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Viewing Topic: Long Range Winter 2011/2012 Outlooks
Local Time: Nov 24 2014, 12:05 AM
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9 Apr 2013
Record/near record warmth occurred today in parts of Ohio and Pennsylvania. Looks like more of the same tomorrow and possibly Thursday, if the cold front is slow enough.
Some records from today...
Akron/Canton, OH 80 (old record: 79, 1931)
Mansfield, OH 81 (old record: 80, 2001)
Pittsburgh, PA 80 (old record: 80, 2001)
Zanesville, OH 82 (old record: 82, 2001)
Dubois, PA 76 (old record: 76, 1969)
Columbus, OH 83 (old record: 83, 2001)
23 Jun 2012
It's looking increasingly likely that there will be a significant heat wave beginning by Wednesday in the Plains and western Corn Belt and then spreading east throughout the region by Thursday and beyond.
By late Wednesday afternoon, the 00z ECMWF shows 850 mb temperatures at or above 20C along and west of a line running from about 100 miles NW of International Falls to near Raleight, NC.
By late Thursday afternoon, the ECMWF forecasts 850 mb temperatures at or above 24C for most of the Midwest, peaking at near 28C over northwest IL.
10 Apr 2012
Didn't see a thread for this event. Already snowing at the Youngstown Airport with visibility down to as low as one mile at times miles. Changeover wasn't expected until much later tonight, but temps have already dropped to 35 degrees.
METAR KYNG 101551Z 26007KT 3SM -RASN BKN010 OVC015 02/00 A2984 RMK AO2 PLE05SNB21 SLP112 VIS SE-W 1 CIG 008V012 P0006 T00170000
SPECI KYNG 101607Z 29007KT 260V320 1SM -RASN BKN010 OVC015 02/01 A2984 RMK AO2 P0001
SPECI KYNG 101616Z 30007KT 3SM -SN BKN010 OVC015 02/00 A2985 RMK AO2 RAE16 VIS W 1 1/2 P0002
Precipitation rates also seem surprisingly high, 0.08" in the hour and a half since it started at YNG. If temps cool a bit, even a 10-1 ratio could have yielded close to an inch. So, although, the forecast only calls for a local one to three inch snow, there seems to be the potential for more. This snowfall seems to be possible only because Lake Erie water temperatures are currently at record high levels. NWS Buffalo reported a reading of 44 this morning, 3 degrees above the previous daily record, and a full 10 degrees above the 1927-2011 long-term mean. The lake surface is generally between 45 and 50 degrees, as of this morning -- much above the usual mid to upper 30s for early April. This could be a bad situation, with a lot of trees in bloom.
13 Nov 2014 - 14:50
30 Oct 2014 - 10:32
30 Jun 2014 - 11:53
16 Oct 2013 - 19:54
7 Jan 2013 - 18:51
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