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JDClapper
Rank: F5 Superstorm
35 years old
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Loyalsock, PA (eastern suburb of Williamsport, PA, Elev 560')
Born July-27-1979
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Joined: 28-October 11
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Last Seen: Today, 11:52 AM
Local Time: Dec 21 2014, 03:47 PM
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JDClapper

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15 Nov 2014
Models showing something in this time frame recently. Storm has BSR support as lowering heights and surface pressures were observed that correlate on the EC with 11/21. Historical performance speaks for itself (see image).

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Cold air is entrenched as a High pressure exits New England and a storm approaches from the SW and moves NE through the MidAlt and NE states. No pics to post, but Euro also shows similarities to the below.

Edit: 11/15 0z CMC (Previously listed this as the 12z)

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12z GFS-P

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18z GFS

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9 Feb 2014
Probably virga, but radar returns are in the region.



HRRR, through 9pm.

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17 Jan 2014
Heavy snow squalls crossing the apps. Here she comes!

5 Jan 2014
Precip starting to break-out in the region near DC - PHL.

29 Dec 2013
Starting my first thread! Based on LRC and BSR, I think there is a strong likelihood of a rain event on the east coast during this period. 12/30 0z GFS supports this as well. (It was faster on the 12/29 12z run, but still there)

Some simply fascinating images below. Ok, maybe not.. but, images. This may be quite boring to track (if it verifies as rain).. but I'm really intrigued by LRC/BSR.. so giving this a shot.

GFS
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CPA LRC .. this storm (using an ~51 cycle) shows above average mean temps and ~0.20" qpf. I should note, cycle 2 qpf has been higher than cycle 1 in most cases.

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Finally, jdrenken's BSR comments... made on 12/10.
http://weather.kopn.org/wp/?p=274

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15 Dec 2014 - 22:54


12 Dec 2014 - 11:04


7 Dec 2014 - 22:50


3 Dec 2014 - 23:05


26 Nov 2014 - 11:21

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RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 21st December 2014 - 03:47 PM