Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Profile
Personal Photo
Rating
 
Options
Options
Personal Statement
CIWeather doesn't have a personal statement currently.
Personal Info
CIWeather
Rank: F5 Superstorm
Age Unknown
Gender Not Set
Location Unknown
Birthday Unknown
Interests
No Information
Statistics
Joined: 29-January 11
Profile Views: 3,500*
Last Seen: 24th July 2014 - 06:57 PM
Local Time: Jul 31 2014, 10:42 PM
2,736 posts (2 per day)
Contact Information
AIM No Information
Yahoo No Information
ICQ No Information
MSN No Information
Contact Private
* Profile views updated each hour

CIWeather

Member

***


Topics
Posts
Comments
Friends
My Content
10 Apr 2011
Per Dr. Forbes and SPC, it seems reasonable to create a thread for the potential severe weather event later this week. Dates will likely need changed as the week progresses.
QUOTE
Forbes FB page: Thur Apr 14. Severe thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes in IL, northeast, central, and south MO, southeast KS, east OK, northeast TX about as far southwest as College Station, north LA, northwest MS, west TN, west KY, extreme west IN. Details could change, as numerical models differ on this.


QUOTE
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0410 AM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

CORRECTED OUTLOOK GRAPHIC...DAY 4 LABEL SHOULD BE DAY 5

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IN THE ERN STATES AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
ROCKIES WEDNESDAY MORNING/DAY 4. THE MODELS MOVE THIS UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH EWD INTO THE MS RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER
TROUGH DEVELOPING FURTHER TO THE WEST IN THE ROCKIES. THE ECMWF AND
GFS ARE SIMILAR WITH THE SECOND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...MOVING THE
SYSTEM ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS ON THURSDAY/DAY 5 BUT THE ECMWF IS
THE SLOWER SOLUTION. THIS WOULD SEEM THE MORE LIKELY SCENARIO WHICH
WOULD SUGGEST NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THURSDAY EVENING
ALONG THE MOIST AXIS FROM ERN OK AND ERN KS EWD INTO MO AND AR. DUE
TO THE NEGATIVELY-TILT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND STRONG
LOW-LEVEL JET RESPONSE FORECAST BY THE MODELS...WILL INTRODUCE A
SEVERE THREAT AREA FOR PARTS OF THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS EWD INTO
THE OZARKS. A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EVENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THIS AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON FRIDAY/DAY
6...THE MODELS DIVERGE WITH THE ECMWF DEVELOPING AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
OVER THE NCNTRL PLAINS AND THE GFS DEVELOPING THE LOW FURTHER EAST
IN THE UPPER MIDWEST. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ON THE
ERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM ALONG A MOIST AXIS IN THE MS VALLEY. ON
SATURDAY/DAY 7...THE UPPER-LEVEL MOVES INTO THE OH VALLEY WITH THE
ECMWF SLOWER. THIS WOULD MOVE THE SEVERE THREAT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE ERN STATES. OTHER THAN THE DAY 5 OUTLOOK AREA...CONFIDENCE
IS NOT GREAT ENOUGH TO ADD A THREAT AREA IN THE MS VALLEY OR ERN
STATES.

..BROYLES.. 04/10/2011

Attached image(s)
Attached Image
 
Last Visitors


8 Jul 2014 - 13:35


28 Feb 2014 - 23:37


4 Feb 2014 - 18:10
Guest


29 Jan 2014 - 17:39


4 Jan 2014 - 15:11

Comments
Other users have left no comments for CIWeather.

Friends

15264 posts
Active: 30th June 2014 - 11:09 PM

1314 posts
Active: 2nd March 2014 - 10:51 PM
View All Friends
RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 31st July 2014 - 10:42 PM