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Rank: F5 Superstorm
33 years old
Born Aug-16-1980
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Local Time: Apr 17 2014, 08:36 AM
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4 Apr 2014
18z NAM:
Attached File  image.jpg ( 354.11K ) Number of downloads: 1

Attached File  image.jpg ( 424.46K ) Number of downloads: 3

Looks like a heavy rain to snow situation is on the table for a swath of southern/eastern ontario and quebec. The euro and its ensembles are in decent agreement with this type of setup(similar to the NAM). The GFS and GEM have slightly warmer looks.
16 Mar 2014
12z euro looks intriguing for southern ontario with more intense EB NAO blocking and a track from pittsburgh to syracuse and off the maine coast. Brings 10-15cm for the GTA along with 15-25cm for London, goderich and areas north of windsor. The 12z GEM looks interesting as well, although the track is aimed further north and more favourable for Ottawa/montreal and central ontario.
Attached File  SN_000_240_0000.gif ( 110.31K ) Number of downloads: 7
6 Mar 2014
I am going to go out on a limb and start this thread. The potential is there for a big hit if everything comes together like some of the ensemble members are showing. Still not convinced that this will happen as the ridge axis does not look ideal but the potential is defintely skyhigh with this one. Track away!
28 Oct 2013
All models consistent on a very robust area of low pressure moving up towards the central great lakes area on halloween with a minimum central pressure between 983 and 977mb depending on which model you trust. The GFS/NAM guidance continue to stay slightly further west then the euro guidance, hence the stronger wind threat. Significant wind damage would be likely across the golden horseshoe/ottawa valley if the GFS/NAM situation unfolds, showing 80-90kt winds at 850mb. The euro is a little weaker but still produces very strong 850mb winds. Also going to see the risk of wind driven rain with this system which has the potential to cause some power outages across the region. Let the tracking begin!
Attached File  GFS_3_2013102818_F84_WSPD_850_MB.png ( 193.15K ) Number of downloads: 5

Attached File  NAM_221_2013102818_F84_WSPD_850_MB.png ( 197.24K ) Number of downloads: 1

Attached File  f96.gif ( 95.48K ) Number of downloads: 1
20 Oct 2013
Fairly good model consistency with the impeding Lake effect outbreak coming this week. Whether its rain or snow still remains to be seen... 850mb temps will likely stay in the -3 to -7 range for much of the week with the great lake water temps in the 14-19c range. This definitely supports flakes flying in the air, with accumulation possible especially over higher terrain.
Clipper 1:
Attached File  gfs_pr3_slp_t850_east_25.png ( 258.24K ) Number of downloads: 1

Clipper 2:
Attached File  gfs_pr3_slp_t850_east_55.png ( 234.08K ) Number of downloads: 1

Total Snowfall on the 6z GFS:
Attached File  gfs_3hr_snow_acc_east_65.png ( 104.48K ) Number of downloads: 1

0z GEM:
Attached File  cmc_snow_acc_east_41.png ( 109.32K ) Number of downloads: 1

0z euro:
Attached File  ecmwf_t2m_snow_ne_41_1.png ( 149.78K ) Number of downloads: 3
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