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Its not up to me. Its up to you. Majority should rule at the end of the day and that seems like the fairest way to decide on formatting. Please vote above.
I know this idea has worked well on other forums and it has been approved by JD. This thread will be dedicated to any non storm related discussion including any complaints you feel you need to get out which is totally understandable. Storm threads should be kept to analysis, model images, forecasts, OBS etc. Enjoy!
I know this idea has worked well on other forums and it has been approved by the mods. This thread will be dedicated to any non storm related discussion(short term OBS) including any complaints you feel you need to get out which is totally understandable. Storm threads should be kept to analysis, model images, forecasts, OBS etc. Enjoy!
19 Oct 2014
With winter quickly approaching(wow did that go by quickly) I thought this would be a good idea seeing as it was a hit last year. You must predict the amount of snowfall that will occur between Nov 15th and April 15th for the 5 locations listed. You can edit as many times as you want up until that point.
The member who gets the minimum cumulative departure will win. For example if you think Toronto will receive 100cm and they receive 90, you get a score of ten. Member with the lowest score wins. I will be tracking the scores throughout the winter as snow begins to fall....
Snowfall Forecasts in cm Valid for the following locations. I chose North York station over YYZ this year due to the nipher gauge problem.
Climate ID: 615S001 (North York, On):
AJW(St John's, NL):
Contest closes on November 15th at 12:00 AM. Hopefully we can get a lot of participants. Good luck!
6 Sep 2014
Some absolutely incredible parameters showing up on the GFS/Euro for an outbreak this late in the summer. Timing/phasing issues still need to be sorted out but potential looks sky high with this outbreak which will usher in the fall like air later next week(including major snows for Calgary and the foothills as the high drops down and forces and easterly flow against the rockies). Kinematics look insane with a LLJ at or above 60kts on the euro/gfs for 0z/6z thursday. Dews are near 70f and PWATS are near 2" so moisture is definitely present. Strong sfc-400mb shear is present in both the speed and directional department with backing at the surface. Models are not to be trusted just yet on instability params as they tend to underdo the extent of the WAA at this range.
Sounding near TO shows the impressive kinematic support:
GFS_3_2014090606_F114_44.0000N_79.5000W.png ( 54.92K ) Number of downloads: 1
Low level jet valid between 0z-6z thurdsay:
Screen_Shot_2014_09_06_at_11.13.06_AM.png ( 1.25MB ) Number of downloads: 3
PWAT's and MSLP:
ecmwf_pwat_slp_ma_22.png ( 187.17K ) Number of downloads: 4
This should be interesting!
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