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bigmt
Rank: F5 Superstorm
32 years old
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Ottawa
Born Jan-18-1982
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Joined: 29-September 10
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Local Time: Jul 23 2014, 01:45 AM
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bigmt

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30 Apr 2014
Accuweather - http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news...recast/26033298

Attached File  650x366_04231618_summer2014.jpg ( 556.85K ) Number of downloads: 3


NMME temps for Jun-Jul-Aug:

Attached File  NMME_ensemble_tmp2m_us_season2.png ( 19.05K ) Number of downloads: 2


Precip:

Attached File  NMME_ensemble_prate_us_season2.png ( 19.63K ) Number of downloads: 1


IMME temps:

Attached File  IMME_tmp2m_us_season2.png ( 17.33K ) Number of downloads: 1


Precip:

Attached File  IMME_prate_us_season2.png ( 16.8K ) Number of downloads: 0


JAMSTEC temps:

Attached File  temp2.glob.JJA2014.1apr2014.gif ( 65.07K ) Number of downloads: 1


Precip:

Attached File  tprep.glob.JJA2014.1apr2014.gif ( 81.09K ) Number of downloads: 0


CFS v2 temps:

Attached File  usT2mSeaInd2.gif ( 28.36K ) Number of downloads: 0


Precip:

Attached File  usPrecSeaInd2.gif ( 32.09K ) Number of downloads: 0
25 Feb 2014
May as well take the plunge and track this potential on it's own rather than clutter other semi-related threads. Seems like a good shot for the east in general, though a fair amount of uncertainty remains in terms of who will see what. Gonna run with the idea that somebody sees something tongue.gif

06z GFS @ hour 168:

Attached File  gfs_namer_168_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 58.71K ) Number of downloads: 4


Hour 180:

Attached File  gfs_namer_180_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 65.33K ) Number of downloads: 4


00z ECMWF @ hour 156:

Attached File  ecmwf_slp_precip_east_27.png ( 184.55K ) Number of downloads: 3


Hour 168:

Attached File  ecmwf_slp_precip_east_29.png ( 193.43K ) Number of downloads: 1


Hour 180:

Attached File  ecmwf_slp_precip_labrador_31.png ( 136.13K ) Number of downloads: 1


The wide range of possibilities is evident from the ensembles, 06z GEFS @ hour 180:

Attached File  f180.gif ( 132.61K ) Number of downloads: 1


My concern is twofold - that this potentially becomes a disjointed mess rather than a single consolidated low and/or that it slips south and east of the GL, in which case there's still potential for Atlantic Canada. The second possibility is a better look than cutting west in terms of precip-type for ON and QUE so that offers some degree of comfort.
8 Feb 2014
Ask and ye shall receive. I'll have a spring forecast out before the end of February but for now here's a look at the various long-range models.

CFS v2 temps for Mar-Apr-May 2014:

Attached File  usT2mSeaInd2.gif ( 29.31K ) Number of downloads: 4


Precip:

Attached File  usPrecSeaInd2.gif ( 29.28K ) Number of downloads: 0


JAMSTEC temps for Mar-Apr-May 2014:

Attached File  temp2.glob.MAM2014.1jan2014.gif ( 65.97K ) Number of downloads: 3


Precip:

Attached File  tprep.glob.MAM2014.1jan2014.gif ( 87.3K ) Number of downloads: 0


NMME temps for Mar-Apr-May 2014:

Attached File  NMME_ensemble_tmp2m_us_season2.png ( 18.21K ) Number of downloads: 0


Precip:

Attached File  NMME_ensemble_prate_us_season2.png ( 17.93K ) Number of downloads: 0


IMME temps for Mar-Apr-May 2014:

Attached File  IMME_tmp2m_us_season2.png ( 16.46K ) Number of downloads: 0


Precip:

Attached File  IMME_prate_us_season2.png ( 14.99K ) Number of downloads: 0
28 Jan 2014
Likely deserved a topic of it's own a while ago; I'm not willing to let it slip by without some closer attention.

EC for NS - http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html?prov=ns

QUOTE
Possible snowfall warning for Wednesday.

A low pressure system currently over the Southeastern United States will intensify tonight as it moves northeastward. Periods of snow are expected for much of Nova Scotia on Wednesday as the low passes south of Sable Island. Latests indications are still suggesting that snowfall amounts of 10 to 15 cm are possible for areas along the Atlantic coast with lesser amounts elsewhere. It remains possible that higher amounts could materialize if the low ends up tracking closer to Nova Scotia.


NFLD - http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html?prov=nl

QUOTE
Significant snowfall is expected on Wednesday.

A low pressure system will develop off the East Coast of the United States tonight and deepen as it moves southeast of the Avalon Peninsula Wednesday evening. Snow will develop over much of the island ahead of this system by Wednesday afternoon and will become heavy at times over the Avalon and Burin peninsulas. Current indications suggest accumulations of 10 to 15 centimetres can be expected by late-afternoon on Wednesday with potential additional accumulation Wednesday evening.


12z GFS @ hour 30:

Attached File  gfs_namer_030_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 64.86K ) Number of downloads: 1


Hour 36:

Attached File  gfs_namer_036_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 64.13K ) Number of downloads: 0


24-hour snowfall @ hour 42:

Attached File  CAN_ASNOW24_sfc_042.gif ( 37.29K ) Number of downloads: 1


12z RGEM @ hour 30:

Attached File  I_nw_r1_EST_2014012812_030.png ( 52.28K ) Number of downloads: 0


Hour 36:

Attached File  I_nw_r1_AMERICA_2014012812_036.png ( 58.14K ) Number of downloads: 1
22 Jan 2014
Accuweather - http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news...st-sno/22397585

Attached File  650x366_01221550_uf32.jpg ( 65.45K ) Number of downloads: 2


12z ECMWF @ hour 102:

Attached File  ecmwf_slp_precip_ne_18.png ( 184.8K ) Number of downloads: 4


Hour 108:

Attached File  ecmwf_slp_precip_ne_19.png ( 187.28K ) Number of downloads: 3


Hour 114:

Attached File  ecmwf_slp_precip_ne_20.png ( 190.33K ) Number of downloads: 2


24-hour snowfall @ hour 120:

Attached File  ecmwf_snow_24_ne_21.png ( 152.53K ) Number of downloads: 10


12z GGEM @ hour 95:

Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014012212_095.png ( 45.37K ) Number of downloads: 1


Hour 100:

Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014012212_100.png ( 44.43K ) Number of downloads: 1


Hour 105:

Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014012212_105.png ( 44.88K ) Number of downloads: 1


Hour 110:

Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014012212_110.png ( 45.91K ) Number of downloads: 1
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