Warm summer days are great, but nothing beats a great big snowstorm!
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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2 Dec 2013
There appears to be another system that rides behind the great lakes cutter that may prove interesting for the GTA.
This the GEM at hour 120, looks good for Niagara, Hamilton and perhaps the GTA. A little shift north and all of S. Ont and E.Ont will be in on the action. At the system current location, I'm not sure if E. and S. Que will see much out of this. I'll post the GFS when I can.
I_nw_g1_EST_2013120200_120.png ( 42.65K ) Number of downloads: 2
29 Nov 2013
The models have been showing something on the Dec.5 - 7th range for a couple days. ATM looks to be a GLC type storm, but there certainly seems to be some inconsistency lately.
Current 12Z GFS looks a little better in terms of temps for E. ONT, still not as forgiving for S.ONT. Warm up appears certain. Maybe others can post the other model solutions?
gfs_namer_132_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 64K ) Number of downloads: 4
gfs_namer_144_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 63.09K ) Number of downloads: 1
Hour 168: looks to be back to cold for ONT.
gfs_namer_168_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif ( 58.46K ) Number of downloads: 0
22 Jan 2013
There appears to be a Great Lakes cutter style storm on the models for a couple days now. Currently it appears to have an unfavourable track for snow in S. and E. Ontario, as warm air invades, so likely a rain to mixing style storm. Hopefully future runs will change, but it's been consistent to date. By Hour 216 it begins to look better for E. Ontario and S. Quebec
12z hour 168 Euro:
12z hour 192 Euro:
12z Euro hour 216 where appears to transfers to the coast, which could be a good storm for E. Ontario and S. Quebec:
12zeuro500mbHGHTNA216.gif ( 137.61K ) Number of downloads: 1
6 Dec 2012
While we wait to see what kind of mess unfolds on Dec.10th, there was a couple storms appearing on the 00z ECMWF (Euro) runs:
00z 240hr ECMWF:
Seems to disappear on the 12z 240hr:
Will have to see if these continue to verify on future runs
1 Nov 2011
So, does anybody care to make a friendly guess at when the first snowfall will be for their area?
First snowfall, meaning measurable snow on the ground, 1 cm or more.
Winner is closets to the mark and get's bragging rights for the rest of the season for being the most accurate forecaster, whom we must all listen to
My guess for the Ottawa area...November 29th
15 Feb 2014 - 9:07
11 Feb 2014 - 5:34
5 Feb 2014 - 18:43
28 Jan 2014 - 18:12
4 Jan 2014 - 10:16
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