THE ARCTIC CIRCLE. THIS PATTERN IS
MORE COMMON DURING EL NINO WINTERS THAN NON EL NINO WINTERS.

THE FIRST OF THESE WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH SOCAL FROM THE WSW
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUE. DUE TO THE LOW LATITUDE OF THIS
WAVE...IT WILL BRING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL COLD AIR
INTO THE REGION SO TEMPS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH FOR MON. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING MOSTLY LIGHT PRECIP TO THE REGION...WITH SNOW
LEVELS AT ABOUT 6000 FT. EXPECT ABOUT 0.2 TO 0.5 INCH OF PRECIP
AT LOW ELEVATIONS WEST OF THE MTNS WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS
ON COASTAL MTN SLOPES...AND 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE MTNS ABOVE
6000 FT.

THE SECOND...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE...MOVES IN FROM THE NW
BRINGING LOWER TEMPS AND GREATER AMOUNTS OF PRECIP TUE AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH RATES AND AMOUNTS CAPABLE OF MEETING OR EXCEEDING
THRESHOLDS THAT COULD PRODUCE MUD SLIDES AND/OR DEBRIS FLOWS
MAINLY ON STEEP...UNSTABLE TERRAIN...AND IN RECENTLY BURNED AREAS.
ADDITIONAL PRECIP AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD RANGE BETWEEN 0.5
AND 1 INCH OVER LOWER TERRAIN WEST OF THE MTNS AND BETWEEN 1 AND 2
INCHES ALONG THE COASTAL SLOPES. ABOUT A FOOT OF SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS ABOVE 5500 FT.

A THIRD WAVE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NW WED AFTERNOON...WITH PERIODS
OF RAIN LINGERING INTO FRI AFTERNOON AS WEAKER IMPULSES FOLLOW THE
LEADING WAVE IN NW FLOW ALOFT. AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE
NORTH...TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE AND SNOW LEVELS COULD LOWER TO
BETWEEN 4500 AND 5000 FT BY THU MORNING. WEST NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
ALSO INCREASE WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND DESERTS ON THU. PRELIMINARY
PRECIP ESTIMATES WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE FOR BETWEEN 0.75 AND 1.25
INCHES WEST OF THE MTNS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE
COASTAL SLOPES. 8 TO 12 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THE MTNS ABOVE 4500 FT.

RAIN TAPERS OFF LATE FRI AND FAIR WEATHER WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPS
RETURN FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FROM THE WEST.

&&
1 Jan 2016
Describe your best storm of 2015.

For me it was in mid September when the remnant low from Hurricane Linda merged with a Pacific cold front. The storm brought as much as 2 inches of rain to some areas of drought-stricken Southern California. Orange County got about one in a half inches, which far outperformed any other storm in 2015. It was also a very warm storm that had wet season (November to April) characteristics. Temperatures still reached the low 80s with mugginess much more typical of the East Coast than Southern California.
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4 Feb 2016 - 21:59


26 Dec 2015 - 10:21


22 Dec 2015 - 18:54


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RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 13th February 2016 - 10:47 PM