Warm summer days are great, but nothing beats a great big snowstorm!
Rank: F5 Superstorm
40 years old
Joined: 23-November 10
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Local Time: Mar 2 2015, 06:12 AM
2,478 posts (2 per day)
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13 Dec 2014
A cutter type storm is looking to follow the cold front coming on Dec. 16, 17th. Unfortunately it looks to bring some rain with it that could rob some areas of S. ON their snow for Christmas. I think areas of the GTA and south and west in SW Ont stand to loose the most snow. E ON looks to receive some rain and perhaps mixing.
GFS hr 75
gfs_namer_075_1000_500_thick.gif ( 70.59K ) Number of downloads: 4
gfs_namer_090_1000_500_thick.gif ( 67.45K ) Number of downloads: 2
CMC hr 95:
I_nw_g1_EST_2014121300_095.png ( 42.65K ) Number of downloads: 1
CMC hr 98:
I_nw_g1_EST_2014121300_098.png ( 42.46K ) Number of downloads: 1
gfs_namer_087_1000_500_thick.gif ( 68.71K ) Number of downloads: 1
2 Dec 2014
There seems to some consensus of an event during this time frame. Both the GFS and GEM/CMC have been hinting at something. The CMC on earlier runs had an east coast storm that made it's way to Ont, but now keeps it south and to the coast with HP over N.ON.
There then seems to be some interaction with an LP from Manitoba with the LP on the coast to give the potential for perhaps a minor to major snow/rain or freezing rain storm for parts of S and E. Ontario, S Que and the east coast.
At the very least I thought this would be something to focus on besides the torch perdictions for later in the month
GFS Hr 141:
gfs_namer_141_850_700_thick.gif ( 65.22K ) Number of downloads: 1
GFS Hr 150:
gfs_namer_150_850_700_thick.gif ( 64.75K ) Number of downloads: 2
GFS Hr 153:
gfs_namer_153_850_700_thick.gif ( 65.32K ) Number of downloads: 2
GFS Hr 159:
gfs_namer_159_850_700_thick.gif ( 66.36K ) Number of downloads: 2
CMC hr 120, getting ready to come together??:
I_nw_g1_EST_2014120212_120.png ( 44.06K ) Number of downloads: 1
16 Nov 2014
I know this one is long range, but the models have been adamant for the last week that something will occur during this time frame. Its going to be a matter of a number of runs to find out who gets snow and who gets rain....Someone is getting a lot of either or both At the moment it will be a aweful close call for E.On to remain as snow.
Lets see how this place out; GFS runs:
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gfs_namer_180_1000_500_thick.gif ( 73.35K ) Number of downloads: 1
gfs_namer_186_1000_500_thick.gif ( 74.42K ) Number of downloads: 3
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This one behind it may become a separate thread later, currently its coastal but could change
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14 May 2014
Our first warmer weather long weekend is usually pretty sacred in Canada. Unfortunately I can recall more bad weather May long weekends then good. This year appears to be on the edge again for most of Ont and Que, east coast looks pretty decent, west coast looks like rain.
Here is the 18z (2:00 pm) models from the GEM and GFS for each day. I don't think it will be sunny weather in Ontario, but we may get away with some clouds with little rain. Temps appear to be fairly cool:
I_nw_g1_EST_2014051400_090.png ( 42.72K ) Number of downloads: 0
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gfs_namer_084_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 55.57K ) Number of downloads: 1
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gfs_namer_132_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 55.67K ) Number of downloads: 0
9 Apr 2014
Been teasing this one for a couple days in the spring thread. Although the models have backed off a little in terms of snow, there certainly seems like the potential for somebody to get snow into the overnight hours of next Monday into Tuesday AM (possibly E.Ont). It will be a close call with the temps.
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gfs_namer_138_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 56.68K ) Number of downloads: 2
gfs_namer_141_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 57.75K ) Number of downloads: 1
gfs_namer_147_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 58.23K ) Number of downloads: 1
20 Feb 2015 - 23:26
11 Feb 2015 - 9:17
5 Feb 2015 - 23:43
4 Feb 2015 - 22:41
28 Jan 2015 - 8:38
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