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Warm summer days are great, but nothing beats a great big snowstorm!
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JJ Snowlover
Rank: F5 Superstorm
40 years old
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Ottawa, Ontario
Born April-2-1974
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Joined: 23-November 10
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Last Seen: 26th July 2014 - 09:59 PM
Local Time: Jul 28 2014, 02:13 AM
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JJ Snowlover

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14 May 2014
Our first warmer weather long weekend is usually pretty sacred in Canada. Unfortunately I can recall more bad weather May long weekends then good. This year appears to be on the edge again for most of Ont and Que, east coast looks pretty decent, west coast looks like rain.

Here is the 18z (2:00 pm) models from the GEM and GFS for each day. I don't think it will be sunny weather in Ontario, but we may get away with some clouds with little rain. Temps appear to be fairly cool:

Sat GEM:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014051400_090.png ( 42.72K ) Number of downloads: 0

Sun GEM:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014051400_114.png ( 40.61K ) Number of downloads: 0

Sat GFS:
Attached File  gfs_namer_084_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 55.57K ) Number of downloads: 1

Sun GFS:
Attached File  gfs_namer_108_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 54.26K ) Number of downloads: 1

Mon GFS:
Attached File  gfs_namer_132_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 55.67K ) Number of downloads: 0
9 Apr 2014
Been teasing this one for a couple days in the spring thread. Although the models have backed off a little in terms of snow, there certainly seems like the potential for somebody to get snow into the overnight hours of next Monday into Tuesday AM (possibly E.Ont). It will be a close call with the temps.

GFS hr.135
Attached File  gfs_namer_135_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 56.93K ) Number of downloads: 2

GFS hr.138
Attached File  gfs_namer_138_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 56.68K ) Number of downloads: 2

GFS hr.141
Attached File  gfs_namer_141_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 57.75K ) Number of downloads: 1

GFS hr.147
Attached File  gfs_namer_147_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 58.23K ) Number of downloads: 1
2 Dec 2013
There appears to be another system that rides behind the great lakes cutter that may prove interesting for the GTA.

This the GEM at hour 120, looks good for Niagara, Hamilton and perhaps the GTA. A little shift north and all of S. Ont and E.Ont will be in on the action. At the system current location, I'm not sure if E. and S. Que will see much out of this. I'll post the GFS when I can.

Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2013120200_120.png ( 42.65K ) Number of downloads: 2
29 Nov 2013
The models have been showing something on the Dec.5 - 7th range for a couple days. ATM looks to be a GLC type storm, but there certainly seems to be some inconsistency lately.

Current 12Z GFS looks a little better in terms of temps for E. ONT, still not as forgiving for S.ONT. Warm up appears certain. Maybe others can post the other model solutions?

Hour:132
Attached File  gfs_namer_132_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 64K ) Number of downloads: 4


Hour 144:
Attached File  gfs_namer_144_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 63.09K ) Number of downloads: 1


Hour 168: looks to be back to cold for ONT.
Attached File  gfs_namer_168_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 58.46K ) Number of downloads: 0
22 Jan 2013
There appears to be a Great Lakes cutter style storm on the models for a couple days now. Currently it appears to have an unfavourable track for snow in S. and E. Ontario, as warm air invades, so likely a rain to mixing style storm. Hopefully future runs will change, but it's been consistent to date. By Hour 216 it begins to look better for E. Ontario and S. Quebec

12z hour 168 Euro:


12z hour 192 Euro:


12z Euro hour 216 where appears to transfers to the coast, which could be a good storm for E. Ontario and S. Quebec:
Attached File(s)
Attached File  12zeuro500mbHGHTNA216.gif ( 137.61K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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