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Lake effect
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Joined: 17-December 12
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Lake effect

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28 Jul 2016
Thought I'd give this a thread of its own as it certainly has the potential to be the hottest period of weather for a number of years with the GFS consistantly predicting temps close to 100F on Thursday 4th for a number of locales in southern and central Ontario before a very welcome cool down. There will surely be a number of daily records set at the least.

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23 Feb 2015
Might as well get this one going. My gut feeling is that this will get suppressed or pushed further south as so many storms have this winter, but it would be nice if we had one last hoorah with the great base we in the East all have in place.

First the 06Z GFS OP eye candy:

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and the 06Z GFS ensemble, which looks to have some reasonable consistancy about it:

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and finally the 00Z euro OP which is consistant with the GFS to some extent:

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20 Dec 2014
The Euro is looking more positive on this one...not sure what the amounts are looking like, and the track has changed a lot, but maybe worth watching on its own rather than getting caught up in the cloud of negativity that is the Christmas storm! (all caveats about being OP output apply smile.gif ):
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By Contrast the GFS (I know) has a more westerly track:

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12 Feb 2014
Yesterday this was supposed to be dumping 25 cms of snow across southern Ontario, today it's 15mm rain, either way something has been in the models for a few days now, so should be worth tracking.Attached File  image.jpg ( 170.33K ) Number of downloads: 2
28 Jan 2014
Been in the Euro for a few days, and the GFS now falling in line:

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RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 30th September 2016 - 11:53 AM