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JDClapper
Rank: F5 Superstorm
37 years old
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Loyalsock, PA (eastern suburb of Williamsport, PA, Elev 581')
Born July-27-1979
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Joined: 28-October 11
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Local Time: Dec 10 2016, 03:23 PM
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JDClapper

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15 Nov 2016
Long time lurker .. been watching you guys for awhile and have come to the conclusion anyone can do this.. I mean, can't do much worse.

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In all seriousness .. Thanksgiving period looks active. 18z GFS was some candy (click to animate) .. CMC, Euro, NAV seem to have it, but timing differences.. oh yeah, a little BSR support never hurt no one... here we go!

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BSR ..


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18 Feb 2016
This kind of popped up on us... 0z NAM agreeing with UK and Euro on a sneaky system with some potential snows in the Northern MidAtl

NAM

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UK
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Euro
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28 Mar 2015
Clipper swinging through Tuesday PM into early April Fool's AM.

Here's the 12z tracks (black is 18z GFS) .. Euro is cooler for folks south of I-80, while GFS/CMC generally keep this an I-80 and north snow potential.

At the very least, we'll have some cool/cold rain showers to deal with.

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Some sparse sampling until it hits the US for the 0z runs Monday night (0z 3/31). We aren't that far away though, not sure I'm expecting significant changes from the current general idea.

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12z and 18z GFS snow maps.

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22 Mar 2015
This has been discussed over the past several days on the March 25-27 thread .. separating so we can concentrate on 1 event/potential in each thread.

12z GFS made another step closer to at least impacting coastal places .. see the 500/vort picture and the shift of the backside of the trough.

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Eventually this happens

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12z CMC is a bit faster and much further west, which it has shown over several runs now..

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12z Euro resembles the GFS as a miss wide-right for this region.

12z UKMET looks very GFS like, if you compare these maps..


GFS


Verbatim, models (except CMC) says not likely. But, they weren't too hot on this past Friday either. And if I recall, the CMC caught on a bit faster this past time... 2 in a row this time?
20 Mar 2015
Snowing in many places now..



2z HRRR through 6pm

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Critical Thickness

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Wetbulb

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RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 10th December 2016 - 03:23 PM