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idecline
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Joined: 27-May 10
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Local Time: Aug 22 2014, 06:43 AM
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idecline

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20 Aug 2014
Tropical Storm Lowell is spinning southwest of Baja California and may impact Southern California with waves (and perhaps more) later this week as it drifts NorthWestwards in the next few days...
Attached Image
Lowell has a large (if somewhat sheared) circulation with lots of moisture being drawn in and warm waters conducive to development.

Here is the NHC 2AM outlook 'cone'...(of uncertainty)....
Attached Image


The Upper Level Low that dropped south along the California coast appears to have changed the shape of the high pressure to it's east, and the result was an erosion of the dry air separating the flow of moisture from reaching Southern California. It looks now to be a very close call and some moisture may become pulled into the deserts and even coastal Southern California ..very interesting nonetheless with Karina to Lowell's east and how all of this strong energy will play out in the Eastern Pacific
QUOTE
Could Hawaii be impacted by another anomalous Tropical system?
or even more outlandish..
Can San Diego and Southern California be impacted by remnants of a Tropical Storm?

~ pure gibberish by idecline...
20 Aug 2014
TS Karina and TS Lowell are in close proximity in the Eastern Pacific...the NHC as of 2AM PST has this:
Attached Image


On wv loop it appears that Karina is having a large surge in convection with extremely high cloud tops directly over her center. My untrained eye takes this as a sign of strengthening and perhaps even more forward motion towards Hawaii...not a stalling out as NHC says...only because they felt that Lowell was going to interact with Karina...let's look at the wv loop and see that a retrograding high into NorthCentral Pacific appears to be allowing room for Karina to strengthen and slide towards the West...Lowell appears to be getting shunted more to the NW and drier air is starting to separate the two centers...
Attached Image

I await the next NHC numbers to see whether there is any justification for my sudden notice of Karina...
19 Aug 2014
Another Upper Level Low is dropping south along the Central California coast early Tuesday morning. NWS Monterey had noted that Thunderstorms were initiated by this feature across Northern California on Monday. It appears to be setting off renewed convection along the Coastal Range and with morning this should produce a chance for T-Storms in the Santa Lucia range south of Monterey. Depending on the track of this feature, there could be more generous instability later this week. Although some are forecasting a quick departure of this ULL to the East...it appears a lot more moist air and troughiness may follow in the wake of this feature...
Attached Image

If this ULL continues south and can gain some strength it may have a chance of attracting some moisture from the south (and perhaps TS Lowell's moisture) as it could become cut-off near the Southern California coast. With high pressure moving up towards the lower plains and monsoonal flow coming into Colorado/New Mexico and Arizona this could send another anomalous plume of instability into California...
21 Jul 2014
So here it is July 21st...and no one has posted Maw's Friday Questions......

That means that ....&$^%...we are having a "Communication Breakdown" tongue.gif

"The Emergency Question Generator System" has to provide some questions.... dry.gif


This is not a TEST:

July 20, 1969 was a special day in the history of NASA's Space Program...and the United States of America....
Yesterday was the 45th Anniversary of Neil Armstrong's 'First Step on the Moon' !

1. What was the name of the spacecraft mission that led to the 'moon walk'?

2. Who was the 'second' man on the moon ?

3. What was the acronym of the vehicle that actually took the astronauts to the lunar surface?

4. Is it true that the same side of the moon always faces the Earth?

5. What was the name of Pink Floyd's mega-selling album with 'moon' in the title?

6. In what James Bond movie does 007 stumble upon a sound stage where the 'lunar landings' were filmed?

7. What is a 'blue' moon?

8. The song 'Blue Moon' has been covered by hundreds of artists...Do you have a favorite version?

9. Who has a 'new' song called 'Blue Moon' on his new album called "Morning Phase" ? wink.gif

10. Does anyone remember the "Moonies"? (No...Not the movie 'The Goonies... dry.gif )


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
++++++++++++

END OF COMPUTER GENERATED TRIVIAL QUESTIONS FOR VIRTUAL CONSUMPTION
25 Jun 2014
Started a new thread simply because "Fog" is not a weather story...and that is what the California coastal regions (and various inland forays) have to deal with in the months of June and July... mellow.gif

First of all...Here is the IR satellite...and a quote from NWS Monterey, CA
QUOTE
By late June standards it's a robust front with strong dynamics

Attached Image
Translation....a front that should bring strong onshore flow with drizzle along the coast...possible rain showers for far Northern California on Wednesday night/Thursday morning...perhaps with another impulse scraping the State on Friday into Saturday...leading to a possible windy Sunday before high pressure builds and provides clear, warm temperatures into early next week...

Yet this front is very strong in two ways (considering in is late June)...it appears to have adequate upper support and it is diving precariously close to California in a manner much more reminiscent of a late March/early April type of weaker front...meaning actual rain chances in June... ohmy.gif unsure.gif

Let's try looking at the UV loop to see how impressive this and the next little impulse are...
(just wait until this two 'little' impulses fare as they make their way across the CONUS) wink.gif
Attached Image

Check out the 'bowling ball' low pressure moving to the West, well off the Baja California coast...
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15 Aug 2014 - 6:45


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5 Aug 2014 - 16:56
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2 Jun 2014 - 23:55

Comments
Beck
Thank you, Idee =)
25 Sep 2012 - 3:59
wingsovernc
Time to make a comment on my last comment! :O Sorry about that, but u forgave...thank you! :D
28 Jul 2012 - 9:54
wingsovernc
Hi sweet guy! I just now saw your comment.. ur such a sweetie! <3 <3
4 Jul 2012 - 20:45
wingsovernc
Just playing around 'cause you're not around to stop me! (Tongue-out emo goes here)
14 May 2012 - 17:28
Beck
Here's your comment....!
13 Aug 2011 - 0:22

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