idecline to have a personal statement....
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Local Time: Mar 7 2014, 02:47 PM
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7 Mar 2014
A vigorous looking front and associated low are looming in the North Eastern Pacific...
Unfortunately...it looks as if the main focus of the energy will be at the Washington/British Columbia border..
with heavy rain and mountain snows as the the low pressure zooms North and perhaps retrogrades a bit into the Gulf of Alaska...
WPC is giving decent amounts of rain(and snow) along the upper half of the West Coast...with showers extending into Northern California. The Sierra Nevada Mountains look to get some decent snows as this system will take a proto-typical track of a Gulf of Alaska weather system...not the straight line flow of the warmer, more tropical systems we have been having.
Not sure if the front will make as much headway to the south as this QPF map shows as the low is really being pulled strongly to the North and the ridge wants to build back in a little stronger this week...
Hopefully the Sierras and Northern California does benefit from this storm ... otherwise it's wait and see...
3 Mar 2014
Even the NWS is saying more rain on tap for Northern California...with a distinct cut-off line leaving So-Cal high and dry...
A very broad area of low pressure is spinning out in the North-East Pacific Ocean...it is bringing a fetch of moisture with an energized jet...the fetch is coming from the area near Hawaii...warm and moist air...
This looks to be setting up in a 'Pineapple'-type of moisture plume...and the main focus appears to be again aimed at the area from the Sonoma Coast and northwards from there. The band that is just arriving is very moist and should give light showers all over the Bay Area on Monday...then the ridge may build slightly until Wednesday into Thursday when a second surge may bring rain to the Bay Area and points north. Again the heaviest precipitation should be in far Northern California, Oregon and Washington.
After the rain on Wednesday and Thursday the ridge may be building back in for a few days...this is still a ways out...especially when the energy in the Pacific is coming in so vigorously...if the entire area of troughiness does move in by the end of the week...and the high does build back in...will it last?
Does this mean that the LP stays somewhat stationary and just ejects a couple of shortwaves into the Northwest or is this showing a 'progression' of ridge/trough...meaning that a lot more energy is lurking out in the Pacific around the corner...?
25 Feb 2014
The first of several Pacific Storms is nearly on the doorstep to California...the ridge will take some of the edge off of the first storm due to arrive on Wednesday...but right behind that is....
a second storm that is taking full aim right at Southern California...with strong southerly winds...
This second storm seems to be headed right for landfall around the Central Coast of California...
with the Monterey Bay Area southwards being the prime areas for enhanced rainfall amounts...
There may be strong winds as the front arrives, with possible embedded thunderstorms, and generous rainfall amounts in the orographically favored areas....if QPF amounts are anywhere in the ballpark this storm should give the LA Basin more rainfall than they have received over the last 6 months or more...
The OPC forecast for Friday shows the low arriving onshore and another large cyclone in the Pacific...
As a 'caveat emptor', the resolution of the impact of the first two landfalling storms may put a slight hitch in the continued chain of storminess..as a ridge may briefly build over the region...some models are extending the storminess through Tuesday of next week...but with the evolution and dynamics of offshore California storms being very hard to predict...we may have to start another thread by the weekend for the continued potential for storms...
First...let's be patient and let these storms impact our region before we get greedy in our 'need' for storms...
19 Feb 2014
Just a little note based on some long term models...and the line-up in the Pacific Ocean....
Even NWS is hinting at a Statewide rain event starting next Thursday...with a ridge building in the next few days...then a low pressure system and associated cold front may dive out of the GOA bringing much needed rain to all of California.
This shows light rain along the California Coast...perhaps even into Southern California...and this may yet just be the edge of the expected system..
Here is the LP winding up to our West at 992mb..and sending a front out into the West....
It is a ways off and will have to be fine-tuned...but even the CPC Hazards is onto this one...
Let's hope at least for heavy snowfall in the Siskiyou and Sierra Mountain Ranges....
17 Feb 2014
High pressure is still the prevalent 'weather' feature for most of California and the Deserts...
Summer-like high temperatures have been popping up all over Southern California...
Now most of California is forecast to stay dry all week....some moisture may get into far Northern California...a large stationary low looks very promising near Hawaii...and a little overrunning (warm front) moisture may send some high clouds over the State this week ...but the Hawaiian low is progged to sit and spin...with several progressive waves staying to our North....
Just thought this was an interesting map.....
1 Mar 2014 - 0:42
10 Feb 2014 - 1:21
29 Jan 2014 - 20:25
17 Jan 2014 - 5:12
1 Jan 2014 - 19:46
Thank you, Idee =)
25 Sep 2012 - 3:59
Time to make a comment on my last comment! :O Sorry about that, but u forgave...thank you! :D
28 Jul 2012 - 9:54
Hi sweet guy! I just now saw your comment.. ur such a sweetie! <3 <3
4 Jul 2012 - 20:45
Just playing around 'cause you're not around to stop me! (Tongue-out emo goes here)
14 May 2012 - 17:28
Here's your comment....!
13 Aug 2011 - 0:22
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