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Warm summer days are great, but nothing beats a great big snowstorm!
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JJ Snowlover
Rank: F5 Superstorm
40 years old
Male
Ottawa, Ontario
Born April-2-1974
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Joined: 23-November 10
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Last Seen: Today, 08:55 AM
Local Time: Dec 22 2014, 09:14 AM
2,192 posts (1 per day)
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JJ Snowlover

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13 Dec 2014
A cutter type storm is looking to follow the cold front coming on Dec. 16, 17th. Unfortunately it looks to bring some rain with it that could rob some areas of S. ON their snow for Christmas. I think areas of the GTA and south and west in SW Ont stand to loose the most snow. E ON looks to receive some rain and perhaps mixing.

GFS hr 75
Attached File  gfs_namer_075_1000_500_thick.gif ( 70.59K ) Number of downloads: 4


Hr 90
Attached File  gfs_namer_090_1000_500_thick.gif ( 67.45K ) Number of downloads: 2


CMC hr 95:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014121300_095.png ( 42.65K ) Number of downloads: 1


CMC hr 98:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014121300_098.png ( 42.46K ) Number of downloads: 1

Attached File(s)
Attached File  gfs_namer_087_1000_500_thick.gif ( 68.71K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
2 Dec 2014
There seems to some consensus of an event during this time frame. Both the GFS and GEM/CMC have been hinting at something. The CMC on earlier runs had an east coast storm that made it's way to Ont, but now keeps it south and to the coast with HP over N.ON.

There then seems to be some interaction with an LP from Manitoba with the LP on the coast to give the potential for perhaps a minor to major snow/rain or freezing rain storm for parts of S and E. Ontario, S Que and the east coast.

At the very least I thought this would be something to focus on besides the torch perdictions for later in the month wink.gif

GFS Hr 141:
Attached File  gfs_namer_141_850_700_thick.gif ( 65.22K ) Number of downloads: 1


GFS Hr 150:
Attached File  gfs_namer_150_850_700_thick.gif ( 64.75K ) Number of downloads: 2


GFS Hr 153:
Attached File  gfs_namer_153_850_700_thick.gif ( 65.32K ) Number of downloads: 2


GFS Hr 159:
Attached File  gfs_namer_159_850_700_thick.gif ( 66.36K ) Number of downloads: 2


CMC hr 120, getting ready to come together??:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014120212_120.png ( 44.06K ) Number of downloads: 1
16 Nov 2014
I know this one is long range, but the models have been adamant for the last week that something will occur during this time frame. Its going to be a matter of a number of runs to find out who gets snow and who gets rain....Someone is getting a lot of either or both tongue.gif At the moment it will be a aweful close call for E.On to remain as snow.

Lets see how this place out; GFS runs:
Hr 177:
Attached File  gfs_namer_177_1000_500_thick.gif ( 68.84K ) Number of downloads: 3

Hr 180:
Attached File  gfs_namer_180_1000_500_thick.gif ( 73.35K ) Number of downloads: 1

Hr 186:
Attached File  gfs_namer_186_1000_500_thick.gif ( 74.42K ) Number of downloads: 3

Hr 204:
Attached File  gfs_namer_204_1000_500_thick.gif ( 71.18K ) Number of downloads: 4


This one behind it may become a separate thread later, currently its coastal but could change
hr 240:
Attached File  gfs_namer_240_1000_500_thick.gif ( 72.89K ) Number of downloads: 2
14 May 2014
Our first warmer weather long weekend is usually pretty sacred in Canada. Unfortunately I can recall more bad weather May long weekends then good. This year appears to be on the edge again for most of Ont and Que, east coast looks pretty decent, west coast looks like rain.

Here is the 18z (2:00 pm) models from the GEM and GFS for each day. I don't think it will be sunny weather in Ontario, but we may get away with some clouds with little rain. Temps appear to be fairly cool:

Sat GEM:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014051400_090.png ( 42.72K ) Number of downloads: 0

Sun GEM:
Attached File  I_nw_g1_EST_2014051400_114.png ( 40.61K ) Number of downloads: 0

Sat GFS:
Attached File  gfs_namer_084_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 55.57K ) Number of downloads: 1

Sun GFS:
Attached File  gfs_namer_108_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 54.26K ) Number of downloads: 1

Mon GFS:
Attached File  gfs_namer_132_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 55.67K ) Number of downloads: 0
9 Apr 2014
Been teasing this one for a couple days in the spring thread. Although the models have backed off a little in terms of snow, there certainly seems like the potential for somebody to get snow into the overnight hours of next Monday into Tuesday AM (possibly E.Ont). It will be a close call with the temps.

GFS hr.135
Attached File  gfs_namer_135_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 56.93K ) Number of downloads: 2

GFS hr.138
Attached File  gfs_namer_138_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 56.68K ) Number of downloads: 2

GFS hr.141
Attached File  gfs_namer_141_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 57.75K ) Number of downloads: 1

GFS hr.147
Attached File  gfs_namer_147_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 58.23K ) Number of downloads: 1
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